RELAX, or, What the Rangers Must Do to Catch The Halos and Tie the Division
by Clutch on Aug 31, 2009 9:44 PM PDT
35 comments
My dad came up with a nifty Excel program last year that calculates what the Rangers have to do to catch us, based on our and their current record. I've posted my findings after the jump. Rev, I'd be happy to e-mail this to you if you're interested enough--I'd post it here but have no idea how.
Worst case scenario, if a 1995-esque collapse and the Angels go 10-22 for a .300 winning percentage, the Rangers *still* have to play .488 ball--which isn't quite as bad for them, but still requires a decent performance. If the Halos have the wheels fall off completely, and play .200 ball--a 6 and 26 record--the Rangers are in better territory and only have to go 12 and 20.
In other words, if the Halos keep playing like they're playing, we'll be fine. They have to be absolutely *abysmal*--i.e., 10 and 23--in order to be in serious jeopardy of losing the division.
Yes, the Halos' schedule is rough over the rest of the season. The Rangers' schedule is relatively easy. But that doesn't matter unless it means the Rangers go on an absolute tear--and the Halos simultaneously collapse, utterly and completely. Can that happen? Maybe. We're all still scarred by 1995. But I think it's certainly not worth getting all worked up at this point that the Rangers are suddenly going to win the division just by winning a few more games at the end of the season. I just don't see it happening.
RELAX!
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I am takin a chill pill
and relaxin. Things are all good now that we are 6 games up on Texas and starting pitching shown strong signs.
I would like to recall my hitting on the panic butto few days ago. I should have known better…
Angels 2009 WS Champs
by dan73962 on Sep 1, 2009 12:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
yes but are you MAXIN' and relaxin'? All cool?
perhaps shooting some b-ball outside of the school?
Tell your statistics to shut up
by HaloDutch on Sep 1, 2009 12:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just hope those Ranger folks don't
Start makin’ trouble in this neighborhood.
RIP Nick Adenhart.
"When the Babe tries to call his shot, I hope Nick puts one in his ear."
--RallyMonkey5
by Clutch on Sep 1, 2009 1:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not over till it's over, we've lost a bigger lead in September.
On the other hand, I just don’t see a Mike Scioscia team throwing in the towel like that.
#34 Forever
Plugging the upside since 2006.
Never give up, never surrender!
by TheOptimist on Aug 31, 2009 9:51 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Difference between 1995 and 2009........
Mike Scioscia…………
No way in HELL would Soth let a collapse like that happen on his watch.
Godspeed Nick - RIP - 1986-2009
by norcaliangelsfan on Aug 31, 2009 9:51 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
andd even then
we could take the wild card as Boston collapses!
by Rev Halofan on Aug 31, 2009 9:55 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I keep thinking that, too.
THIS… IS… ANAHEIM!!
by opiejeanne on Aug 31, 2009 11:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That would make it even sweeter...
RIP Nick Adenhart.
"When the Babe tries to call his shot, I hope Nick puts one in his ear."
--RallyMonkey5
by Clutch on Aug 31, 2009 11:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That was by far
In the top 5 most embarrassing collapses I’ve ever seen.
by TheAntiSox on Sep 2, 2009 7:49 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You need to raise the attention of scottnak.
Work with him to redo that file up in Google Apps, so that it is accessible ala the pre-game picks spreadsheets.
We don't have a Bullpen. We have a Cowpen. Before we get to call it a Bullpen these guys gotta grow a pair.
by Stirrups on Aug 31, 2009 10:03 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Thanks for the info
but we better not jinx it id rather play .500 plus baseball and pass the yanks
by mikvitu on Aug 31, 2009 10:16 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
The real key
is the 7 games we have left against the Rangers.
If we go 4-3 in those 7 games, it would be almost impossible for the Rangers to catch us. Even if we went 11-14 in the other 25 games, the Rangers would have to go 18-7 to tie.
If we go 3-4 against the Rangers and 11-14 in the other 25 games, the Rangers would have to go 16-9 to tie.
If we go 2-5 against the Rangers and 11-14 in the other 25 games, the Rangers only have to go 14-11.
In other words, as long as we win 3 of 7 against the Rangers, it is very likely that we will win the division. Anything more is gravy, and anything less gives the Rangers a realistic shot.
by Brody on Sep 1, 2009 12:31 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Those F'n Rangers
or, How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the ’09 Season
Tell your statistics to shut up
by HaloDutch on Sep 1, 2009 9:32 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
and then we play the red sux...
ugh. lets do it this year!!!! no more early octobers!
Do it for Nick '09
by BryanHarvey'sMoustache on Sep 1, 2009 9:50 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
would you rather
if the angels win the division sometime before the last series (against tx) and the wild card is still on the line, would you want the angels to play it easy on the rangers (lets say rest the starters), so they can get in instead of the red sox? it seems inevitable that we will play the w.c (if it comes from the east) or central (if wc comes from west). i would rather play the red sox in 5 games than a possible rangers series in 7. however, if we play the red sox in 5, i think it will be a too grueling series to play the yankees in 7 (despite our success against them).
by Halos in DE on Sep 1, 2009 11:18 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Interesting thought
I’d be more inclined to play the Red Sox, just because of the whole hope for vengeance thing, and because I don’t trust the Halos’ against the Rangers this year, but hmm…could be fun! Wouldn’t that be fantastic, to see ESPN have to deal with an Angels-Rangers, ALL AL WEST, ALCS?
RIP Nick Adenhart.
"When the Babe tries to call his shot, I hope Nick puts one in his ear."
--RallyMonkey5
by Clutch on Sep 1, 2009 1:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I mean, really
How would they justify “the AL West SUCKS” then?
RIP Nick Adenhart.
"When the Babe tries to call his shot, I hope Nick puts one in his ear."
--RallyMonkey5
by Clutch on Sep 1, 2009 1:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
They'd bribe Selig to change the rules and bring in the Sux.
Angels baseball. We do what we must, because we can -- HaloDutch
by red floyd on Sep 1, 2009 2:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
east coast bias
Oh wouldn’t that be nice to rub it in espn’s face and thier east coast bias. If it isn’t red sox or yankees its nothing.
by poker1 on Sep 1, 2009 1:19 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
spellcheck
I am new how do you spellcheck?
by poker1 on Sep 1, 2009 1:21 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
HH is a forgiving club.
Don’t sweat the small stuff. If you are worried, use Preview and proofread. If you are paranoid, type in another editor and correct there, then copy/paste. But that’s slow and too difficult to remain conversational. Relax and go with it.
And welcome aboard!!
We don't have a Bullpen. We have a Cowpen. Before we get to call it a Bullpen these guys gotta grow a pair.
by Stirrups on Sep 1, 2009 2:36 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
Let me modify this response ever so slightly.
If you make minor spelling or grammatical errors, no one will bother you too much (although we do have some current and former teachers that might start chewing their gum or gums a bit harder…right opiejeanne? Right Red114?)
On the other hand, if your ideas are poorly thought and presented, then your idea will be sliced, diced, dried, ground into fine powder, cooked into a Moose turd pie, and served back to you on a la flambe. There may be a suggestion or 2 that you consume with crow. Drinks optional.
If you survive that – and if you don’t post anything ever so foolish again – then yes, it’s a forgiving club!
by sothball on Sep 1, 2009 7:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
me too
current teacher, but i’m among the best in typos
This season is my best chance to get called out of the stands to pitch.
by Rally Manatee on Sep 2, 2009 2:04 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hooray
for teachers
Aybar is a nowhere man, Sitting in his Nowhere Land, Making all his nowhere plans for nobody.
by princeton11loveshalos on Sep 2, 2009 2:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Interesting signature because
after every huge play he makes ranging way over to one side or the other, my wife and I always say, “Aybar! He’s everywhere you want him to be!”
This season is my best chance to get called out of the stands to pitch.
by Rally Manatee on Sep 3, 2009 12:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That SHOULD make me relax,
but then the thought of relaxing makes me nervous. I just hope that if Texas keeps applying the pressure, our boys will rise to the challenge, and it will keep them sharp for the playoffs. After last year, I’d rather fight tooth and nail to the playoffs than get to waltz in.
This season is my best chance to get called out of the stands to pitch.
by Rally Manatee on Sep 2, 2009 2:09 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
hahah the way our offense shows up one game and dissapears for 2 is a not comforting.
Its great to see our staters get their arms back, but with our lead dwindling now is not the time to get over confident.
In Kobe we trust!
by robi s on Sep 3, 2009 2:27 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Shieze, well
Hopefully I didn’t jinx it too badly…
RIP Nick Adenhart.
"When the Babe tries to call his shot, I hope Nick puts one in his ear."
--RallyMonkey5
by Clutch on Sep 3, 2009 9:19 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
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