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Around SBN: Jeremy Lin Continues Rampage, New York Wins On Road

Darren Oliver in Texas? Jeez, good thing we didn't offer our best reliever arbitration. All the extra work dealing with those pesky draft picks. What's the worst that could have happened? We have him on our team? Darren O'Day last year, Oli this. Bad News.

about 2 years ago Albert_n_cj_tiny Wally's World 151 comments 0 recs  | 

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ouch

That #22 pick would have been nice. I think the problem was that Oliver was gonna get pricey in arbitration.

NA 34

by blochead on Dec 20, 2009 7:16 PM PST reply actions  

OLiver would have accepted arbitration and got a big fat raise

So a 40-year-old reliever who is not really even your set-up guy is getting paid more than Matsui? Uhhh… not a good way to structure a team budget.

by Rev Halofan on Dec 20, 2009 7:27 PM PST reply actions  

The absolute maximum Oliver could've received was $4.4M total.

That’s if he got the absolute ceiling in arbitration, and that doesn’t happen all the time. More likely, the Halos would’ve paid $4M on a one-year contract. Completely reasonable given Oliver’s durability and performance history for the Angels.

The relative value of a #22 pick plus a supplemental pick is equivalent or better to $4M.

by Turks Teeth on Dec 20, 2009 7:32 PM PST up reply actions  

Actually, this isn't quite correct.

I should say, it’s theoretically possible that Oliver gets an increase over last year >20-25% of last year’s salary. But unlikely. There’s actually no upper cap, now that I review the arbitration rules — not that I can find. I was thinking back to an article I read for typical arbitration increases for relievers.

But for a 39 yr old middle reliever, I still think $4M is the likely salary he would’ve received.

by Turks Teeth on Dec 20, 2009 7:58 PM PST up reply actions  

That is what I am talking about.

    We either get a sweet pick or a good reliever on our team. Salaries are all over reality. 4 million for Oliver is what he is worth.

by Wally's World on Dec 20, 2009 8:00 PM PST up reply actions  

OH WELL THAT MAKES AAAAALLLLL THE DIFFERENCE.

give me a break. Old man is going break down any day. Lets not forget he spent a few weeks on the DL as well last year. Loved him while he was here but time to move on…

Do it for Nick '09

by BryanHarvey'sMoustache on Dec 20, 2009 8:43 PM PST up reply actions  

Based on what exactly?

Are you speculating, or front office pimpin’ here? Texas doesn’t have a problem offering DO $3.5 on the open market — Oliver is likely to be just fine.

by Turks Teeth on Dec 21, 2009 8:46 AM PST via mobile up reply actions  

Based on the fact he was on the DL...

c’mon man. read my post. Would YOU invest into a 40 year old pitcher who spent time on the DL last year?

Do it for Nick '09

by BryanHarvey'sMoustache on Dec 21, 2009 10:53 AM PST up reply actions  

You are correct he was on the DL last year...

…that was after he was pressed into an emergency SP role after Nick Adenhart was killed. IIRC, he pitched 5-6 innings, came back and pitched 1-2 innings of relief a couple of days later, and then complained of pain in his arm. When he came back off of the DL, he settled back in as a spot relieve/setup man. Oliver was solid and reliable as an RP, who’s ERA improved year to year as an Angel.

That said, I also know past isn’t prologue. I don’t know any better than anyone else if this was a good move or not. We’ll know in about 8 months or so.

by sothball on Dec 21, 2009 12:26 PM PST up reply actions  

I think financially it was a good move...

especially when you take into consideration how much he signed for. My comment in regards to Turks Teeth was out frustration for the fact that he asked what my reasoning was when it was clearly stated in my comment.

Do it for Nick '09

by BryanHarvey'sMoustache on Dec 21, 2009 12:52 PM PST up reply actions  

Last time I checked we are the LA Angels , as in the second largest market in the country.

  When a man earns a raise, and helps the team, and is worth a first round pick, I don’t care how old he is.

by Wally's World on Dec 20, 2009 9:12 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

get off it Wally...

Oli is going to make half of what we signed Matsui for; do you really think that’s worth it?

Also, dont be so short-sighted, next year is going to be a H U G E year for the free agents. Why not skimp a bit this year to throw down the big dollars next year? After all, its not like we aren’t still the obviously front-runners to win the AL West.

OH but BHM, the Mariners got Figgy and Lee and Bradley!

Listen, three players still dont solve some of the gapping holes in that team’s 25 man roster…

Do it for Nick '09

by BryanHarvey'sMoustache on Dec 21, 2009 10:56 AM PST up reply actions  

If our best reliever for 2 years running was only a B compensation pick

then he still wasn’t that good.

Frankie, by the way, was an “A” compensation pick.

I just don’t see the Oliver lightning striking three seasons in a row.

by Rev Halofan on Dec 20, 2009 8:05 PM PST up reply actions  

Oliver was good for the Mets in 2007.

Oliver had been good as a reliever for three years running now. Him signing in Texas will hurt this year. There was no reason to not offer Oliver arbitration. $4 to $5 million for your most reliable reliever is worth it for this team.

They need good relievers. They have Fuentes, Jepsen and Bulger. Who else now?

RIP Nick...

Jim Scully
Jim Scully Home

by jimmuscomp on Dec 20, 2009 11:33 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

Let's hope he is well...

I forgot about him, but we shall see.

RIP Nick...

Jim Scully
Jim Scully Home

by jimmuscomp on Dec 21, 2009 12:35 AM PST up reply actions  

Some guy in his 20s who pitches for 10 percent of what Oliver would get. Interchangeable at a pro-rated MLB salary someone will pop up. It is the nature of bullpens, the team has to at some point pull in bullpen pitching costs.

by Rev Halofan on Dec 20, 2009 11:37 PM PST up reply actions  

Cool.

I am all for giving young guys a chance. If Thompson gets a gig now that is cool. But I need to see Shields to know if he is OK.

If Shields and RT can come through all will be fine.

RIP Nick...

Jim Scully
Jim Scully Home

by jimmuscomp on Dec 20, 2009 11:44 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

He was with us in '07

and he was good with the Mets in ’06. Four straight years of great relief work to date.

I’m with you though, this was unacceptable really. $4-5m does nothing to dent ourselves next year in FA pursuits. Locking up our best reliever, or, at worst, risking that he gets about the same in arbitration, was a no-brainer that we flunked the test on. That we don’t even get a draft pick out of this is just downright UNACCEPTABLE.

by Caseys Kiss of Death on Dec 21, 2009 2:07 PM PST up reply actions  

Damn...

Sorry about that – he’s been a Halo for 3 years? Amazing. I am getting friggin’ old. It’s amazing how quickly time goes by…

RIP Nick...

Jim Scully
Jim Scully Home

by jimmuscomp on Dec 21, 2009 7:41 PM PST up reply actions  

Oliver was a Type A, Rev.

As Mark E Smith said — Check the record!

by Turks Teeth on Dec 21, 2009 8:49 AM PST via mobile up reply actions  

And...

…that’s not exactly a good way to evaluate the worth of a player, anyway. I laugh.

by Black Francis on Dec 22, 2009 5:06 PM PST up reply actions  

oh and yes i would have believed every single thing in that scenario as plausible

EXCEPT…
Lackey going to Boston. Anywhere else I would have believed.

And for the record regarding your litany… Vlad and Oliver have not YET signed with the Rangers.

by Rev Halofan on Dec 20, 2009 8:07 PM PST up reply actions  

Why wouldn't you have guess Boston?

Knowing he wanted Burnett money, there are only a few teams, the Angels being one of them, Boston being another, that he could’ve gone to.

No matter what happens from here on, it has been a great season.

by Rally Manatee on Dec 20, 2009 9:41 PM PST up reply actions  

Lackey to Boston should not be a shocker

I agree… there are only a few teams who would be willing to pay that much for Lackey. Skankees, Mets and the Redsux. Fans (like me) get caught up thinking the players of our favorite team actually want to make resigning a priority. The fact is the majority of the players don’t give a crap about the team, the city, or the fans. They will go where the money is because it’s a job. Lackey was out for a pay day and nothing else. He fooled us all with his pitiful act of being a bulldog and claming to hate the Redsux.

Light up the Freakin Halo!

by marshgr on Dec 21, 2009 9:21 AM PST up reply actions  

I'm less concerned with Oliver signing with the Rangers...

 and more concerned about who the Angels are going to sign to improve their team.

by Nashdiesel on Dec 20, 2009 9:33 PM PST up reply actions  

Not to mention

the lack of hitting in the postseason

Xavier Calvera

by xavier c on Dec 22, 2009 2:09 PM PST up reply actions  

Congratulations to you on your awesomeness.

I would not have cackled nor derided you. I would have simply thought you were crazy. The team knows better than me, so I am deferring to their expertise. I hope it works out.

I love this team.

by Downing Rules on Dec 22, 2009 3:16 PM PST up reply actions  

Well this is just goddamn stupid

I mean come on, we can’t outbid the Rangers of all teams for a relief pitcher?

Seriously a one year deal for DO was gonna be a no brainer I thought.

"You gotta have nuts." - Torii Hunter / Part-Time Nemesis of the HH Reply Function

by Commander_Nate on Dec 20, 2009 8:36 PM PST reply actions  

But...

We’re spending our off-season money SO many other ways. It’d be ridiculous to pay our most consistent reliever in 2009 $4-5 million.

by Sethy on Dec 20, 2009 9:51 PM PST up reply actions  

ye but to me fuentes hasn't seemed to bring much in the form of leadership

i admit i forgot shields as we didn’t really see much of him so if he does well this year and is healthy that will help a lot

GO COLTS!!! 09 IS OURS!!!

by TheAngelsColts on Dec 20, 2009 8:50 PM PST up reply actions  

LEADERSHIP?

Huh? His teammates run out and high five him after every save.

by Rev Halofan on Dec 20, 2009 8:56 PM PST up reply actions  

just dont see him commanding as much from the others in there as oliver has shown to in the past year.

dont get me wrong i think he does a good job and i know he is a vet. i just dont see with him what i see with other veterans in the pen in the past like oliver.

GO COLTS!!! 09 IS OURS!!!

by TheAngelsColts on Dec 20, 2009 9:06 PM PST up reply actions  

Leadership

How would you know anything about the leadership Fuentes provides? Are you making an idiotic assumption based on the way he looks?

Rev was right… his teammates show a lot of support after a save. Fuentes shows emotion on the mound, just not as much as K-Rods antics.

Halo fans need to give this guy a break!!! Dude had 47 saves and was pretty damn good. Yes, he lets more people on base than some closers but he gets the job done.

Light up the Freakin Halo!

by marshgr on Dec 21, 2009 9:23 AM PST up reply actions  

Fuentes Leadership

I for one did not think fuentes was a leader in the clubhouse until the Postseason. I have been to every home playoff game since 1982. This year I saw something differenet. When the starter went down to warm up in the bully all of the relievers were down there early standing against the wall behind the starter. They watched every warm up pitch the starter threw. It was a cool display of support. I can only attribute this to Fuentes, because before he got there they never did this.

R.I.P. Nick, you are missed!

by P237 on Dec 21, 2009 10:58 AM PST up reply actions  

I saw it as they were waiting to sit down so that...

1. they don’t interrupt the starter’s warmups
2. they don’t get hit by a mis-fired pitch…

I wasnt sure of any show of support. My seats were in P260 by the way.

I love this team.

by Downing Rules on Dec 22, 2009 3:20 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, we should be able to absorb this...

I just personally thought this was going to be a pretty automatic re-signing. A one year deal for a reliever who’s been successful for you isn’t much of a risk.

"You gotta have nuts." - Torii Hunter / Part-Time Nemesis of the HH Reply Function

by Commander_Nate on Dec 20, 2009 8:58 PM PST up reply actions  

BULLPEN BUDGET:

Shields, Fuentes and Speier (who we still owe a year salary to) get almost $20 Million in salary in 2010.

Darren Oliver’s base Arbirtration raise – the least he could be offered would be about $4.5 million and as a Type B his agent would realistically have asked for 6 and they come to an agreement at about $5.5 Million.

So for Oliver, Fuentes and Shields you are talking about paying $25 million because you still have to pay Speier.

Oliver – Shields – Fuentes are all in their mid to late 30s… Shields had knee surgery, Fuentes has deception and no “stuff” and Oliver had a great year as he blew out the 39th candle on his Libra birthday cake at the end of the season.

The rest of the bullpen is either 3 or 4 other guys making the minimum – almost half a million each = $2 million without Oliver and $1.5 million with Oliver.

2010 bullpen with Oliver: $26.5 Million
2010 bullpen without Oliver: $22 Million … if you can get Matt Capps for $4.5 Milion you have upgraded the bullpen, lowered the age of the bullpen, added a person with closer experience in case Fuentes peters out and are not holding your hopes on lightning striking three times in a row for a 39-year old.

by Rev Halofan on Dec 20, 2009 9:17 PM PST up reply actions  

yea thats true i see now how his contract this year would have gone up more than what i was thinking and than it did last year.

if we get someone good to repace him from free agency no one will care later wise it will be something we talk about all year. but got to remember nothing is final yet

GO COLTS!!! 09 IS OURS!!!

by TheAngelsColts on Dec 20, 2009 9:36 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah well it's not like we're otherwise spending the money...

RIP Nick Adenhart.

"When the Babe tries to call his shot, I hope Nick puts one in his ear."
--RallyMonkey5

by Clutch on Dec 20, 2009 9:40 PM PST up reply actions  

to back up this point...

he just signed with the Rangers for over half of what we signed Matsui for…

Do it for Nick '09

by BryanHarvey'sMoustache on Dec 21, 2009 10:57 AM PST up reply actions  

Rev,

A totally honest question for you… Is Matt Capps really that good? I haven’t seen too much baseball in a long time. Pretty much all I “see” is from this blog. I had him on my fantasy team last year and I don’t know if he got his ERA under 6… that with pitching in the NL. Does he have some good stuff? Was he injured or something? Just curious?

Now stuck in Colorado Springs

by stuck in Romania on Dec 20, 2009 10:26 PM PST up reply actions  

He had a bad 2009, no doubt.

He was having a bad year prior to taking a whack from a line drive on the elbow back in May, and while the X-Ray said there was no fracture, he wasn’t right. He had rotator cuff bursitis in 2008, and these injuries may have played a role in Pittsburgh non-tendering him.

He has a plus fastball, and also throws a change and slider. Fangraphs reported that the difference in velocity between the fastball and changeup wasn’t enough for the latter pitch to be successful. His HR/9 grew considerably over his stats in 2007-8, as well as his BB/9.

All in all, if a team can verify that he’s healthy and can correct the obvious mechanical issue, Capps will make a great addition to someone’s bullpen.

1 line siggy line because I was asked nicely. Go Angels! helpfindscottajob@gmail.com

by Slasher52 on Dec 20, 2009 10:57 PM PST up reply actions  

he is cheap and still young

The right pitching coach could help.

Multiple club interest means that many clubs feel his injury history is not chronic.

by Rev Halofan on Dec 20, 2009 11:31 PM PST up reply actions  

My money is spent on Oliver

He is a guy that you wouldn’t feel bad giving the kind of $$$ that is being talked about here. I would much rather give that kind of scratch to Oliver then give it up on a guy you hope can regain his stuff based on having the right pitching coach. He wisdom + stuff out there on the mound makes it easy for me to sign him. We are talking about the guy the the skipper went to in the crunch with the bases loaded to get Tex out in the playoffs aren’t we?

Here is the biggest reason I also sign him….YOU NEED A LHP setup guy in the pen!! Those guys aren’t around.

by Angel Aviator on Dec 21, 2009 10:28 PM PST up reply actions  

they guy skip went to

and who DID NOT get the job done…

by Rev Halofan on Dec 21, 2009 11:05 PM PST up reply actions  

Point is

Skipper thought enough of him after 162+ games that he went with him in the most crucial time of the season. Which brings up another interesting question………..who do you go to when you need that big win? Who do you call in to the game to get that big out and get the club out of a jam? Is there that guy?

by Angel Aviator on Dec 22, 2009 7:47 AM PST up reply actions  

Looks like they’re not getting Bill Engvall Mike Lowell to play 3rd. I hope that screws with the plans of both Texas and Boston. Oh that would make me happy.

I miss Hudler already.

by Teixeira Who? on Dec 20, 2009 8:46 PM PST reply actions  

Why did they even need him?

What’s wrong with Michael Young?

No matter what happens from here on, it has been a great season.

by Rally Manatee on Dec 20, 2009 9:45 PM PST up reply actions  

YAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRGHHHHHHHHHHH

What is this sh-t? Let’s see how fast and how terribly we can completely dismantle the 2009 ALCS team that almost went all the way—and then see how completely awful we can f—k up simple moves in the offseason?

RIP Nick Adenhart.

"When the Babe tries to call his shot, I hope Nick puts one in his ear."
--RallyMonkey5

by Clutch on Dec 20, 2009 9:12 PM PST reply actions  

Spin it in a positive light.

Yay for fiscal responsibility! Isn’t not spending FUN?

What do you need a fancy suit for, Charlie, you ain't got no job to wear it to.

by clover_black on Dec 20, 2009 9:42 PM PST up reply actions  

Can arte give "ninja" his old job back, of scrubbing the shitters of angel stadium?

What do you need a fancy suit for, Charlie, you ain't got no job to wear it to.

by clover_black on Dec 20, 2009 9:31 PM PST reply actions  

You're a drag, man.

I’ll bet you even found something to be pissed about when we swept the Red Sox.

No matter what happens from here on, it has been a great season.

by Rally Manatee on Dec 20, 2009 9:49 PM PST up reply actions  

Well

I was pissed we didn’t manage to murder Youkilis, too. But that’s just me.

by Sethy on Dec 20, 2009 9:53 PM PST up reply actions  

No.

But I can find plenty to be pissed off about during this off season.

Impressive how I can separate the two.

What do you need a fancy suit for, Charlie, you ain't got no job to wear it to.

by clover_black on Dec 20, 2009 10:06 PM PST up reply actions  

er, not to say that the angels didn't do some right moves and non-moves

but I hold firmly to my belief that reagins is a giant turd.

What do you need a fancy suit for, Charlie, you ain't got no job to wear it to.

by clover_black on Dec 20, 2009 10:08 PM PST up reply actions  

Save Cash Now for Big Free Agent Next Year...

Dont be so short-sighted. Its not like we arent still the front-runners for the AL West. Why not skimp some cash now on payroll while earning big $ from the Japanese market so you can drop fat cash on some of the HUGE free agents next year?

Seriously, by saving now we can actually compete with the Skanks in next years free-agent market. And seriously, look at our lineup, look at our starters— its not that bad. You got some really young guys who are probably only going to get better mixed with some great veterans who can mentor…

Do it for Nick '09

by BryanHarvey'sMoustache on Dec 21, 2009 11:01 AM PST up reply actions  

Not being short-sighted.

I understand completely what’s going on.

But the fan in me can’t get past the “oh boy, 2010 will be a wash, 2011 should be great.”

Is this logical? Probably not. We should field a good team next year, but there is no denying that seattle’s FO have done a bang up job, and, well, my faith in Reagins is lacking, to say the least. Again, probably not logical, but hey, thats whats great about being irrationally passionate about a baseball orgainzation that you want to see succeed.

What do you need a fancy suit for, Charlie, you ain't got no job to wear it to.

by clover_black on Dec 25, 2009 10:13 AM PST up reply actions  

flagged for racism

"Precious in the sight of the Lord, is the death of His Saints." - Psalm 116:15 Rest In Peace, Nick.

by angels4adam on Dec 22, 2009 8:34 AM PST up reply actions  

Dood DO was my favorite player

 now what am I gonna do with my Darren Oliver jersey???

Who is gonna pitch the 7th inning now?

ZOMG FU Arte for letting a 39 year old reliever walk and not paying him 4 million dollars a year.

by Nashdiesel on Dec 20, 2009 9:39 PM PST reply actions  

dude, seriously?

Jepsen in the 8th? HAVE YOU LOOKED AT SCOT SHIELDS’ STATS??? Dude has something like the most holds in the past 8 years out of any reliever. Shields is going right back into the 8th inning. No doubt. Dont even reply to this because your wrong.

Do it for Nick '09

by BryanHarvey'sMoustache on Dec 21, 2009 11:02 AM PST up reply actions  

Umm it's not really a matter of think, it's a matter of statistical fact.

RIP Nick Adenhart.

"When the Babe tries to call his shot, I hope Nick puts one in his ear."
--RallyMonkey5

by Clutch on Dec 21, 2009 11:49 AM PST up reply actions  

well ill just give you a fact it is

a fact that it isn’t a garruntee that sheilds will be in the 8th slot

GO COLTS!!! 09 IS OURS!!!

by TheAngelsColts on Dec 21, 2009 12:06 PM PST up reply actions  

But you were challenging the notion that he has the most holds...

RIP Nick Adenhart.

"When the Babe tries to call his shot, I hope Nick puts one in his ear."
--RallyMonkey5

by Clutch on Dec 21, 2009 12:13 PM PST up reply actions  

not what i was doing (not what was trying to do)

what i was challenging was that the fact he has so many holds means he will suddenly have the 8th spot just for that fact. i know he is a great player and has the most holds. personally with the way jespen through whle sheilds was gone i could see jespen mabye pitching the 8th but, mike scocia hinted that they may possible use more than one guy in the closser role if fuentes struggles and that person would be jepsen so that could change things. i dont think we could go wrong with jespen or sheilds in the 8th just not sure with what jespen showed in shields absence

GO COLTS!!! 09 IS OURS!!!

by TheAngelsColts on Dec 21, 2009 12:24 PM PST up reply actions  

Ah, I see

I’ll guess we’ll just see what happens later on…

RIP Nick Adenhart.

"When the Babe tries to call his shot, I hope Nick puts one in his ear."
--RallyMonkey5

by Clutch on Dec 21, 2009 12:33 PM PST up reply actions  

take ten seconds

and write comprehensible sentences PLEASE.

And when you pull something out of thin air because you FEEL a certain way and someone delivers statistical backing for how they perceive things you don’t need to write a “shucks we will see” post, you just got slammed, don’t be a gomer.

by Rev Halofan on Dec 21, 2009 12:48 PM PST up reply actions  

what are you talking about???

if anything clutch was the one that did the “shucks we will see” post. and my sentence above yours is completely comprehensible

GO COLTS!!! 09 IS OURS!!!

by TheAngelsColts on Dec 21, 2009 12:52 PM PST up reply actions  

i believe "choice"

is what you’re looking for there

"Precious in the sight of the Lord, is the death of His Saints." - Psalm 116:15 Rest In Peace, Nick.

by angels4adam on Dec 22, 2009 8:37 AM PST up reply actions  

Shields is also terrible against Boston

His career ERA in Fenway hovers around our current national debt.

Jepsen, however, throws gas and is young. He looked extremely good at the end of the season and in the playoffs. If Shields goes directly back to the 8th spot and blows a lead in Fenway I might quit baseball

I brought sexy back, but they only gave me store credit....

by PhiSlamma on Dec 21, 2009 11:57 AM PST up reply actions  

I'm sure dozens of people don't want that to happen.

"You gotta have nuts." - Torii Hunter / Part-Time Nemesis of the HH Reply Function

by Commander_Nate on Dec 21, 2009 1:21 PM PST up reply actions  

because the 9 games out of a 162 we play Boston will undoubtedly determine our playoff chances...

nope.

2008 we were 8-1 against Boston. Lost in three in the ALDS
2009 we were 5-4 with one or two 8th or 9th inning losses to them…swept their ass in ALDS.

Do it for Nick '09

by BryanHarvey'sMoustache on Dec 21, 2009 3:01 PM PST up reply actions  

Wise man cometh

I love the work DO has done for the Angels, but if the front office feels that the salary that he’d receive in the arbitration process wouldn’t be appropriate for what he would provide in 2010, so be it.

Rec’d.

1 line siggy line because I was asked nicely. Go Angels! helpfindscottajob@gmail.com

by Slasher52 on Dec 20, 2009 11:04 PM PST up reply actions  

4th best reliever?

He led all our relievers in ERA, inning pitched, and FIP last season. He was our best reliever by any reasonable standard. Don’t mock other posters if you aren’t even familiar with our players’ records.

And there’s little supporting evidence that Oliver would have received $5M+. The average arbitration increase in 2008 was 120%, which would’ve put DO at $4.4M. And given that the market has seriously depreciated, that’s very unlikely. John Lackey was looking for better than AJ money, but even he, as the best free agent on the market, couldn’t beat last season’s benchmark. Oliver is getting $3.5M from Texas this season. Those are market prices, and a discount on his 2009 salary. Oliver wasn’t going to almost double last year’s salary in arb this year.

by Turks Teeth on Dec 21, 2009 10:05 AM PST via mobile up reply actions  

That is not how arbitration works at all, turk

In your own words, don’t mock other posters if you don’t have the facts.

That 4.4 is the absolute BOTTOM he would have received in arbitration. There are MANY ways Oliver would have received substantially more and you gloss over them in a pretty casual way.

by Rev Halofan on Dec 21, 2009 12:14 PM PST up reply actions  

O.K.

       ERA for 2009, bullpen. #1
       Win %. #2
       WHIP. #1
       H/9 #2
       K/9 #3 (or 4th if we include Rich Thompson)
       BB/9 #1
       HR/9 #2
       Innings Pitched. #1
       ERA + 166 : #1 ON THE ENTIRE TEAM. (excepting Kazmir’s month.)
  
     So halo nation, These are my calculations. I got the statistics from baseball reference. What they show is that Oliver was our #1/#2 reliever. How exactly did you come up with your calculations?

by Wally's World on Dec 22, 2009 2:10 PM PST up reply actions  

Uh, no.

To quote Carl Sagan, “Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence”.

Angels baseball. We do what we must, because we can -- HaloDutch

by red floyd on Dec 22, 2009 6:20 PM PST up reply actions  

Whos the 3 better then him that you want to be the GM with?

He was the best guy out of the pen April – Oct. That isnt even a question! The guy has reinvented himself since he was put in the pen a few yrs ago with the NYM. His time has not been an accident. Guys don’t do well for years because they are lucky its because they are good and the evaluators don’t want to admit they missed.

by Angel Aviator on Dec 22, 2009 10:02 PM PST up reply actions  

Thank you DO

Or we have a real classy organisation that as a way of saying thank you to 3 good years of service from DO we didn’t price him out of the free agent market (by offering arb) and allowed him to sign for his hometown team, for possibly the final year of his career (he is 39 now).

If we had offered arb he either would have accepted as his value on the open market would have been real bad or retired. The Rangers wouldn’t have wasted their 1st round pick on a 39 yr old lefty reliever. Indeed not many (if any) team would. The arb process is really uneven when it comes to RP’s.

So thank you DO for your service and I wish you the very best.

As it stands we have 4 definite bullpen pieces: Fuentes, Shields, Jepsen, Bulger. It’ll be interesting to see if we target anyone else (Capps, Chan Ho Park etc) or promote from within…

by TheQuestforMerlin on Dec 21, 2009 12:52 AM PST reply actions  

good spin Merlin

Classy Move Arte-Tony and Co.!!!!!!

by Rev Halofan on Dec 21, 2009 12:55 AM PST up reply actions  

Good points but....

please no Chan Ho Park. That guy is a waste. I remember listening to some world series game at work with some some co-workers. At one point, the Phillies brought in Chan Ho Park and I look at my co-workers and say, “This game is done.” Sure enough, Chan Ho lights a gas can and blows the place up.

Do it for Nick '09

by BryanHarvey'sMoustache on Dec 21, 2009 11:04 AM PST up reply actions  

Agree

Yeah i agree with the Chan Ho Park assessment. He wouldn’t be my first choice at all. I’m very cautious about how useful he would be, although i’m not totally opposed to it at the right price/years (i.e. 1 year, below 4 million).

Cons:
- struggled with men on base (as you alluded to). RP’s more often than not get brought into situations to deal with men on base.
- He was only a RP for 3/4 of the year, as such it’s difficult to believe he truly turned the corner on his dreadful days as a starter with Texas.
- He’s what 36? Means we go older in the BP again.
- His career L/R splits are not great: RHBs have hit him at a .227/.311/.355 mark over his career, compared to .271/.368/.447 for LHBs.

Pros:
- His pitch/fastball velocity rose with the switch to RP last year, which is a good sign. Perhaps his stuff suits a RP better and actually could improve further as he gets comfortable.
- His bullpen ERA was 2.52 and his xFiP was 3.16. Thats good.
- Allowed no HR (regular season) when switched to the BP.

Thats how I see it anyway.

by TheQuestforMerlin on Dec 21, 2009 4:37 PM PST up reply actions  

sounds like every time bulger comes into the game

i call the blown lead, or the nail in the coffin.

"Precious in the sight of the Lord, is the death of His Saints." - Psalm 116:15 Rest In Peace, Nick.

by angels4adam on Dec 22, 2009 8:41 AM PST up reply actions  

The most likely additions from within (based on last year)...

..are Rich Thompson, Robert Mosebach, Rafael Rodriguez or Fernando Rodriguez. Two problems;
 - None of the 4 left me impressed or hopeful for 2010.
 - They are all right handed. This would leave one lefty in the pen (Fuentes).

It’s still my hope that the front office is looking for a decent SP and a reliable left-handed RP.

by sothball on Dec 21, 2009 12:50 PM PST up reply actions  

Agree

Totally agree with that, I was also not impressed by any of those four.

It’s also plausible that the Angles go with Sean O’Sullivan, Ortega or Trevor Bell (least likely as he’s the most projectable) as the long man in the pen. I’m of the opinion that we will see another starter signed however (either one of the high risk/reward pitchers or via trade) pushing Matt Palmer to the bullpen. Which would suit his skillset and be a good thing IMO.

That would leave signing or trading for a lefty… I’m unsure of what’s available.

I would also like to see Kelvin Escobar offered a minor league deal. Could be useful out of the pen if he is agreeable and performs well.

by TheQuestforMerlin on Dec 21, 2009 4:16 PM PST up reply actions  

Exactly what MLB Home Plate...

…Said on XM. Apparently Oliver was on last week talking about playing in Texas as if it was a done deal. He probably already told the Halos it was Texas or retirement.

Good for him.

"There's nothing that cleanses your soul like getting the hell kicked out of you." - Woody Hayes

by johnnyangel101 on Dec 21, 2009 5:08 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

Cheers Rev

Just for more Xmas cheer, to those who are worried about our bullpen:

Jepsen: according to advanced stats metrics was one of the most unlucky RP in the league. Meaning his actual performance stats (ERA) didn’t match how well he pitched. Add in the fact that his fastball average was at 96mph (up from 94mph) and his GB/FB ratios were v. solid all points to significant improvements in his rate stats and performance for 2010…

Shields: back from injury! Woot. This can only be good, hopefully he is fully recovered and can return to being one of the most effective relief pitchers of the last decade.

Fuentes: For whatever reason batters were making more contact and swinging more at Fuentes stuff last year than in previous years. In fact it was his worst year since 2004! He dealt with mechanics issues early on, and struggled perhaps with the adjustment to the AL. Any regression by him to his average will actually mean an improvement from our closer. In other words, as long as the mechanical issues don’t flare up again, and he stays clear from injuries I believe he will improve on his performance from last year. Good news!

Bulger: Anoter pitcher whose fastball average has steadily improved as he has got more playing time! From 92.9mph in 2008 to 93.5mph in 2009. Also, he ditched his slider in favor of a curveball that was more effective AND induced more swings by batters outside the strikezone… His trends are also looking positive.

by TheQuestforMerlin on Dec 21, 2009 1:17 AM PST reply actions  

Have we turned into the Oakland A's?

Have we suddenly turned into a small market team that’s incapable of re-signing any of their free agents?

And Rev. you’re starting to sound like a “yes man” for the Angels. Knock it off.

I've got nothing.

by bc56274 on Dec 21, 2009 4:05 AM PST reply actions  

I'm diggin' the offseason

I would have preferred Vlad for Matsui, but not the biggest heartbreak ever.

Why the fuck should we re-sign or free agents, JUST TO SIGN THEM so the fans are not bored in the offseason, what are we, Oakland in danger of losing our home attendance crowd and we have to keep them entertained in December?

by Rev Halofan on Dec 21, 2009 12:17 PM PST up reply actions  

I get the emotional pull here...

   but I’m baffled how most people completely lack logic when it comes to FA signings. Just because Figgins and Lackey were on the team last year does not automatically make them the correct choice for the team next year or going forward.

    If we could sign all these players to one year contracts then it would seem more reasonable to hang on to them until they stunk it up. Unfortunately that’s not how the market works and we need to commit to these guys 4-5 years down the line and/or commit more money than they are worth because desperate teams like the Mariners or Rangers insist on paying them too much else they land nobody on their losing teams.

   We aren’t desperate. We have a good team and some decent prospects. We also have the money and respect to go out and get Cliff Lee or Joe Mauer in 2011 if we want to. Seattle and Texas can’t do that so they get the likes of Chone Figgins and Darren Oliver instead.
 

by Nashdiesel on Dec 21, 2009 10:27 PM PST up reply actions  

All this just reflects a very difficult offseason....

….punctuated by questionable decision making by the front office. I was all for giving the “GM formally known as the Ninja” the benefit of the doubt BEFORE the majority of the key free agent talent started coming off the board.

The plan for 2010 is what the plan was in 2009: win with what we’ve got. (and I hate those 5 words).

by mustard_man on Dec 21, 2009 5:33 AM PST reply actions  

Cheap, too

Of course, I think Texas has no state taxes or something, plus he’s a lot closer to his home.

by Sethy on Dec 21, 2009 8:22 AM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, it stops being cheap if the option vests, which means if he actual is worth the $3.5 million then he gets paid more.

Seems like a risky contract for the Rangers.

For some offseason fun, check out the Mac & Windows Space Shooter game I helped make: Insectoid

by AlanFalcon on Dec 21, 2009 8:47 AM PST up reply actions  

Darren All-Liver?

"Precious in the sight of the Lord, is the death of His Saints." - Psalm 116:15 Rest In Peace, Nick.

by angels4adam on Dec 22, 2009 8:45 AM PST up reply actions  

I see a lot of

emotional appeals for having kept D.O., and a lot of well reasoned-arguments for not offering him arbitration.

Are there any strong well-reasoned and rational arguments for having kept him? “He was really good last year,” when considering his age, doesn’t seem like a strong argument to me.

by PitPerc on Dec 21, 2009 8:25 AM PST reply actions  

Why not?

He’s been “old” for the duration of his contracts here, yet has remained durable, has good mechanics and a delivery that’s likely to keep him going through the season. There are plenty of vets of Oliver’s age that do just fine in the pen.

On a one year contract, the age thing seems like a cheap excuse. A lot of the same folks that are confident that Oliver is going to breakdown this year are equally certain that Shields is fully healthy and will rebound this season as well. Seems like a lot of hopin’ and wishin’ to me.

Well, at least we have these voices on the record that one of the weakest BPs in the MLB last season, minus its best reliever, will be just fine with no adjustments. It’ll make for some naughty in-flight entertainment midseason in the Gameday threads to see what wins the day — the skeptical realists or the Obamaesque hopesters. Until Tinkerbell crawls out of dead Roy Disney’s nostril and comes flying to the rescue, count Teeth among the former.

by Turks Teeth on Dec 21, 2009 10:26 AM PST via mobile up reply actions  

If there was anything Obamaesque about our pen

We would have swept the Yankees in 3 games. They would have forfeited before the 4th.

Seriously, there hasn’t been an electoral ass-whoopin’ like that since the 80’s.

"You gotta have nuts." - Torii Hunter / Part-Time Nemesis of the HH Reply Function

by Commander_Nate on Dec 21, 2009 10:31 AM PST up reply actions  

you will weasel out of it Turk

When D.O. gets lit up you will blame Arlington and not his age so you win eeither way mister great argument for irrational love of an older man at the back end of your bullpen.

by Rev Halofan on Dec 21, 2009 12:18 PM PST up reply actions  

Age isn't the only factor..

Let’s face it…Oliver wasn’t exactly a spring chicken when he came to the Angels…some players due to mechanics or fitness or genetics, or medications, last longer than others. The fact that he is 39 is a factor, but not the only one. I’m not saying we should have gone into arb with him, but still, everyone is caught up in his age. It’s not like he’s starting games at 39…he’s a situational lefty at 39…I don’t think there will be a dramatic drop-off from 38. Jesse Orosco pitched well into his 40’s as a situational lefty, Oliver can do the same…..maybe.

This is going to be my team, and we're going to rise together.
-Clipper Darrell

by oasisman on Dec 22, 2009 12:00 AM PST up reply actions  

Old = No Good?

When you look at his numbers he has gotten better as he has gotten older and it appears he has found his nitch. Hell the guy appeared in more games this year then any other year prior (means he warmed up a lot more as well) This would not indicate him going backwards. He posted his best WHIP and ERA as well. Is age the only reason he won’t be good?

No worries though just need to find someone that will go 5-1 avg 70+ inn for the year while having a better then 2/1 BB /K . Ohh and be left handed. Of course with no left hander in the pen Skip wont have to worry about matchups will he……

by Angel Aviator on Dec 22, 2009 10:20 PM PST up reply actions  

Farewell DO

Thanks for quietly kicking ass. Thanks for not making my hair fall out like some other Angels relievers. Thanks for not being an attention whore like some other Angels pitchers. You are a classy dude. I wish you well in Texas with your career and family.

No matter what happens from here on, it has been a great season.

by Rally Manatee on Dec 21, 2009 8:32 AM PST reply actions  

Mike Scioscia is doing a live chat on espnlosangeles.com in like 30 min

At 11 AM PT.

Can anyone get on there and ask the Great Leader some questions and maybe post the transcript up in a new thread?

I’d do it if I wasn’t at work. Come on, I was in college a year ago. I know somebody on here is sitting at mom’s house eating Fruit Loops on Winter Break right now…

"You gotta have nuts." - Torii Hunter / Part-Time Nemesis of the HH Reply Function

by Commander_Nate on Dec 21, 2009 10:25 AM PST reply actions  

I submitted a couple questions:

  1) I asked if they going after Chapman
  2) I asked if by not signing people today they were gearing up to sign bigger names in 2011.

by Nashdiesel on Dec 21, 2009 10:57 AM PST reply actions  

Sweet, thanks man

Just FYI someone else started a thread about it. It’s probably best to post it in there so it doesn’t get lost in this thread.

"You gotta have nuts." - Torii Hunter / Part-Time Nemesis of the HH Reply Function

by Commander_Nate on Dec 21, 2009 11:01 AM PST reply actions  

Reply fails galore right now

"You gotta have nuts." - Torii Hunter / Part-Time Nemesis of the HH Reply Function

by Commander_Nate on Dec 21, 2009 11:02 AM PST up reply actions  

That chat was so short

then the first reply is some Yankees douche saying ANGELS SUCK

Oh man, go ESPN.

I brought sexy back, but they only gave me store credit....

by PhiSlamma on Dec 21, 2009 11:45 AM PST reply actions  

Phases of Grief

DENIAL This can’t be happening. The FO cannot be this reticent.
PAIN Where have you gone, Vladimaggio? Figgins, way to leave your lover.
ANGER The Big Traitor-good health, and crappy numbers to you!
DEPRESSION DO let go over maybe a million bucks? Why do I bother?
TURNING THE CORNER Well, at least there’s Bobby Abreu. Nice sign, Tony.
WORKING THROUGH And we have Morales, Weaver, Aybar, Torii, Mathapolis, and some other rising/peaking players.
ACCEPTANCE Go Halos!

by LittleCupcakes on Dec 21, 2009 7:56 PM PST reply actions  

Just for fun

Some of Oliver’s teammates when he broke in to the big leagues included:
Nolan Ryan
Gary Redus
Jose Canseco (the year Jose tried to pitch)
A young SS by the name of Benji Gil
Tom Henke
Mike Schooler

His complete list of teammates here

"There's nothing that cleanses your soul like getting the hell kicked out of you." - Woody Hayes

by johnnyangel101 on Dec 22, 2009 7:22 AM PST reply actions  

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