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A Perplexing Pick Post

Sean brought up that he posts his numbers first and then looks to see what everyone else picks. So I am curious:
How does everyone pick their numbers? Before they read the posts or do they scan to see what everyone else chose?  How do you pick your numbers-do you actually research past games for each pitcher/team and then come up with some magical statmaster formula? Or do you fly by the seat of your pants and make it up as you go?
Personally, I look at the the pitcher-see if they are big hit allowers or no-hitters and then make it up as I go and 'instinct' the numbers.

                                                                                                                                                                                                               

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