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Jeff's career got off to a pretty impressive start (if you stop counting at 14).  So did Jered's. Since Jered just finished up start #25, I figured that would be a good time to compare.  Couple of caveats:

  1. Jeff was a year younger when he made his debut.
  2. Jeff's first 25 starts all came in the same season.
  3. Jeff pitched for a really crappy team.  
Let's get to the numbers:

Jeff:  25 starts, 8-10, 5.23 ERA, 144.2 IP, 101 K, 1.304 WHIP, 22 Homers
Jered: 25 starts, 13-5, 2.79 ERA, 155.1 IP, 135 K, 1.127 WHIP, 18 Homers

If we dig a little deeper, we find that Jeff was 6-3 with a 2.93 ERA after 14 starts.  Jered was 9-2 with a 2.33 ERA.  Both look pretty damn good.  But one of the main cries of the skeptics has been "wait 'til the league sees Jered twice".  Assuming that MLB teams actually have an advanced scouting budget, I'm guessing that most teams are prepared for Jered at this point.  So let's see how each fared over his next 11 starts.

Jered: 66.1 IP, 3.26 ERA, 9 HR, 61 K
Jeff: 58.2 IP, 8.59 ERA, 16 HR, 40 K

So, how many starts until we stop hearing the "Jeff got off to a great start, too" argument?  30?  50?  100?

Does anyone out there still think Jered is destined to be another Jeff?

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