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Beane Going For It

It is official. Billy Beane traded Huston Street, Greg Smith and Carlos Gonzalez to the Rockies for Matt Holliday.

Make no doubt that Billy, a slave to Pythagoras in the RobNeyerian Orthodox manner, believes that the American League West can be had. He obviously subscribes to the wonkish theory that the Angels' 100-Win record was produced by luck and cannot be replicated.

If Beane is using Seattle 07-08 as a model, he is distinctly missing out on the fact that the '07 Mariners over-performed while completely healthy while the '08 Angels over-performed with a host of injuries to key players.

In addition to forcing the Angels to instinctively spend more money on free agent pickups, this challenges Texas and Seattle to go out on a limb as well. Beane knows any strong club in the division will beat up on the Halos as much as they will challenge his Mathletics game by game.

Holliday's numbers outside of Denver are below league average. In the Al Davis Colliseum, they will likely be terrible. But the guy is in his prime and in a contract year and the Great White Hope Holliday may actually be able to put together a decent season. Couple this with the chance that Mark Teixeira will not be re-signing with the Angels and you have one offense prrobably gettting better while the other is likely going to suffer if one or both of Kendry Morales and Brandon Wood cannot rise to the occasion of being everyday major leaguers.

But the gamble on Beane's part goes to the heart of statisitcal measurements - was the Angels' won-loss record this year a fluke of luck in the team's favor? If the answer is YES, than the A's have better than a slim chance to capture the Division title,a  chance that improves if the Angels recent ridisculously bad luck with injuries continues. But if the 2008 Angels record was an indicator of where they would be had they enjoyed ordinary health, than look for Beane to simply be trading Matt Holliday in July.

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good points

the only thing i would worry about more then the hitting is the bullpen. the team won soo many close games that could have easily been the other way. if Shiels and Arredondo step up and 1 other FA or young arm can step in and do their thing i wouldn’t be too worried. unless the hitting absolutely tanks. then mid-season trade for a bat will do.

by HALO_86 on Nov 12, 2008 12:16 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

starting pitching

the A’s starting pitching is going to tank and the angels will make some type of move to improve their offense with or without tex.

legen... wait for it... dary

by thebigA on Nov 12, 2008 1:19 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Oh how we will cheer when Ervin Santana throws out Matt Holliday with his fastball.

“I don’t give nobody any respect.”

Recipient of the 2008 "The Iron Man" award from scottnak of Halos Heaven!

by 44FAN on Nov 12, 2008 1:42 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

*throws / strikes

Recipient of the 2008 "The Iron Man" award from scottnak of Halos Heaven!

by 44FAN on Nov 12, 2008 1:44 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Beane is giving the A's fans want they wanted, a big bat, just like Arte did with Teixeira.

It will work in his economical favor as a draw to bring all those disgruntled fans back to his park. Holliday is a bargain in that respect but he can’t get it all done by himself. They are short a few pitchers now and that could be a big achilles heel for them. They may get lucky and win a bunch of games keeping him all year, but if not, Beane can just flip him and end up with something good still out of it.

Recipient of the 2008 "The Iron Man" award from scottnak of Halos Heaven!

by 44FAN on Nov 12, 2008 1:23 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Arte wasn't pleasing fans, he was trying to win the World Series

If pandering was his style, we’d still have an outfield of Erstad, Anderson, and probably Salmon.

by mattwelch on Nov 12, 2008 9:30 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

It seems like, at some point, Billy Beane

will be ‘outed’ (sorry, couldn’t resist the Billy Bean pun) as a mediocre GM.

Here’s the thing: With the spate of small-mid market teams enjoying success in recent years, where are the A’s?

What success have they to show for all of Beane’s supposed “genius?”

I predict that the Rangers, Mariners, and the Angels (again) will all reach the WS before the Oakland White-Cleated Bastards.

It seems strange that all of Beane’s highly touted prospects turn out to be one-hit wonders and injury-prone wusses. Stranger still is that his trades don’t generally work out all that well and, when they do, usually result in the successful player becoming the pivot point for yet another bad trade. Beane’s entire “small market” excuse is little more than a self-fulfilling prophecy at this point.

When you cut to the chase, is Billy Beane even among the top ten of baseball GM’s?

Now, put Chris Pritchett at first, Bobby Rose at second, Pete Coachmen at third, and let's go win.

by GarretSaysSuckIt on Nov 12, 2008 3:22 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

billy

i think he is. only because thats what the owner wants. he’s only doing what the owner has budgeted for him to use on the payroll. i think he does a good job with the talent evaluations. only thing about the injuries is that they seem to get hurt after they leave the A’s. so the A’s get their prospects before the damage is done. i think the A’s aren’t going to contend but he’s going to get some good prospects for Holliday. he usually goes after AA-A prospects so you have to eventually wait and see how this team comes out in couple of yrs.

by HALO_86 on Nov 12, 2008 3:43 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Billy Beane is part owner, so he’s kinda doing whatever he wants. That type of control gives him the ability to cut costs when necessary (2007-2008), Add Payroll when necessary (2008-2009 – Could possibly spend up to $80 Million).

Worst Statement Ever: “Stranger still is that his trades don’t generally work out all that well and, when they do, usually result in the successful player becoming the pivot point for yet another bad trade” – GSSI

Mark Mulder for Haren, Barton, Calero

Danny Haren for Carlos Gonzalez, Greg Smith, Brett Anderson (Top-15 Prospect), Chris Carter (Top-60 Prospect), Aaron Cunningham, Dana Eveland

Carlos Gonzalez, Greg Smith, Huston Street for Matt Holliday.

Matt Holliday for ??(SS)? + ?(3B)????

I think there are still a couple more balls to drop w/ the A’s – Furcal? Free Agent Mid-Rotation Pitcher (Brad Penny, Derek Lowe)? Maybe another trade to bring in a veteran Pitcher?

As for Billy Beane being a Top-10 Baseball GM, I would have to say “Yes”. Honest Question: Would Angel Fans want Billy Beane or Tony Reagins running their team?

by Colorado Fan on Nov 13, 2008 2:35 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Reagins

As impressive as he is at trading away pieces, he has not done very well at deciding who to keep.

Teixeira............Everything else can wait.

by hauldog on Nov 13, 2008 3:34 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

That was about Beane

Teixeira............Everything else can wait.

by hauldog on Nov 13, 2008 3:34 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Beane

i never got the impressions he ever wants to keep any of his players. if they have value, they start to hit arbitration yrs. then i thought his idea was to trade them.

by HALO_86 on Nov 13, 2008 3:43 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

matt holiday on the road:

@ Arizona
@ San Diego
@ San Francisco
@ LA Dodgers

im sorry, but just about everyones power numbers would go down if thats where the overwhelming majority of their road games were spent. True, playing in oakland will not help and neither will going against our staff but i think all of the people who somehow expect a .330 hitter to turn into a .275/20 homer guy, youre in for a sorry wakeup call and so are the angels

by ihearhowie2.0 on Nov 12, 2008 4:25 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Beane

The guy has had so much success that you can’t discount his moves. Two losing seasons in a row don’t make someone automatically bad, and he was just a few pieces away health-wise each time. The only question mark I have about the trade is him giving away a couple of pitchers, but he looks ready to replenish with some amazing talent, so this trade could easily work out in his favor.

by Andy Seiler on Nov 12, 2008 4:31 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

kinda like how our farm is now

you can only spend so much money. Vlad is another year older, we could be without GA and Rivera. Figgins is an unknown. Is aybar anything more than defense at this point? This team as built needs to either A.) spend a ton of money on a star like Teix or CC or B.) needs to bank on unknowns like brandon wood and kendry morales spontaneously becoming impact bats to be better this year.

The A’s just acquired an all star calibur player and plan on increasing payroll with more offense or even pitching. In terms of improvement, they have room to grow even more and we have a risk of getting worse with Wood and Morales. The gap between our teams isnt as big as people here think and the A’s are going for it. that should worry you

by ihearhowie2.0 on Nov 12, 2008 4:46 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

"So much success?"

How so? When?

The A’s are a historic winning team that hasn’t done anything in the postseason since Beane’s arrival.

He’s had success relative to expectations (expectations that are low only because of Beane’s own massaging), that’s about it. Who’s the better GM, Sandy Alderson or Billy Beane? Same market, same stadium, very different results. Alderson built his teams from within, too, but he won.

Now, put Chris Pritchett at first, Bobby Rose at second, Pete Coachmen at third, and let's go win.

by GarretSaysSuckIt on Nov 12, 2008 10:04 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Alderson

The A’s had to spend tons of money to win under Alderson. Beane has won with a whole lot less cash. Most teams can win when they spend on a big-market level.

by Andy Seiler on Nov 13, 2008 4:11 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Angels Vs. A's

A’s fan here, I’ll try to avoid too much bashing…

A’s trading for Holliday doesn’t necessarily mean we are going for it, as Beane might flip him before the season even starts. It is very possible it was simply a value upgrade.

Nevertheless, we probably are going for it and Angels fans should be worried about it. Lots of rumors floating around Furcal and Giambi as well for us, which would give us quite a good lineup. If that were to come to fruition and the Angels didn’t sign Tex your lineup would be significantly worse than ours. Yall should be happy at the prospect of dumping GA though. The man has always been and will continue to be Ken Griffey Jr.-lite…and Griffey is finished being a productive hitter in the MLB.

Anyway, A’s pitching seems unlikely to improve significantly, but unless the Angels make a big move the A’s will be close and our minor league system is ready to spit out a lot of talent.

Btw, hating on Billy Beane is just silly, show yourselves some dignity. He certainly gets a lot of credit even when he is potentially making a bad move, but he is a Top 5 GM. The fact that so many of you senselessly complain about him and the A’s reaffirms what a good job he has done making life difficult for the Angels.

Also, “Mathletics”…that is an insult?? seriously? Mathletes rule the friggin world dude, get with the program because being anti-intellectual is only cool in beer commercials, which are of course crafted by mathletes.

www.punditpolitics.com - Political IQ Tests, Pundit Blog, News and Opinion.

by ChadGod on Nov 12, 2008 7:45 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

BOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

dont bring that reasonable and objective logic round here.

by ihearhowie2.0 on Nov 12, 2008 7:55 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Angels vs. A's

Dude – I am not worried about the A’s even if you get Furcal and Giambi to go with Holliday. Your pitching is crap and you just traded Greg Smith. Pitching is what will win the Angels yet another AL West championship. Let’s compare…

Angel Rotation
John Lackey, Joe Saunder, Ervin Santana, Jered Weaver and Kelvim Escobar (if healthy). If not, we will sign a 5th starter who will probably be better than 1/2 of your rotation.

A’s Rotation
Justin Duchscherer, Dana Eveland, Sean Gallagher, Gio Gonzalez, Dallas Braden? (Greg Smith replacment)

Light up the Freakin Halo!

by marshgr on Nov 12, 2008 8:07 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The A's will be the less-than-the Rangers in 2009. A few less good hitters and no, or lousy, pitching staff.

Enjoy the euphoria of your off season Holliday my friends, as April and the time to put up or shut comes. The trading season has only just begun and the A’s fans have scored a player they can be excited about to cheer for. The Angels will assemble as good a team as they had last year and probably better, so don’t count us out before the trading season is even over yet.

By the way, we don’t hate Billy Beane individually, we just hate the Oakland A’ss in general and their stinking fans! Let’s get this perfectly clear.

Recipient of the 2008 "The Iron Man" award from scottnak of Halos Heaven!

by 44FAN on Nov 12, 2008 8:33 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Totally agree...

As a fan, I fear the Rangers far more than the A’s.

The A’s have an anemic offense (it’s going to take a lot more than Holliday) and an even more deficient pitching staff.

Bottom dollar says the Rangers finish ahead of the A’s in ’09.

Now, put Chris Pritchett at first, Bobby Rose at second, Pete Coachmen at third, and let's go win.

by GarretSaysSuckIt on Nov 12, 2008 9:30 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Hmm...

Most Ranger fans see the A’s as more of a threat next year than we see ourselves being one. Our pitching and defense isn’t exactly strong enough quite yet.

by Andy Seiler on Nov 13, 2008 4:13 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Comparing GA to Griffey?

And Izturis is the poor man’s Ripken.

by seamariners85 on Nov 14, 2008 10:07 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I'm not sure an .846 OPS makes him an Ass's killer.

Pretty good and certainly better than his overall numbers. But a killer, not so much.

by snowhor on Nov 14, 2008 10:32 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

It would appear that

“value upgrade” is the new name for “bad future trade on the horizon.”

Now, put Chris Pritchett at first, Bobby Rose at second, Pete Coachmen at third, and let's go win.

by GarretSaysSuckIt on Nov 12, 2008 9:43 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Funny Rev...

How you mention Holliday as “The Great White Hope”. Maybe in the NBA or NFL. There are enough “Aryans” in the MLB to retake the OC!!!!!!!!!!!

Gimme a cigarette

by tmat on Nov 12, 2008 7:47 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

huh. didnt even realize i had an account

ive been i guess what people call trolling every blog and every story ever since this came. i cant lie im stoked about this if for no other reason than it gives me an excuse to escape bay area “sports” pro and college, sharks excluded.

i guess the only thing i cant stand is how every media outlet takes everything beane does and tries to decipher it and twist it to seem as though the a’s came out as thieves and that beane is great and is god. as a loyal blind follower of the a’s since i was a punk kid in the 80’s sneaking into the colliseum with whiskey inside my pants, i gotta say i wouldnt want any other gm running the a’s, but i dont think hes necessarily the greatest baseball mind that’s ever lived or something and sometimes it’s tiresome to see guys like gammons or neyer just suckle at his tete just for the sake of it. who knows how he’d do running say for example the angels, more money doesnt necessarily mean better performance as beane himself said many times. ill never admit this to my mortal enemy/buddy who’s a hardcore angels fan, but i think in the end whenever that might be for beane, the perception of the job he did will be skewed away from the reality that just like any other sports gm or management, its cyclical, a’s had a good run then came down just like every other franchise unless youre the pirates in which case youre just down.

and btw, i think i posted this a long time ago out on this site now that i think about it but i had a chance to drink with brandon wood a while back and dudes a cool cat who mashes the ball pretty well, hard to root against a guy like that.

by thelazeeguy on Nov 12, 2008 9:02 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Revenues aren't holding other teams

back as much as Beane seems to think they’re holding the A’s back.

Market size is Beane’s built-in, pre-made, excuse. Despite all of the A’s success before Beane (funny that after this long, he’s still won nothing), he continues to be thought of as somehow special.

Beane’s GM career is beginning to resemble his playing career; the can’t miss prospect (GM) continues to miss.

Now, put Chris Pritchett at first, Bobby Rose at second, Pete Coachmen at third, and let's go win.

by GarretSaysSuckIt on Nov 12, 2008 9:34 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Whoops...

Didn’t mean that as a response to our reality-based A’s fan, rather as a general comment.

Sorry.

Now, put Chris Pritchett at first, Bobby Rose at second, Pete Coachmen at third, and let's go win.

by GarretSaysSuckIt on Nov 12, 2008 9:37 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The reason people kiss Beane's ass so much is not because of his success

(or perennial good results with what he is provided), but because he was unorthodox in his techniques, and they actually worked. He went and exploited parts of the market that were “undervalued.” Yeah, the A’s haven’t won a World Series under Beane, but he had made them contenders every season, except the last two. The Red Sox adapted some similar techniques, and look where they are: 2 rings in 4 years.

witty remark

by dtownmbrown on Nov 12, 2008 10:59 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Beane brought something new

almost ten years ago. Since then, GMs have caught and surpassed him.

I’m not denying the value of Beane’s perspective, just stating that it’s old news and that others are now better at it than he.

Now, put Chris Pritchett at first, Bobby Rose at second, Pete Coachmen at third, and let's go win.

by GarretSaysSuckIt on Nov 13, 2008 12:07 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I for one am stoked that the A's are challenging in '09

As the playoffs this year may or may not have proven, we need some competition. One of the reasons we won in ‘02 was that both us and the A’s played like .900 ball for whole stretches of the second half. Sharpens the knife-points, that kind of mano-a-mano.

Truth is the offense is iffy w/out Teix & w/out other upgrades. A’s fans love bashing G.A., but even the best possible Willits/Matthews platoon won’t approach his production; and Figgins — who would probably move to LF if he’s not traded — can no longer hit anything but singles. An everyday lineup with Morales, Figgins, Wood, Aybar, and Matthews/Willits (plus Mathis 40% of the time) is a lineup that will not be scoring many runs, even if Howie’s hammies stay clean and Napoli continues to mash.

The good news is that we will likely NOT go with such an anemic lineup. Plus, the Holliday signing will goose Arte into trying to keep Teix, which is really where our energies should be at right now.

by mattwelch on Nov 12, 2008 9:38 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

As usual...

on point (I would say, “as always,” but Matt sometimes disagrees with me ;-)).

When the A’s won 20 in a row in ‘02, the Angels quietly won 18 of 20 to stay close. The two teams always play tight games (even when the A’s are otherwise struggling it seems).

Ironically, GA hits better in Oakland than in any other city (and against any other team). .323/.368/.474 in Oakland (and .318/.361/.485 against Oakland overall) suggests that the A’s fans bashing GA might just be sick of him waxing their team.

I’d like to see GA replaced with by a clear upgrade but truly fear that whatever/whoever ends up in LF for the Angels next season won’t be able to match what GA will be bringing to another team. I can’t help but fear that, given his career splits (and at least some degree of GA animosity toward the Angels next season), the A’s sign GA for one year. Doubt it will happen, but he would certainly represent an offensive improvement for the A’s (which I suppose speaks volumes about how weak the A’s offense has become).

Now, put Chris Pritchett at first, Bobby Rose at second, Pete Coachmen at third, and let's go win.

by GarretSaysSuckIt on Nov 12, 2008 9:57 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

"with by"

Now, put Chris Pritchett at first, Bobby Rose at second, Pete Coachmen at third, and let's go win.

by GarretSaysSuckIt on Nov 12, 2008 9:58 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Whoops.

Now, put Chris Pritchett at first, Bobby Rose at second, Pete Coachmen at third, and let's go win.

by GarretSaysSuckIt on Nov 12, 2008 9:58 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I've always been back and forth on G.A..

He’s always been as consistent as hell. Seems like every year that he’s been healthy hes put up good offensive numbers. One thing I’ve always knocked (and many others) about G.A. is his appearance to be lazy in the field. There have been too many plays to count over the years where I’ve wondered how he hasn’t gotten to a ball or watched as he loafed over to a ball hit to him. At the same time, I’m sure he realizes he’s no Torii Hunter/Ichiro with the glove out there either. He can pretend all he wants that he can play great D (AHEMRaul IbanezPUKE) but maybe by playing to his abilities on defense he maximized his offensive potential? Not saying he’s the Babe up there at the plate or anything, but maybe he prevented some injuries that he may have suffered from and it seems like any deficiencies he may have produced in the field he seemed to have made up for with his bat.

I dont know if that makes any sense, just bored at work thinking about baseball (what else?!)

by seamariners85 on Nov 13, 2008 10:54 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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