Does Jeff Mathis Really Make Pitchers Better?
You hear a lot of talk, especially but not only from the Orange County Register's Mark Whicker, about how Jeff Mathis' pitch-calling skills make up for his vast offensive gap with Mike Napoli, and explain such curiosities as why he seems to be developing into John Lackey's personal caddy. Sample from Whicker:
Watch the games, listen to the pitchers. Why do you think Lackey had the confidence to throw that 3-and-2 curve to Teixeira Sunday with bases loaded, no out and a 2-run lead? Do you think he came up with that by himself? [...]
Ask anybody in the Angel organization what the key to the past seven-and-a-half years have been, and ask Bud Black, too. The Number One answer is the catcher-pitcher relationship.
Funny, I recall Lackey throwing 3-and-2 curves long before Jeff Mathis showed up, but let's tunnel into the assumption at hand: Is John Lackey a measurably different pitcher with Mathis behind the dish? Fortunately, Baseball Reference exists to answer just such questions. And the answer in this case is "oh hell no."
Here are the offensive statistics of hitters facing Lackey, with the top line indicating when Mathis was catching, the bottom line Napoli. As you can see, there is virtually no difference between the two lines:G PA AB R H 2B 3 HR SB/CS BB SO K/BB BA OBP SLG OPS
31 892 816 81 201 36 3 24 17/1 55 175 3.18 .246 .304 .386 .690
61 1670 1519 180 381 76 5 39 29/9 109 324 2.97 .251 .308 .384 .693
What about Jered Weaver? Nope, no appreciable difference. Though note that Mathis and Napoli have been given totally equal time catching Jered, instead of Lackey's two-thirds to one-third:
49 1283 1168 126 281 66 6 37 29/6 85 261 3.07 .241 .295 .402 .698
49 1183 1083 114 275 50 5 33 33/9 88 233 2.65 .254 .310 .401 .711
What about Joe Saunders? Again, no appreciable difference:
32 848 779 92 216 38 5 26 17/6 55 103 1.87 .277 .327 .439 .766
49 1208 1088 145 294 57 2 33 24/13 98 169 1.72 .270 .334 .417 .751
14 368 329 41 89 16 3 5 6/3 36 77 2.14 .271 .343 .383 .726
21 543 494 60 133 34 2 11 17/5 40 99 2.48 .269 .323 .413 .736
Jon Garland? Forty-one points difference in OPS (in favor of Napoli) is the most so far, but across that sample size I wouldn't attach much meaning to it.
13 350 315 44 99 21 2 9 2/3 24 39 1.63 .314 .363 .479 .843
19 514 466 68 138 21 5 14 1/0 35 51 1.46 .296 .350 .453 .802
So where's all this big difference in Catchers ERA I keep hearing about? In just one of the six pitchers who've thrown to 350+ hitters with each man catching: Ervin Santana. Getta load of this split, which explains why Mathis catches 60 percent of Voodoo's starts:
46 1211 1111 127 270 50 5 32 25/8 77 269 3.49 .243 .298 .383 .682
31 783 696 108 196 46 6 30 11/4 72 129 1.79 .282 .350 .494 .844
Now, Ervin's had a pretty Jekyll/Hyde career, so I wanted to see if these numbers were the product of Mathis just getting the bulk of the starts in good Ervin years, while Napoli shouldered the load through the bad. Here's what I found:
2006 (good Ervin). In limited time, Mathis is somewhat better.
G PA AB R H 2B 3 HR SB/CS BB SO K/BB BA OBP SLG OPS
4 109 98 15 24 7 0 3 0/1 7 13 1.86 .245 .296 .408 .704
11 297 260 36 68 14 2 9 2/2 29 43 1.48 .262 .334 .435 .769
2007 (terrible Ervin). In less than half the time, Mathis is significantly better.
5 95 81 9 18 3 2 1 2/0 13 24 1.85 .222 .337 .346 .683
11 268 242 39 72 18 2 13 7/2 25 45 1.80 .298 .366 .550 .915
2008 (All-Star Ervin). Mike Napoli stops catching him, and even then does a whole lot worse.
27 761 714 67 164 24 3 20 16/4 36 185 5.14 .230 .271 .356 .627
4 110 98 13 27 7 0 3 0/0 8 24 3.00 .276 .330 .439 .769
2009 (injured Ervin). Mathis catches two outta three; still gets better results.
10 246 218 36 64 16 0 8 7/3 21 47 2.24 .294 .367 .477 .844
5 108 96 20 29 7 2 5 2/0 10 17 1.70 .302 .374 .573 .947
Conclusion? I'd rather see Jeff Mathis catch Ervin Santana. But for every other pitcher on staff, I see no statistical evidence that he produces better results.
This Fan-Post is authored by an independent fan. Tell us what you think and how you feel.
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Comments
The only negative about you piece...
…is that more people will read Mark Whicker’s name here than they ever would have at his blog.
by Rev Halofan on Aug 13, 2009 8:17 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs
LOL....
rec’d.
Do it for Nick '09
by BryanHarvey'sMoustache on Aug 13, 2009 8:53 PM PDT up reply actions
Mark Whicker is a prick
There, I said it.
Don't call me Desmond
by highlandhalo on Aug 15, 2009 4:20 AM PDT up reply actions
Somehow I still trust Soth about this
He’s made it clear that he’s willing to sacrifice Offense for Defense. And as a former catcher himself, I have to trust him.
by BruinHalo on Aug 13, 2009 8:26 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
And that is blind faith..
and not the good, music-making Blind Faith…
RIP Nick...
Jim Scully
Jim Scully Home
If being blind is numerous division titles and a world series appearance and VICTORY.
I like being blind.
I love this team.
by Downing Rules on Aug 14, 2009 9:46 AM PDT up reply actions
i agree
at least on this point because he thinks what i think
but on points i disagree ill forget that he is a successful manager for a reason haha
R.I.P. #34
R.I.P. JJ
W6G...Go Halos!!
+1
Angel Pitching, Angel Defense - get past that.
by vladtheimpaler on Aug 14, 2009 12:38 AM PDT up reply actions
I just wonder how Many more HRs Nipples would have if he caught more.
W6G!
by Monkeyspanked on Aug 14, 2009 9:44 AM PDT up reply actions
You also have to wonder though
Whether the only reason Napoli produces so well late in the season is because he’s had more rest. Look at Russell Martin – the guy is an absolute wreck at the plate after August because he’s caught so many games.
I think Scioscia has found a decent balance.
I feel the need, the need...for speed!
Martin Splits
1st Half .287 / .377 / .423 / .800
2nd Half .272 / .365 / .395 / .760
I think that a lot of times a manager will fall in favor with the player(s) that most remind him of him. Mathis is a defensive catcher just like Scioscia was.
As for the replies of being a successful manager so you will trust him remarks,,,,,,lol
Want to be a good manager? Get good players!!
How is it your the manager of the year one year and not the next? Did the manager take stupid pills? He is the same guy with the same knowledge.
Willie Mays Aikens is FREeeeeeeee
by Angel Aviator on Aug 14, 2009 1:33 PM PDT up reply actions
Martin's OPS for his career
In August and September is 30 points less than his career average.
I feel the need, the need...for speed!
You're right
And though he over manages sometimes, I think Soth is the best manager in baseball right now.
W6G!
by Monkeyspanked on Aug 14, 2009 10:03 PM PDT up reply actions
I will take the certainty of health and rest
over the pixiedust of What-If-ville, population infinity
by Rev Halofan on Aug 14, 2009 12:35 PM PDT up reply actions
Absolutely
Sosh doesn’t care about guys setting career highs or being eligible for rookie of the year. He wants to win the most games and position his team to go all the way. Keeping a balanced, rested, and deep line-up has shown to be a sure-fire way of getting there (to the playoffs, that is).
I trust the Soth's feelings about leaving Mathis behind the dish
But I have never trusted CERA as a stat or as an explanation for this phenomenon. Mathis is the better defensive catcher, but (with the exception of Tuesday) he is an offensive liability. Thank you for doing this research Matt.
RIP #34
I am unsure about CERA, but even Terry Smith was pumping up the stat saying that “Scioscia looks at it when evaluating his catcher’s performance.” I heard him say Soth uses it.
I love this team.
by Downing Rules on Aug 14, 2009 9:47 AM PDT up reply actions
Yes, but managers use saves to determine their best relievers
Managers, in general, aren’t known for using the best stats to fill out their lineups.
I feel the need, the need...for speed!
Good point
Manager, are after all, jocks. The cream of one crop is not necessarily the cream of humanity’s crop
by Rev Halofan on Aug 14, 2009 12:36 PM PDT up reply actions
Good stuff
I think the big question is: Does Ervin believe Mathis calls better games for him? If so, then Mathis should catch. Ervin needs to be in his comfort zone. Just think back to how ridiculous his home/road splits were not so long ago.
The HK-47 hitting droid is the finest line drive machine ever built
And wasn't it even a bit more complicated than that?
Didn’t he pitch much better during the day?
THIS… IS… ANAHEIM!!
I think it is no more complicated.
If the catcher makes the pitcher more confident, therein lies the difference.
If Voodoo feels better with Mathis, then we find other ways to score than Naps HRs. Simple as that.
Check out these games:
Multiplayer Baseball: http://www.mmobaseball.com/createaccount.aspx?ref=9687
Multiplayer Football: http://goallineblitz.com/game/signup.pl?ref=16986650
by matthiasstephan on Aug 14, 2009 2:17 AM PDT up reply actions
Night and Day
He was much better at night in 2007 (ERA was several runs lower), but I think last year there was no substantial difference.
This is interesting but their are other factors to take into consideration...
including what team the pitcher was facing and with what catcher.
For example, a pitcher is likely to do worse against a team with good offensive. And against a high-scoring offense, who is likely to be in the lineup between Mathis and Napoli? Probably Napoli because playing a team with a good offensive would probably equate with Soth wanting his big bat in the lineup since he knows, it could be a high-scoring ballgame.
This is just one example off the top of my head…Im not saying that I believe in CERA but you know…we pick and chose our stats to defend our arguements. This definitely reveals though that the idea of Mathis being the better catcher is at least exaggerated.
Do it for Nick '09
by BryanHarvey'sMoustache on Aug 13, 2009 8:59 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs
I am sure the opposing pitchers are more excited when Naps is not in the lineup!
;)
I love this team.
by Downing Rules on Aug 14, 2009 9:48 AM PDT up reply actions
I know I would be more excited to see Mendoza Mathis in the lineup
This team is our extended family, That's why we love them no matter what the record, no matter what the score.
by halofan4life on Aug 14, 2009 11:30 AM PDT up reply actions
...and take him lighty...
…and serve up a meatball…
by Rev Halofan on Aug 14, 2009 12:37 PM PDT up reply actions
mmmmmmmmmmm....meatballs
This team is our extended family, That's why we love them no matter what the record, no matter what the score.
by halofan4life on Aug 14, 2009 1:40 PM PDT up reply actions
Italian
This team is our extended family, That's why we love them no matter what the record, no matter what the score.
by halofan4life on Aug 14, 2009 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions
These splits are fascinating
Thanks for putting all of this together. I am shocked by Ervin’s splits. Who would have predicted such a big difference, and what is there to explain it? It has to be in Ervin’s head. The other splits show that Naps is perfectly capable of calling a game just as well as Mathis.
In any case, my response would be the following: start Mathis when Ervin pitches, and start Naps in 3 of the other 4 games, meaning Naps would get 60% of the starts at catcher plus any DH starts when Vlad gets a day off.
All this business about Mathis calling better games and doing a better job
with the pitching staff was ginned up by the Mathis fan boys and girls then repeated often enough where others started believing it. All you have to do is watch the games to know it is a myth. Writers like Mark Whicker are no different as I firmly believe they monitor the fan web sites for the basis of many of their articles.
Hey la, hey, Halo...
Whether it's a myth or not...
…is something fans assume they can answer way too confidently.
So why trust it? Go with the guy with the known offensive advantage. Bill James used to say he’d take tangibles over intangibles any day.
If you want to argue on the basis of winning percentage, give a lot more information: # games, who the pitchers are, etc. mattwelch has done an analysis of that type, which for the time being beats a lack of analysis.
I will take tangerines over intangibles
any lunch of the week.
by Rev Halofan on Aug 14, 2009 12:37 PM PDT up reply actions
I just love Napoli's power and prefer him over Mathis, too... however, you have to ...
chalk up Mike Scioscia and Terry Smith as two more of those nerdy fanboys who are pumping up Mathis’ defense repeatedly.
Also, Mathis has a great RISP batting average. Get guys on base, and Jeff is hitting in the 350-range, off the top of my head.
I love this team.
by Downing Rules on Aug 14, 2009 9:51 AM PDT up reply actions
Mike Scioscia a nerd?
That is a new one.
by Rev Halofan on Aug 14, 2009 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions
say what you want
but the angels have a better winning percentage when mathis starts
R.I.P. #34
R.I.P. JJ
W6G...Go Halos!!
Thats actually not true
Per baseball reference:
Mike Napoli: Team Record in Appearances: 48-33 / in Starts: 46-29
Jeff Mathis: Team Record in Appearances: 33-22 / in Starts: 33-20
RIP #34
It is true
Starts: Mathis .622, Napoli .621 (by your info above). Now, considering Naps unquestioned offensive superiority, I think that is a pretty good indicator of Mathis’ superior defense.
Angel Pitching, Angel Defense - get past that.
by vladtheimpaler on Aug 14, 2009 12:45 AM PDT up reply actions
Of course if you're just going by winning %
Then they are basically dead even.
Angel Pitching, Angel Defense - get past that.
by vladtheimpaler on Aug 14, 2009 12:47 AM PDT up reply actions
This seems misleading though
If Mathis caught almost all of Ervin’s starts last year, and Ervin was our best pitcher last year, and the other pitchers on the team have even splits with the two catchers (as was demonstrated in your original post), you would expect Mathis to have an overall winning percentage that is higher than Napoli’s.
For this to matter with respect to games not involving Ervin, you need to discount all of the games in which Ervin has pitched and then compare the winning percentages of Mathis and Napoli. I imagine that they are even or very close to it.
Riiiiiight
Also, there were angels helping the players catch fly balls.
I feel the need, the need...for speed!
I don't think I've ever read a more confusing comment.
But nontheless, I agree. What say you THE VOICE?
This team is our extended family, That's why we love them no matter what the record, no matter what the score.
by halofan4life on Aug 14, 2009 2:05 PM PDT up reply actions
This illustrates a frequent failing of Sabermetrics
It often attempts to isolate a player’s statistical performance with no accounting for his interaction with other individual players.
Very interesting
Idea: for 2007, split it into Mathis Home, Napoli home, Mathis away, Napoli away…
W6G
by Figgi4life on Aug 14, 2009 12:05 AM PDT via mobile reply actions
Mathis is a backup catcher
Maybe he catches a few more games than most back-ups, but if you remember Naps has been fairly injury prone in his MLB career. He’s a big boy too, don’t wear him out behind the plate man.
What do you guys want, a 7.5 million dollar a year backup catcher? Are we the Yankees?
Angel Pitching, Angel Defense - get past that.
THAT
is the best argument for Mathis … a backup catcher who maintains the same wining percentage as our stud-but-sore regular catcher.
Well,
This isn’t Mark Wicker’s article, and I don’t want to take the time to research the numbers that at presented in it.
However, the article is similar to others which I’ve read on AngelsBaseball.com beginning several years ago. Scioscia’s been saying it for a long time…….or at least he’s been reported to have been saying it for a long time.
Just observing the games on TV, it’ appears to me that Mathis’ atheleticism is superior to that of Napoli. I notice that he reaches would-be wild pitches more than I notice the same watching Napoli. Maybe all those articles conditioned me to see what I was told I would see.
Mathis & Napoli are #68 and #69 in this fielding stat list from ESPN.
The major difference I see here is CERA, 4.09 vs. 5.42.
I'm comfy with a 60/40 split, with Naps getting some DH starts
We’re both developing and preserving two young players who play a difficult, body-killing position, for a manager who knows a thing or two about shin guards. As long as we don’t see much of Mathis in the playoffs, I’m good. Just don’t want a 50-50, and don’t want to hear a lot about how Mathis is a much better match for John Lackey.
I love seeing the byline "mattwelch"
Another great job.
I was actually working on the same article (Napoli vs Mathis), but I was also looking at the impact offense has on the equation. Here’s a couple things I found in my research:
1) As we all know, Napoli is the much better hitter, but how much better and to what effect does it have on the team’s outcome? So far this season Napoli has accumulated a WAR (wins above replacement) of 3.0, which means Napoli contributed 3 additional wins over what an “average” catcher would produce. Jeff Mathis has a WAR of 0.4. In other words, Napoli has produced a little over 2 and a half more wins than a line up with Mathis.
2) Fangraphs’ value: Napoli = $13.7M, Mathis = $1.6M
3) Defensively the biggest thing I noticed was wild pitches. Napoli has caught 275 games in his career and allowed 92 wild pitches (1 every 3 games). Mathis, who has caught 209 games, has allowed 51 (1 every 4 games). Other than that, there’s really no difference (in the stats I looked at) in the two catchers’ defense. Passed balls? Napoli has 12 (in 275 games), Mathis has 13 (in 209 games). How about throwing out basestealers? Napoli has allowed 195 stolen bases and thrown out 59 runners, or 23%. Mathis has allowed 146 SB and thrown out 40…22%.
The other point I was going to make was addressing the opinion of pitch calling. I’d be curious to know how many times a pitcher shakes off the sign. The way I see it, maybe a pitcher such as Trevor Bell will throw whatever pitch the catcher calls for, but honestly, does John Lackey not know what pitch to throw? If he wants to throw a slider down-and-away and Napoli/Mathis call for a fastball in, wouldn’t he shake him off and throw what he wants? My point and opinion is, the argument on who calls a better game is moot.
Once again, great job Matt!
How can you reliably determine if he's shaking off the sign?
Anyone whose ever played baseball knows a lot of the shaking-off is part of faketry to deceive the enemy team, esp. if they have runner on 2nd. Sometimes the catcher and pitcher will have agreed before hand specific situations where the pitcher will shake off the 2nd sign, the 3rd sign, and that the 4th sign after the 2nd shake is the actual sign or something like that.
You missed my point.
I don’t care how many times a pitcher shakes off a sign or for what reason. The point was, I think a pitcher will throw the pitch he wants regardless if it’s Mathis, Napoli, or Johnny Bench behind the plate.
Mathis picks off a remarkable number of runners, and that stat ain't so easy to find
He also (I think) makes more throwing errors….
Pick off numbers
Mathis has 11 pickoffs in 236 games which is 1 in every 21.45 games. Naps has 1 pickoff in 309 games.
This team is our extended family, That's why we love them no matter what the record, no matter what the score.
by halofan4life on Aug 14, 2009 8:07 AM PDT up reply actions
hahaha 1 in 309??
Yeah, I dont even think I’ve seen Napoli try to pick someone off.
Do it for Nick '09
by BryanHarvey'sMoustache on Aug 14, 2009 9:52 AM PDT up reply actions
Wild pitches and passed balls
I’m not sure that wild pitches “allowed” is a legitimate statistic, but if we were to combine the wild pitches and passed balls allowed, we would note that Napoli has allowed 104 passed balls and wild pitches in 275 games (.378 per game), while Mathis has allowed 64 in 209 games (.306 per game).
It is curious that Mathis has been charged with more passed balls in way fewer games. I wonder whether his greater range has influenced score keepers to characterize some of his close calls as passed balls rather than wild pitches simply because he appeared to be in position to make the play.
i'll trust the last 2 years as a good measure
this year
mathis has thrown out 20 %, 4.09 era
napoli has thrown out 14 %, 5.38 era
last year
mathis threw out 22 , 3.66 era
napoli threw out 15, 4.45 era
Offensively, it’s no contest, although Napoli is a choke artist with risp this year as well as last year. Other than Willits, there’s nobody worse to have up in the clutch or with risp, however you want to look at it. If he could get it done with risp, he could carry this offense, but even when he was red hot, he still wasn’t doing jack w/ risp.
Either way, the record is basically the same, but the last 2 years Mathis is the better defender easily, and is also much better in the clutch. At least that’s what the stats say, my eyes tell me Mathis is going to be the new Q offensively, without ever having a batting average over .220. The numbers give him credit for not sucking in the clutch.
by Quinlan's Goofy Swing on Aug 15, 2009 12:17 AM PDT up reply actions
Those SB stats are both terrible numbers
being the better of crap is still crap.
sigh….Mathis gives me heartburn and raises my blood pressure. My life will be shorter as a result of his insertion into the lineup. Sabremetrics be damned….he drives me crazy
I must not fear. Fear is the mind-killer.
Regarding pitch calling
I haven’t noticed it this season, but in past seasons I’ve seen Mathis look over to the dugout before every pitch. This makes me question who’s actually been calling his games.
This has been discussed
every time one of these threads comes around. Soth calls the pitch outs, throw overs, etc… The catchers call the pitches
R.I.P. King Ad-Rock #34
Need to find a reliable NFL stat site for that one
Physioc used to remind everyone that Jeff was gonna be a quarterback for a Florida college only four times a game.
by Rev Halofan on Aug 14, 2009 12:42 PM PDT up reply actions
That would be Florida State.
Bobby Bowden & Company. I’m kinda impressed.
So was Joe Mauer
I say just sign him when he becomes a FA and we can kill all this talk. That would make life easy or would his CERA be questioned..FFS
Willie Mays Aikens is FREeeeeeeee
by Angel Aviator on Aug 14, 2009 1:43 PM PDT up reply actions
Interesting fact: That FA class includes
Joe Mauer
Albert Pujols (with an option)
Carl Crawford
Roy Halladay
Cliff Lee
Brian Fuentes (with an option)
Maicir Izturis
Scott Shields
We can look at all the stats we want, it makes no difference
Listen to the countless people who have actually played in MLB throughout the years. Most, if not all, of them state that the pitcher/catcher relationship is extremely important.
Mathis sucks with the bat, that much is clear. But there is so much more to that position than stats will show you. Being a catcher is about more than just hitting…
RIP Nick. We will miss you!
Three issues with that statement
1) Countless people who have actually played in MLB throughout the years have, on occasion, gotten things wrong. There were a lot of people who thought Omar Moreno was a great leadoff hitter, the kind of guy you’d want to emulate at the top of your lineup. They were wrong. Many old-timers equated “offense” with “batting average.” That’s wrong. There used to be a belief that there was nothing wrong with having an early 20s pitcher throw a dozen complete games in a row, regardless of pitch counts. That was wrong. Arguably, the modern inflexibility regarding in-game pitch counts is either wrong or grossly exaggerated. While yes, you should always listen to what participants say, you should also be open to possibilities of hyperbole and even mistaken thinking.
2) Few people, and certainly not me, are saying that being catcher is only (let alone primarily) about hitting.
3) Agreed that the pitcher/catcher relationship is important, and especially (in this specific case) with Ervin Santana. But why wouldn’t such an importance reveal itself in the Mathis/Napoli splits of so many pitchers? That is such a logical place for that evidence to manifest, that its absence is noteworthy.
good points Matt
Although I’m not sure about the statement about old timers equating offense to batting average. How is that wrong? Sure, there are other factors, but the bottom line is if you can’t score if you can’t hit
RIP Nick. We will miss you!
OBP, SLG
Offense = avoiding outs & scoring runs. Not all .250 hitters are created equally. This is pretty basic stuff.
The point
You did, but the “old timers” don’t. That was the point about “old timers” equating offense to batting average. That line of thinking is generally understood to be shortsighted, if not misguided.
No the saying is "You cant score if you cant get on"
The other is “you cant win a batting crown if you don’t swing the bat”………..you know that one Matt
Willie Mays Aikens is FREeeeeeeee
by Angel Aviator on Aug 14, 2009 1:45 PM PDT up reply actions
Great post Matt,
keep up with the myth busting posts!
#34
by stuck in Romania on Aug 15, 2009 12:04 AM PDT reply actions
did anyone happen to see who caught the 16 run game
o yea that is right, it was napoli
the ops of a team does not matter, its about how many runs they score
a team can hit a triple and then get a walk every inning, and that equates to a good ops, but no runs
imho stats like ops are used to judge an individual, era and runs scored should be used to evaulate a team
R.I.P. #34
R.I.P. JJ
W6G...Go Halos!!
"This is America, if we can’t self-righteously look down on others and blame them for our faults, the commies win."-----Cormican on Aug 13, 2009 7:28 PM PDT
Hmm did anyone see,,,,,,,
May 25
CWS 17 LAA 3
Willie Mays Aikens is FREeeeeeeee
by Angel Aviator on Aug 15, 2009 10:16 AM PDT up reply actions
Was it Mathis or Napoli?
I love this team.
by Downing Rules on Aug 15, 2009 5:57 PM PDT up reply actions
Mathis
http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/ANA/ANA200905250.shtml
Willie Mays Aikens is FREeeeeeeee
by Angel Aviator on Aug 16, 2009 1:11 PM PDT up reply actions
touche
but when you see 13 of the runs came in 4 innings off of santana and rodriguez and it was at home where santana couldnt pitch until his last start and the 16-6 included a weaver who had 22 k’s in his last 2 starts which included our only win against texas
R.I.P. #34
R.I.P. JJ
W6G...Go Halos!!
"This is America, if we can’t self-righteously look down on others and blame them for our faults, the commies win."-----Cormican on Aug 13, 2009 7:28 PM PDT
Who just caught Weaver's CGSHO?
Answer: NAPOLI.
#34 Forever
Plugging the upside since 2006.
Never give up, never surrender!
that is the whole debate
about cera and whether the fact that napoli was catching and calling the game made that worse than if mathis had been calling it
R.I.P. #34
R.I.P. JJ
W6G...Go Halos!!
"This is America, if we can’t self-righteously look down on others and blame them for our faults, the commies win."-----Cormican on Aug 13, 2009 7:28 PM PDT
From what I've seen and heard
Most catchers at the MLB level will call a game fairly at the same level, with a couple exceptions (mainly terrible calls; typically a catcher doesn’t read the batter well enough to keep the ball from getting roofed, a good example is when a catcher doesn’t catch the batter’s adjustment to the first couple pitches and asks for the same pitch, only to see that ball go as far away from him as possible.)
So to me the answer to the question is that Mathis and Napoli are equal in terms of pitch calling, ie. neither helps improve pitchers more than the other.
However, there is still a large difference between Napoli and Mathis in terms of the kind of catcher they are.
Napoli and Mathis both have decent arms for catchers. Neither are particularly great at throwing out stealers (Napoli has a CS% of .22; Mathis a .21 as noted above). Catchers that are notorious at keeping runners at their bases or throwing out stealers are Joe Mauer: 33%, Kohjima: 56%, Any of the Molinas, etc.
But from what I’ve seen so far, Napoli is purely an offensive catcher. Higher batting average, more RBIs, more HRs, better OPS. Although this would make it nearly a no brainer who you would put in every game, Mathis does boast something that Napoli lacks that isn’t really a highlighted statistic. Mathis is much quicker on his knees (probably due to his smaller size than Naps), which helps when a ball is in the dirt and bounces away from home plate. He can get quickly into a throwing position to keep all runners in check (if you notice, when Napoli blocks a ball and goes over to get it, his throwing position is usually standing up, not on his knees. This takes more time, which allows runners to advance). His vision of the field is great, since he makes great pick offs at nearly any base, while Napoli rarely will try to pick anyone off.
So depending on what kind of catcher a team want on the lineup at that particular day, the Angels can choose between two catchers who have their own strengths and weaknesses. This gives the team much more flexibility in their line up. For example, if the Angels are playing against a team whose line up consists of players with lots of speed and consistency but little power, you may but Mathis in because of his ability to keep runners from stealing and getting that one pick off that could be a clutch out. If the Angels are playing against a power offensive team, the Angels would bring in Napoli to give their offense some power as well, since Mathis’ defensive abilities are pretty much useless if all the opponent ever does is hit homers.
Time for the Angels pitchers to get back to work! Go Angels!
If Mathis could improve with the bat like Aybar did
then it would be so easy to give him most of the starts at catcher and move Napoli to DH, and Napoli could also catch 1/4 of the games. Maybe next year will be Mathis’s break out year with the bat….
no, because where would that leave Vlad?
unless you’re assuming we’ll lose either Vlad or Abreu this off season
RIP Nick. We will miss you!
This thread...
puts all the OC Register posts on this subject to shame. Well done, guys.
I think what everyone has managed to uncover here is that Mathis really isn’t that great of a defensive catcher, he just happens to be better than Napoli. As someone has already mentioned before, he is a back up, so no need to invest too much money in that position. When Vlad was out it was no problem to have Nap DH half the time, and he showed the world what he could do with regular ab’s. The flip side to having him DH means lots of ab’s for Mathis, who besides hitting a home run once a month and laying down a bunt is useless with the bat. If he were a great defensive catcher (like Jose Molina) we could accept him getting so much playing time. I know Scioscia always talks him up, but what choice does he have? He talks up all his players until we replace them with someone better. It seems to me that pretty much any back up catcher out there could do what Mathis does, or better. Besides being relatively young, what does he really have going for him?
Before I ramble on with out a point… does anyone out there have any insight on whether or not any of our AAA back stops are ready for the big time? Collins seems to be doing pretty well this year, but does he have the ability to make the leap to the big club? Or am I wrong to be skeptical of Scioscia’s enthusiasm for Mathis? Does he really impact the game (positively) in a way that doesn’t show in basic catcher defensive metrics, which hes done pretty poorly in overall?
Mathis & the pitchers
Looks like you have a little too much time on your hands.
I spend most of my time on my feet.
I love this team.
by Downing Rules on Aug 15, 2009 5:58 PM PDT up reply actions
Mathis
Do you remember this guy?
Career G AB R H 2B 3B HR GS RBI BB IBB SO SH SF HBP GIDP AVG OBP SLG
19 Years 2,264 7,245 679 1,838 303 26 105 2 826 663 90 608 142 78 20 191 .254 .315 .346
“Catching is much like managing: managers don’t really win games, but they can lose plenty of them. The same way with catching. If you’re doing a quality job you should be almost anonymous.” – Bob Boone
Give Mathis a chance to age – he’s doing a heckuva job.
by Scott D55 on Aug 15, 2009 12:15 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs
If Mathis even sniffed Boonie's numbers, I would be ecstatic
and I don’t disagree that he could possibly be a good hitting catcher someday, but he’s not now. There are lots of good defensive catchers out there who hit MUCH better than Mathis (say…ANY of the Molinas and we let two of them get away!). Why are we continuing to experiment with a AAA caliber hitting catcher with major league glove skills?
I must not fear. Fear is the mind-killer.
Mathis: 24 errors in 227 catcher games
Napoli: 12 errors in 310 catcher games
Given the monstrous disparity in offense, shouldn’t Mathis have every defensive advantage even to have this discussion?
Most of those aren't really errors
They are just Mathis’s attempt to prevent the runner from stealing center field.
by Brody on Aug 15, 2009 4:09 PM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
I thought that was was a catcher was supposed to do?
No wonder I get yelled at a lot during my softball games :-)
Angels baseball. We do what we must, because we can -- HaloDutch
This was a timely thread!
The headline in the LA Times today:
“Angels’ catchers will continue to split time: Mike Scioscia says that although Mike Napoli is a superior hitter, Jeff Mathis plays a key role in helping the pitching staff.”
http://www.latimes.com/sports/la-sp-angels-fyi16-2009aug16,0,12592.story
Scioscia refers directly to the issue of CERA (with Mathis at 4.03 and Napoli at 5.56) and tells the Times:
“ERA is very reflective of what a catcher can do. It shows what a good job Jeff has done on the defensive side.”
Scioscia also indicated that he met with Napoli on Saturday to address his fundamentals behind the plate:
“He’s gotten away from some fundamentals of pitch selection and execution, and we addressed it. You want to give the right visual in the right count to a pitcher. If you’re supposed to be set up off the corner and you’re on the outer third [of the plate], there’s a moment when a pitcher is delivering a pitch and he’ll say, ‘Wait, that doesn’t look right.’ That can affect the quality of a pitch, and Mike has been a little out of sync there. There are some minor adjustments he needs to make in his setup and shifting. But he’s a confident kid. He’s going to figure this out.”
i trust the former major league catcher
thats the only reason i support so cera as a good statistic so much is that sosh supports it
as much as we think we know, these guys get payed for what they do while we write on an online blog haha
they get it right a lot more often then they get it wrong
R.I.P. #34
R.I.P. JJ
W6G...Go Halos!!
"This is America, if we can’t self-righteously look down on others and blame them for our faults, the commies win."-----Cormican on Aug 13, 2009 7:28 PM PDT
Actually
I am as big a Scioscia fan as the next guy, but he is wrong about this and the “He knows better than I do” argument is flawed here because any person who knows anything about statistical analysis would see the problem with this statistic: namely that to cite it is to rely solely on correlation.
but how come Mike hasn't sat down with Mathis
to discuss why he is absolutely terrible when he’s next to the plate. Part of the problem with this post (and Matt, your analysis of his is great) is that it is a Mathis versus Napoli debate because Naps is a better hitter and we happen to have him.
But suppose Napoli had decided to be a stock broker (or a libertarian columnist, for example) instead of a ball player. I would still be screaming to the heavens that Mathis is terrible because he stinks at the plate and can’t make up on the offensive side for the fact that he only throws out base runners 20% of the time and occasionally throws the ball to who knows where. There has to be a better option and right now, thank God, its Napoli.
I must not fear. Fear is the mind-killer.
I LOL'd when I saw that it didn't matter who was catching Garland cuz he'd allow .800+ OPS's anyway.
"F it, let's pitch." - Ervin Santana
by Chzburger Jones on Aug 17, 2009 12:08 PM PDT reply actions

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