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The Race is on!

Frankie just tied Smoltz for the ultra-esoteric record of most saves before the all-star break.  There are 10 games left before the break.

He needs 24 more to break the single season record.

 

ALL-TIME SINGLE-SEASON
SAVES LEADERS
Pitcher Year Saves
Bobby Thigpen 1990 57
Eric Gagne 2003 55
John Smoltz 2002 55
Trevor Hoffman 1998 53
Randy Myers 1993 53
Mariano Rivera 2004 53
Eric Gagne 2002 52
Rod Beck 1998 51
Dennis Eckersley 1992 51
Mariano Rivera 2001 50

This Fan-Post is authored by an independent fan. Tell us what you think and how you feel.

3 recs | Comment 61 comments

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A LOT COULD HAPPEN

between now and the end of the seaosn … the Angels could have a better offense and have less save opportunities for Frankie to convert. Or vice versa, we could tailspin and be behind so often that there is not enough opportunities for him to save games.

But I do like his chances. I would only hope that it is not a distraction if there is a tight pennant race in September.

by Rev Halofan on Jul 2, 2008 6:00 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If he keeps saving games at the same rate

(2.5 games per save) he’ll have the record by game 145. That would leave 17 games worth of care free pennant racing.

Too bad he doesn’t have an extra year left so we could trade him for some offense. The irony being that had we done that this past winter, we might have had a larger average margin of victory and there would have been less save opportunities.

Captain, there are doubt's...

by Match Day 5 on Jul 2, 2008 8:25 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Or we might not have had that larger margin of victory

and ended up with a lot more blown saves. Sherril has 5, Papelbon has 4, and those in less opportunities than Franky has had. Our lead is only 5.5. How many less could we really afford?

~Till the Halo burns out...

by Zu Long on Jul 2, 2008 8:52 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

A blown save is not necessarily a loss

But lets say he did blow five saves. Then we still have a half game lead!!

Captain, there are doubt's...

by Match Day 5 on Jul 3, 2008 6:51 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

But that's my point.

Season’s not over yet. Who knows how close they get, or how many saves someone who isn’t Franky would blow. He’s on pace for 67 or so opportunities.

Point is, it’s hard to say we’re really a better team if we traded him.

~Till the Halo burns out...

by Zu Long on Jul 3, 2008 9:33 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Frankie and his agent must giggle everyday about the Angels

not giving him a bigger contract during the offseason

Angels in 08!

by tanana40 on Jul 2, 2008 6:30 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Panther

Angel Pitching, Angel Defense - get past that.

by vladtheimpaler on Jul 3, 2008 3:47 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Soooooo....

If he does break the record, do you then resign him?

go!

http://www.sipperphotography.com

by sipperphoto on Jul 2, 2008 7:18 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

No matter what you resign him.

Seattle I would like to thank you for sucking. It allows me to get back to my roots: Hating Fremont.

Kobe tell me how my ass tastes

by hauldog on Jul 2, 2008 7:24 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I'm not sure...........

Please believe me, I understand and appreciate your reverence for the accomplishments of our esteemed KRod. However, something inside me revulses at the thought of paying out possibly $60MM over 4 years….or something approaching that, for a pitcher who has over the years been characterized by many astute baseball prophets as a prime candidate for replacement arm surgery…...not to mention two sore ankles.

I am as guilty as many, of projecting the past production of my favorite hero into my own future visions of Angels glory. However, I admit that on this particular issue, I am scared.

I don’t know if Reagins has a choice on this issue, but projecting myself into his chair at this time, I think I would let Frankie KRod walk. I think extended DL time is eminent, although I pray not this year.

Angels’ management is either grooming Arredondo as the eventual closer, or perpetuating a masterful illusion, for negotiation purposes with KRod.

Regardless, the stats of the profoundly inexperienced Arredondo vs. KRod today are interesting fodder for Sam Adams discussions for a while. Shields and Speir are not slugs, either. Having a little knowledge of finances, and some about baseball, I would have to think long long, long, and hard, about allowing KRod to walk.

by wumbug on Jul 2, 2008 9:49 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

It's not an easy question.

My gut instinct is yes, but that’s because I’m a dreamer who thinks K-Rod will be the first Angel-bred player to make the HOF, with a nigh-untouchable saves record, both single-season and career. However, I recognize that some of that money necessarily becomes money NOT spent down the line on guys like Howie or Kotch or Santana or Lackey.

The injury concerns are, I think, somewhat unfounded. He may have shoulder issues down the road, but for his late twenties, probably not. He’s been pretty damn healthy the last four years with the worst issue being his ankles back in April. Supposedly he’s corrected it.

How many chances do you get at someone like K-Rod? A guy who is as automatic as it’s possible to get, who sneers at what has frankly been the toughest closing position in baseball over the past 4 years. The Angels haven’t had a true murderer’s row offense in that time, so Franky has put up 40 save seasons every year. That isn’t easy. Huston Street hasn’t been able to do it. Papelbon hasn’t been able to do it. And the hell of it is that K-Rod’s been healthier than both those guys.

Maybe ET is just as good as K-Rod, or even better. It’s tough to know. Guys come up and have great single-seasons all the time, then get punished the next year. K-Rod is one of the very few that has demonstrated the ability to go out and get results every time. Guys like Nathan, Rivera, Wagner, Hoffman- year in, year out, they’re up there in the closer rankings, plugging away- guys like that are hard to find. Putz, Gagne, Lidge- those are but a few of the people who had truly epic runs as closers, for a season or two or three, then bowed out due to injury or something else. We chose the right time to drop Percy, though I still really like the guy. K-Rod had come in, and shown over 2 seasons (and 1 particularly memorable playoff run) that he had what it took, while Percy was aging and had hip problems.

I think you have to stick with K-Rod, in the end. He’s a rock of comparative certainty in the extremely uncertain world that is major league relief pitching.

~Till the Halo burns out...

by Zu Long on Jul 2, 2008 10:19 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Amen

I think his ankles injury forced him to rethink his mechanics and delivery if he wants to continue closing. Maybe it’s just me, but his delivery seems less violent than in prior seasons.

Re-sign the guy, a strong back end of the bullpen is certainly essential to Angels baseball.

by TheTypingFiend on Jul 2, 2008 11:48 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think you're right

If you look at 2002, his delivery was much less violent that 2006/2007. His current delivery is closer to the 2002 version.

Angels fan since '67

by red floyd on Jul 3, 2008 8:14 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Thank you

Seattle I would like to thank you for sucking. It allows me to get back to my roots: Hating Fremont.

Kobe tell me how my ass tastes

by hauldog on Jul 3, 2008 1:45 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Well, you've got to bloody re-sign him no matter what it costs

It’s a non-starter. I am not a Frankie lover but there is no disputing his record and acheivements and he is going to bend Arte over on the salary negotiations.

Don't call me Desmond

by highlandhalo on Jul 2, 2008 7:30 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If you are bloody, bandage yourself...

but yeah, he needs to be re-signed. Show him the money, $16 Million per year.

by Downing Rules on Jul 3, 2008 9:17 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

3 @ 16

with a team option for a 4th year (@17) that becomes automatic with simple performance goals.

by Rev Halofan on Jul 2, 2008 9:56 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

do we know

with any certainty what was offered and turned down?

Lamest poster of all-time.

by ineptituderunsamok on Jul 2, 2008 10:30 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

We have been told

that the Angels were thinking 3 years at $10 MM per this offseason, and K-Rod/Agent were thinking more like 4/$15.

~Till the Halo burns out...

by Zu Long on Jul 2, 2008 10:36 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Choakland's Bullpen This Series

shows you what you get when you settle for less than the very best.

by Rev Halofan on Jul 2, 2008 11:49 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

He will go to the highest bidder...

It’s a pure cash consideration. If the Angels offer him the most he’ll stay, if they don’t he’ll leave. The question to debate here, therefore, is what he’ll be offered elsewhere (and by whom) that would entice him to leave, and consequently what do the Angels have to match or better?

Who needs an upgrade at closer (no regular guy or patchy performance by incumbent)?
Cleveland
Atlanta
Houston ?
San Diego
St Louis
Texas
Dodgers?
San Francisco?
Colorado
Detroit

Who’ll need one in the off-season (walk year for closer)?
Cubs
Arizona
Detroit
St Louis
San Diego
Colorado
Cleveland
Angels

To my eye, the big risks there are Detroit & Chicago (who both can afford him and are in win now mode), Houston (who with Wade in charge are dumb enough to do anything) and maybe Arizona. The Yankees keep getting mentioned, but will Frankie set up for Rivera? The Giants aren’t afraid to spend, they just keep screwing it up. I don’t think the other teams there are going to spend Frankie-money to get him.

Any comments, additions? What do we have to bid to beat this lot? I see Detroit as the major threat, their bullpen is a disaster.

I see red people

by The Limey on Jul 3, 2008 3:21 AM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Pitcher for pitcher perhaps?

...C C Sabathia for K-Rod? Just a thought…

by Ducky22 on Jul 3, 2008 7:27 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Do you really think Hoffman is done?

If he’s not, I feel pretty confident SD will re-sign him.

The Cubs are a possibility. Back when Marmol was dominating, I would have said they’d sign him. However, Wood would be a cheaper option.

You missed the Mets though. I believe Wagner’s contract is up this year.

~Till the Halo burns out...

by Zu Long on Jul 3, 2008 9:39 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Hoffman's ERA is 5.00 with 5 losses

If he isn’t done, he’s certainly flirting with it.

Wagner’s contract goes to 2009 with a club option for ‘10 with a complete no-trade clause.

Agree with Wood and the Cubs, if they’ve got enough sticking plaster to hold him together.

I’m still looking at Detroit as the major competition.

I see red people

by The Limey on Jul 3, 2008 11:55 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Huh.

Well that’s really interesting. In another topic the Mets were thrown out as big-time shoppers. If they aren’t in it, then we’ve actually eliminated most of the heavy spenders.

Detroit needs starting pitching and has a ton of money locked up already. I don’t see them going for it. Cleveland maybe, but they seem to have other issues. The only other teams I could see making a serious run at K-Rod are St. Louis and Arizona. Arizona has a cheaper, close-to-home option in Lyon.

That seems to leave just the Cards as a major threat to spend big money on him. You only spend ridicu-dollars on a closer if you feel like you’re just one piece away, and if you have cash to burn. The Cards are the only guys who really seem to fit that bill.

This actually seems like a good situation for us. The Cubs we’ll have to watch (if they lose in the playoffs because of a Kerry Wood blown save, you know K-Rod’s going to be top of the list) the Cards are a possibility, but otherwise, I can’t really see anyone throwing $15 million at K-Rod. I guess maybe the Dodgers and Rangers are outside shots, since it wouldn’t be smart, but they could potentially do it anyway.

~Till the Halo burns out...

by Zu Long on Jul 3, 2008 12:17 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If Walt Jockety were still with the Cards, I'd say he was a sure bet to make a run.

It seems like the Dodgers might decide to just let Hong-Chih Kuo take over though.

~Till the Halo burns out...

by Zu Long on Jul 3, 2008 12:37 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I just threw up in my mouth

Seattle I would like to thank you for sucking. It allows me to get back to my roots: Hating Fremont.

Kobe tell me how my ass tastes

by hauldog on Jul 3, 2008 1:46 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I was thinking it...

...I just didn’t want to say it.

I see red people

by The Limey on Jul 3, 2008 2:13 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Nope. It will be the Tigers

Their bullpen is awful. They need a massive overhaul there. And they have money.

by LA Seitz on Jul 3, 2008 10:48 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

But that's just it

They really don’t. It’s all locked up in their players right now, and they have at least one big hole to fill at catcher next season.

~Till the Halo burns out...

by Zu Long on Jul 4, 2008 10:46 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Whoops.

Didn’t think this one got posted.

~Till the Halo burns out...

by Zu Long on Jul 4, 2008 1:06 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

But that's just it.

They kind of don’t. In total, assuming they don’t pick up Renteria’s option, they have $36 million coming off the books in 2009. They have a current payroll of $135 Million. Contract increases next season total $16 million, not counting arbitration. They will need, at bare minimum, a SS and a Catcher, and unless they want their starting pitching to consist of Verlander-Galarraga-Bonderman-Robertson-Willis they need another starter. Thanks to the Cabrera-Willis and Renteria trades, their major-league-ready prospects consists of a box of cracker jacks.

Bottom line is, with all the issues that team has, their ability to blow $15 million on a closer is highly doubtful.

~Till the Halo burns out...

by Zu Long on Jul 4, 2008 11:26 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

IMO

i think its gonna run closer to 4 yrs. @ 20 mil to keep him if he keeps this season up

i pledge alliegance... to mike Scioscia
and the angels way of baseball
and to each pennant and ring we are sure to win.
one fanatic, under the halo, unwavered
with in n out and world series rings for all

by halofan4life on Jul 3, 2008 8:20 AM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The guy's only 26 years old..

...you don’t suppose he’s fishing for 5 (or more) years do you?

I see red people

by The Limey on Jul 3, 2008 8:30 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Not Necessarily

If he signs for 4 years, then assuming he’s still healthy & effective he gets a shot at another big money, multi-year deal. The longer a deal he signs now, the greater the chance that his next deal isn’t quite as grand, due to advancing age, decline, etc.

by jjackflash on Jul 3, 2008 1:43 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Sign him no matter what

The dude is young and an undeniable stud who keeps getting better (his changeup this year is looking great). The’s the best player in the league at one of the most important positions. There is no replacement. It takes a closer to win in the postseason, we have the best closer in the league, let’s keep him.

by leftwing on Jul 3, 2008 9:01 AM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

And about the record...

who cares? Just win the games.

I do not think that the Angels will have as many save opps in the second half. That’s assuming the offense finally wakes up. It has been an unreal number of opportunities due to the offensive woes.

by Downing Rules on Jul 3, 2008 9:45 AM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think it'd be kind of nice to see him get it though.

I agree that it’s kind of academic, but it’d be a cool sort of thing to have as a piece of Angels lore.

~Till the Halo burns out...

by Zu Long on Jul 3, 2008 9:47 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

K-Rod

It isn’t hyperbole to consider K-Rod possibly, the best closer in franchise history.

However, if the Angels play hardball with him, I could see him closing for the Detroit Tigers. They have the money, they need a closer [besides aged Todd Jones] and compared to New York, it will be a lot less stressful for K-Rod to play there [which I think is a strong consideration, besides the $$$].

If the Angels want to penny pinch, then they do have options.

Realistically, Scot Shields can close for the next two seasons [if he doesn’t implode like he did in the second half of 2007] and by the time he is old, Arredondo can take over [hopefully he isn’t one of these gascans, who is all stuff, but no brains].

PS: Justin Speier is not a realistic option for anything but a 7th inning guy.

by BBFan1 on Jul 3, 2008 12:06 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The Tigers have other issues though.

Largely the fact that they have most of that team wrapped up through 2009, with increasing salaries every year. They’ll need a new catcher and a new left fielder. They traded most of their minor-leaguers away for Cabrera and Willis. I think it’s more likely they just let Zumaya step in, to save money if nothing else.

~Till the Halo burns out...

by Zu Long on Jul 3, 2008 12:32 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I don't know of a metric that you could come up with that would put Percy ahead of him.

You could say longevity but K-Rod may not be done. In tangibles? K-Rod was at least as big as Percy in 2002. Average saves, save success percentage, era, etc. All favor K-Rod. If he DOES get resigned, then I don’t think there is much of a question that he WILL be the greatest closer in Angel history.

by melvintoast on Jul 3, 2008 6:46 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

unless frankie pitches with the angels for another 4 years at least

there can be no debate.
Percival-579 appearances, 300+ saves
Frankie-372 appearances, 180, saves

frankie might be better than percival, but at the moment, not greater to the angels franchise. Percival, since he came up (when the angels were kinda bad) only endured 3 seasons of sub-.500 ball. He helped carry the team from a bad team into a great team. Frankie might be the greatest closer to play on the angels, but Percival is the greatest closer FOR the angels.
But if K-rod resigns, all bets are off.

I AM THOR, GOD OF THUNDER. BOW TO MY WILL AND MY HAMMER!

by anaheim angels on Jul 4, 2008 12:41 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Sure, there can "be a debate"

It’s the age-old debate between longevity and peak.

by mattwelch on Jul 4, 2008 9:08 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

As I said, if K-Rod gets re-signed.

Is Reggie Jackson the greatest left fielder in franchise history?

by melvintoast on Jul 4, 2008 10:35 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Reggie never played an inning of left field for us, so no

Best left fielders in team history are Garret Anderson, Brian Downing, and Leon Wagner. Reggie comes nowhere near the Top 2 in RF, either.

by mattwelch on Jul 5, 2008 10:43 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

For the non-re-sign advocates

Regardless of their representation in this thread, I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again:

The comparison is not between what Frankie is and what we’d like Frankie to be, or what we think Frankie could be, or what Frankie did for three innings in the ALDS in 2002. The difference is between what Frankie is and what would replace him and/or what’s on the market. Shields has a history of poor second halves. Jose has no history. Speier currently sucks. That’s the reality.

I remember going to Rams games in Anaheim when Kevin Green was a hold out and seeing signs that said “Georgia, sign the checks!”. Well, I’ll say it. Arte, sign the checks. Bring Frankie back. He’s been among the most dominant closers in the game the past few years AND he’s developed a change-up. My gut tells me he’s not done learning. Five year deal. 400 saves as an Angel before we need to re-up. He could, conceivable, get to 600 saves as Angel before his career is over if it breaks our way.

by LA Seitz on Jul 3, 2008 10:46 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Look at the list of best career Angel relievers by ERA+

Here. Then tell me again how anyone can even begin to consider Frankie replaceable.

Yeah, some people have been predicting catastrophic injury for six years now. What’s especially weird is that many of those same people thought the Dodgers signing J.D. Drew to a 5-year contract was a good deal. Weird! And ultimately irrelevant. In baseball, cream-of-the-crop talent is almost always underpaid, no matter what the high price. Sign more Frankies, sign less GMJs, and continue developing good young (cheap) talent, and we’ll continue winning the division year after year, and will add another ring over the next half-decade.

by mattwelch on Jul 4, 2008 9:06 AM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

In fairness, it's probably because Arredondo's current career ERA+ is 302... >_>

And really ERA+ is less significant than the question of save efficiency. Franky is legitimately awesome, but the fact is that everyone screws up some time, and the question is how many screw ups do we believe Franky prevents over an “average” guy. It’s not that many- 4-5 games in a normal season, most likely. Of course, seasons like this one do pop up every once in a while, and then it’s more.

Baseball prospectus has a stat they claim measures a Reliever’s expected wins added over a replacement-level reliever. Over his career, K-Rod’s numbers and rank among all ML relievers are as follows:

2003- 1.768 (52nd)
2004- 5.197 (9th)
2005- 5.621 (1st)
2006- 7.301 (1st)
2007- 4.259 (11th)
Thus far, 2008- 3.900 (1st)

Interesting note: The rankings go back to 1959, and only a handful of other guys have ever topped the rankings twice (Dennis Eckersley, Eric Gagne, Dan Quisenberry, Lindy McDaniel, Rich “Goose” Gossage, Tug McGraw, and Ron Perranoski). Should K-Rod finish the season on top, he’ll become the only reliever in 50 years to rank 1st 3 times.

~Till the Halo burns out...

by Zu Long on Jul 4, 2008 12:48 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Great numbers Zu

See, I don’t hate on Frankie all the time! :)

Don't call me Desmond

by highlandhalo on Jul 5, 2008 3:17 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Nonono

Remember what happened the last time you stopped hating? There’s a kharmic balance here that we shouldn’t upset. :-P

Seriously though, I am glad you’ve softened up on him a bit. And because I know you’re a big Percy fan-

1996: 8.309 (1st)

As far as I can tell, it’s the highest ranked season by any Angel (thus far). Just thought you’d enjoy knowing that.

~Till the Halo burns out...

by Zu Long on Jul 5, 2008 4:04 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Where will K-Rod Land?

Hopefully with the Angels, but we can’t overpay and expect to keep Kendrick (down the road) and Lackey (who will be extremely expensive and should be).

Here are the K-Rod Possibilities:

1. Back with the Halos – this is the most likely choice in my eyes. Arrredondo is nowhere near ready. Shields is not good enough to close and Speier is starting to circle the drain.
2. Dodgers – Saito is old and injury prone. They do have Broxton, but would jump at the chance of stealing K-Rod.
3. Indians – major need, but would they spend to get him?
4. Bluejays – Ryan has been prone to injury.
5. Rays

Light up the Freakin Halo!

by marshgr on Jul 16, 2008 5:06 AM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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