FanPost

How do they factor these percentages??? Homers??

As a daily ritual (mostly after a halos win) I look at the standings on Espn.com to find gratification in how my beloved team is beginning to put distance between division foes and also how their record looks in comparison to the rest of baseball as each day passes.  Furthermore, espn, has a fun features when comparing win/loss columns amidst the rest of MLB. These features include: League, Overall, Wild Card, Power Rankings.  I much like the feature "Overall" because it is just one "standings" column that aligns all of MLB. Moreover, as I deeply analyzed the statistics (i'm a stats fan there i said it), I looked at the probability which is somehow calculated for each team of whether or not that team will win either the Division, WC (Wild Card), POFF ( Make the Playoffs) and I noticed that they had my beloved team at a 65% chance of making the playoffs in comparison to the Rays (84%) and the chisox (73%). I stared in disbelief at the probability ratios (with exception to the Rays which have the best record in all MLB) and couldn't find a decent excuse as to why the chisox had a higher chance of making the playoffs considering their record is worse (51-37) and only having a 1.5 game lead in that division. Furthermore, the Cubs (the redsux nation of the NL),  has an 84% chance of making the playoffs allthewhile having such an insignificant 3.5 game lead and factoring in that they have the hard charging (never count us out) Cardinals nipping at their heals. With that said, (Rev..enlighten me with your inmense baseball wisdom) is there something that I don't know when it comes to calculating such probablities??? Or, is this just the most BLATENT form of HOMERISM???? I'm really losing it.....please help!

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