2008 Garland 12 k-rod 10 tex 12.5 vladdy 14.5 ga 12 esco 9 lackey 7 figgy 4.75 izzy 1.2 q 1 rivera 2 oliver 2 erv 0.4 2009 Garland ?? free K-Rod ?? free Tex ?? free Rivera ?? free oliver ?? free Vladdy 15M option GA 14M option lackey 9M option Figgy ?? arbitration izzy ?? arb Q ?? arb Ervin ?? arb 2010 esco ?? free vladdy ?? free ga ?? free lackey ?? free figgy ?? free q ?? free izzy ?? arb ervin ?? arb weave ?? arb hk ?? arb reggie ?? arb nap ?? arb joe ?? arb mose ?? arb aybar ?? arb math ?? arbSo to me, the math works like this:
Assume Garland is re-signed since Escobar is questionable. Assume Rivera is re-signed for 5M. Vladdy's club option is exercised as is Lackey's. GA probably walks. Figgy and Ervin are eligible for arbitration, let say that costs the club about $7M. If K-Rod walks, Net difference would be about $10M less. You lose Garrett and K-Rod.
In 2010, Esco, Vladdy, Lacky, Figgy, Rivera and Q would be free agents and a truck load of players would be eligible for arbitration. Esco walks, assume you keep Vladdy, Lackey, and Figgy. Q probably makes $2M if he stays. Give Vladdy $20M, Lackey $15M, and Figgy $7M. Arb players cost another $15M say. That's costing net $30M compared to this year.
My conclusion is that Vladdy isn't coming back after next year and Figgy probably isn't either. Unloading one other free agent probably makes a Teixera contract possible. All I can say is that Reagin has his work cut out for him!