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Fire Hatcher? Five Myths About MLB Hitting Coaches

No one notices him when things are going well, but when the offense is ailing, the hitting coach is everyone's favorite punching bag. After a brief vacation last season, the Concerned Citizens Against Mickey Hatcher Brigade is back with a vengeance. Here are five things to think about before hopping on that bandwagon.

Star-divide

Myth #1: Only good hitters can be good hitting coaches

Let's take a look at the list of current major-league hitting coaches and their associated playing careers:

Tm     Coach             OPS+   PA
ATL Terry Pendleton 91 7637
ARI Jack Howell 103 2982
BAL Terry Crowley 104 1768
BOS Dave Magadan 112 4936
CHC Rudy Jaramillo N/A 0
CIN Brook Jacoby 104 5027
CLE Jim Nunnally 111 1048
COL Don Baylor 118 9401
CWS Greg Walker 108 3177
DET Lloyd McClendon 94 1375
FLA John Mallee N/A 0
HOU Jeff Bagwell 149 9431
KCR Kevin Seitzer 111 6062
LAA Mickey Hatcher 89 3607
LAD Don Mattingly 127 7721
MIL Dale Sveum 82 2198
MIN Joe Vavra N/A 0
NYM Howard Johnson 117 5715
NYY Kevin Long N/A 0
OAK Jim Skaalen N/A 0
PHI Greg Gross 103 4355
PIT Don Long N/A 0
SDP Randy Ready 108 2488
SEA Alonzo Powell 71 171
SFG Hensley Meulens 77 549
STL Mark McGwire 162 7660
TBR Derek Shelton N/A 0
TEX Clint Hurdle 105 1596
TOR Dwayne Murphy 115 5242
WAS Rick Eckstein* N/A 0

* Never played professional baseball

A quick glance at this list shows that major-league hitting ability is not the primary criterion teams use when selecting a hitting instructor. Of 30 MLB coaches, 8 never played in the major leagues (1 never even played in the minors), 6 more were sub-average hitters, and only 5 were legitimate middle-of-the-order bats in their primes. Jeff Bagwell and Mark McGwire are the only titans on this list, but they are both recent hires with lengthy associations with their franchises.

Which brings us to the real reason hitting coaches get jobs: patronage, loyalty, networking, all that smarmy slap-on-the-back ladder climbing crap that drives just about every human institution on earth. Maybe coaching jobs should be strictly meritocratic, you say. Well, that's nice, but some teams still manage to be consistently better at scoring runs than others. In recent years, the Yankees, Red Sox, and Phillies have all been pretty good at it, and their hitting coaches are Kevin Long (never played above AAA), Dave Magadan (patient, but no power) and Greg Gross (7 career home runs). Sorry, but I'm not convinced.

With a career .280 / .313 / .377 batting line, Mickey Hatcher was not a good hitter. But he is by no means the worst hitter with a major-league coaching job, nor the least experienced. There are both better hitters coaching worse offenses and worse hitters coaching better offenses. Hatcher is Scioscia's guy because they both got their Dodger on together in the 80s, but whether this is right or wrong, it just doesn't matter how lousy Mickey was at the plate. You'll need to find some other evidence for your case against the Mickster.

Myth #2: Hitting coaches can make good players bad

Can anyone even find an example of this happening, like, ever? I don't mean some anecdote like "the Cubs ruined Milton Bradley!" Milton Bradley is past his prime, and he's also frickin' nuts. I'm looking for one particular hitting coach who repeatedly took guys with established reputations and turned them into mush, only to see them transform back into good hitters after they escaped his clutches. Surely such a case would have attracted a lot of attention, especially when the evil coach was inevitably fired and the whole team immediately reverted to awesomeness. It would be even more convincing if that coach then moved to another team and produced the same effects. Any takers?

If you're tempted to answer "Mickey Hatcher," think again. How can you explain the fact that Torii Hunter, a 31 year-old veteran when he came to the Angels, has actually improved as a hitter every single year with the team? Did anyone else notice Chone Figgins nearly double his walk rate over the course of five seasons? Or how about Mark Teixeira? He had just about the best two months of his career in Anaheim. Sure, Hideki Matsui has turned into a bum, but he's freaking 36 years old. Howie Kendrick never had plate discipline to begin with when he showed up on Hatcher's door. Shea Hillenbrand? Come on. That was garbage in, garbage out.

Teams fire their hitting coaches quite often, always when the lineup is struggling to score runs. It never does the least bit of good. The Mariners shitcanned Alan Cockrell after the team got off to a 12-19 start, and they've gone 36-54 since then. They were hitting .225 then and they're hitting a robust .236 now. What about those Astros? They brought in Jeff Bagwell, one of the greatest sluggers of our time, to be their new hitting instructor in July. He's brought the team OBP from .295 to .304. Yeah, I'm going to need you to start coming in on weekends, Jeff. Oh wait, you already do.

Myth #3: Hitting coaches can make bad players good

This is pretty much the same as Myth #2. My whole argument can be reduced to the fact that coaching hitting is not like teaching American history. You don't need to know how to be a monster home-run hitter in order to guide someone because hitting a baseball is a motor skill that can only be cultivated by direct experience. You can tell your teenage son all about the principles of a manual transmission, but he's never going to be able to do it until he actually practices for a few hours. And hitting a baseball is much, much harder than driving a stick.

By the time a player reaches the bigs, he's been through thousands and thousands of repetitions, from whacking grapefruits in the back yard to staring down a replacement-level fastball in AAA. The process takes years, and a young hitter is already a precision-engineering high-speed circuit of nerves, tendons, and muscles before Mickey Hatcher ever sees his scouting report. The process of building a hitter isn't 10% complete when he reaches the Show, it's 99.9% complete, and that final 0.1% is finished up pretty quickly. So by the time Hatcher gets a hold of a Bobby Abreu, say, with nearly 8,000 major-league plate appearances, forget it. That die has long since been cast.

Baseballs just move too quickly for conscious thought to be of any use. You can't even imagine the word "fastball" in the time you have to decide whether to swing or not. So what's Mickey going to do in the five minutes a day he was with Brandon Wood? He probably tells him, "Hey Brandon, you're swinging at too many sliders."  Now let's take a look inside Wood's head when he's at the plate, John Malkovich style:

Cerebral cortex: Okay, here comes the pitch. Crap, can anyone make it out?
Visual cortex: It's spinning like a slider if you ask me.
Cerebral cortex: Cerebellum?
Cerebellum: My instincts tell me it's a slider too. Looks juicy, I'm pulling the trigger.
Cerebral cortex: Hold on a second. Let's take a vote. Amygdala?
Amygdala: I'm mad! Let's crush that sucker.
Cerebral cortex: How about you, hypothalamus?
Hypothalamus: I like sex.
Cerebral cortex: Um, thanks for that. I'll put you down as a yes. So hippocampus, any wisdom to share?
Hippocampus: I'm remembering something...
Cerebral cortex: Yes...?
Hippocampus: Something Mickey said to us earlier today...
Cerebral cortex: Hurry it up, man, we ain't got all day.
Hippocampus: He said, "Hey Brandon, you're swinging at too many sliders."
Cerebral cortex: SHIT! Hold everything!
Cerebellum: I told you I was already swinging, dude. I cut loose the basal ganglia and everything.
Cerebral cortex: Well, check that swing NOW!
Cerebellum: That's a deliberate action, bro. Your problem, not mine.
Neocortex: I put a work order in to the spinal column, but they say they can't retool on short notice. Union regs.
Cerebral cortex: GODDAMMIT! SHUT IT DOWN, SHUT IT ALL DOWN!

Brandon Wood then twists up like a pretzel and smacks a weak-ass grounder at the shortstop. So yeah, there's Mickey Hatcher screwing up a hitter by turning what should be a completely unconscious process into a mental struggle. But tell me, is that Mickey Hatcher making a good hitter bad, or just a bad hitter being what he truly is?

Myth #4: A hitting coach sets the organization's hitting philosophy

It should be pretty clear by now that Mickey's job is maintenance rather than construction. Players have spent 20 to 30 years learning how to hit a baseball before they come to him. The guys with more serious influence are the minor league coaches. Even they only get to work with a player for about 5 years or so, certainly a critical 5 years, but a player's skills and talents are already pretty well developed by the time he's drafted. So it's the people doing the scouting and the drafting who really have the power to determine what the organization's hitting philosophy should be. If Mickey Hatcher is up in the big leagues preaching swing-happy contactball, it's because that approach is systemic within the Angels organization. But Mickey can preach all he want and he's not going to turn an experienced hitter into something he's not. If there is a genuine problem with the way the Angels develop hitters, Mickey should be the absolute last guy to be upset with.

Myth #5: Mickey Hatcher is a bad hitting coach

Unless you have pictures of Mickey Hatcher selling cigarettes to kids under the bleachers at Ball Junior High when he should be at the stadium, I'm guessing you haven't got a shred of real evidence that Mickey is actually bad at his job. You may not have even put a lot of thought into what his job actually is.

Well, he goes over scouting reports with players, both the reports on their tendencies at the plate and on the pitchers they'll be seeing soon. He makes sure the guys get their cage time in. He watches a bunch of video, looking for little discrepancies between what a hitter has done at the plate recently and how he's behaved in the past. If he sees something wrong, he'll have that player do some extra reps and try to iron the kink out. That's basically it. No grand strategy meetings to plot the D-Day invasion, no epic Rocky workout montages with a pulse-pumping Toto soundtrack. Sounds like a pretty boring job.

Face it, the only thing we see as fans is the product on the field. We judge the results by batted balls. We look at the screen and see "Jeff Mathis: .204 AVG" and correlate that information with a selective remembrance of Jeff Mathis doing dumb shit at the plate (it actually doesn't have to be that selective in Mathis's case). As for everything else, we just don't have the expertise.

I mean, when was the last time you were jumping up and down in front of your TV shouting "Oh my God, Torii, you are opening up your hips too soon you worthless sack!"? No, you shout at Torii for popping out to the second baseman with the bases loaded. There's no "right way" to hit a baseball, and we fans really have no perception of what makes one swing better than another. Jeff Mathis actually seems to have a pretty nice chop at the plate, and Ichiro Suzuki's chicken strut routine just doesn't look like it should work in MLB. Which one of those players is a career .331 hitter?

So cut the Mickster some slack. I'm not saying he's necessarily a good hitting coach, but I am saying that neither you nor I really has sufficient information to judge that. It's not a big deal anyways. Having a good hitting coach is nowhere near as important as having good hitters. And putting good hitters into Angels jerseys just isn't Mickey's end of the business.

Poll
Fire Mickey Hatcher?
Whatever, the old man is harmless.
329 votes
KILL! KILL! KILL! KILL!
224 votes

553 votes | Poll has closed

This Fan-Post is authored by an independent fan. Tell us what you think and how you feel.

Comment 131 comments  |  15 recs  | 

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Comments

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Rec'd for mentioning my alma mater; Ball Junior High School

those were the days.

W6G -- Unless there's a good trade on the table.

by RexTookMyStash on Aug 20, 2010 11:39 AM PDT reply actions  

Did you buy cigs from the Mickster?

And are you willing to testify to that fact in court?

by Suboptimal on Aug 20, 2010 11:49 AM PDT up reply actions  

Cigs?

I solely purchased dime bags from mickster. After-which I would get donuts from this place off the corner of Ball and Euclid. It’s called Kings Donuts and I think it’s still there. It had a street fighter arcade game as well. Epic combo.

W6G -- Unless there's a good trade on the table.

by RexTookMyStash on Aug 20, 2010 11:58 AM PDT up reply actions  

Bud, donuts and Street Fighter.

The breakfast of champions.

YOU DON'T KNOW THE POWER OF THE DARKSIDE.....

by halofolife on Aug 20, 2010 12:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

mmmm. Donuts

I am so getting a donut when I make the States later today. It is IMPOSSIBLE to get a decent donut outside donut outside the US. How can it be that freakin hard?

I must not fear. Fear is the mind-killer.

by Moondoggy on Sep 3, 2010 1:31 AM PDT up reply actions  

You cover Japan too, no?

There’s a Krispy Kreme shop at Tokyo station with a lot of my money. The ReaI Deal! I assume you’d be right there anyway if you’re coming in on the Narita commuter or going out on the Shinkansen.

Ever get to Guongzhou?

"That's the true harbinger of spring, not crocuses or swallows returning to Capistrano, but the sound of a bat on a ball." ~Bill Veeck

by LAASurfin on Sep 3, 2010 5:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

big ups fellow Blackhawk Alum !!

and btw, Kings is still there and kicking

IT COULD HAPPEN

by BigBangRobbDawgg on Aug 20, 2010 3:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

Great write-up Suboptimal.

And i’ve changed my mind about Hatcher. ;)

YOU DON'T KNOW THE POWER OF THE DARKSIDE.....

by halofolife on Aug 20, 2010 11:40 AM PDT reply actions  

ditto

I must not fear. Fear is the mind-killer.

by Moondoggy on Sep 3, 2010 1:31 AM PDT up reply actions  

I don't want to fire him because he is a bad hitting coach (which I don't think he is)

I think this team just needs a new fresh face. Sometimes bringing in a new guy with a new philosophy can help. IF he doesn’t leave I am fine with it, but a new fresh face can’t hurt.

Big Bats, We Don't Need No Stinkin Big Bats!

by angelskid2210 on Aug 20, 2010 11:40 AM PDT reply actions  

A fresh face could hurt...

But then that was the point of the Sub’s article, we don’t really know anything about the management side of things. Any ‘new philosophy’ wouldn’t be one as well, as it wouldn’t be bottom up change. Rather instead it would be changing the pillow cover, totally pointless unless said cover was totally worn out etc. And for that, only Scioscia can be the judge. Its his bed.

One could quite easily argue that stability has been the cause for our success over the past decade, rather than constant change, and ‘new philosophies’ that other teams might have employed (hint hint Seattle Mariners). I know from my experience of Premiership football that my club (Tottenham Hotspur) has suffered under constant management and philosophical changes, and i’m aware of the strength of the two clubs that have employed the same manager for 10 years+ (Arsenal and Man U). It could be coincidence (I err on the side of it isn’t) but when you fuse good management with stability it brings out the best in your players more often than not.

Unfortunately this year we are in the ‘not’ phase, but change isn’t always the option. Yes, we fans are powerless. But unfortunately thats our lot in life. This aint like politics or American idol. Wait… change is also usually a mirage in those areas too… i’m rambling. Good article. Keep Hatcher*! (*disclaimer. If Scioscia wants)

by TheQuestforMerlin on Aug 20, 2010 1:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

Nicely done.

NEver thought of the fact that consistent management and locker room presence breeds the reign of championships we’ve had. But, I guess that is the reason for getting a new coach at any point, it is a gamble. I guess if it is working why gamble with a new piece? MAkes sense.

Big Bats, We Don't Need No Stinkin Big Bats!

by angelskid2210 on Aug 20, 2010 1:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

Rec'd just for the transcript of Wood's internal debate.

"You gotta have nuts." / "Coming Around 3rd, especially if I'm ticked off, that's going to happen." - Torii Hunter

by Commander_Nate on Aug 20, 2010 11:53 AM PDT reply actions  

It was an eye-opening peak into the inner shit-storm that is B. Wood's thought process.

Truly a timely gaze into the OPS abyss that is number 3.

W6G -- Unless there's a good trade on the table.

by RexTookMyStash on Aug 20, 2010 12:00 PM PDT up reply actions  

Second

Captain, there are doubt's...

by Match Day 5 on Aug 20, 2010 6:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

third

Brilliant!!

Bring back HalosHeaven RADIO!!!

by ladybug on Aug 21, 2010 9:32 AM PDT up reply actions  

Lets not forget that the Angels were the second best hitting team in the league last season

It was because we were able to have a full season of Kendry + an actual leadoff hitter + a bunch of our players over performed (Torii, Hendrick, Aybar, Figgy).

Why do we suck now? No real leadoff hitter, no real clean up hitter (for most of the season), Matsui no longer hits in Yankees Stadium.

Mickey Hatcher shouldn’t be blamed for a bad season of hitting and shouldn’t get all the praise for a good season of hitting as well.

"Just another Halo victory" - Rory Markas

by Slyintine on Aug 20, 2010 12:15 PM PDT reply actions  

Matsui's stats are remarkably consistent

For his career Matsui is .287/.370/.475 on the road.

At ‘former’ Yankee Stadium he was .297/.368/.486

At ‘new’ Yankee Stadium he is .260/.352/.476

Matsui Stats

by Fan Since 1981 on Aug 20, 2010 12:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

I also don't want to fire him cuz he's bad. I just wish Darin Erstad could be our hitting coach.

I know he already has a job, but I’d like to see his fire and intense style of play return to this gutless team.

Any time you think you have the game conquered the game will turn around and punch you right in the nose.

Mike Schmidt

by Monkeyspanked on Aug 20, 2010 12:26 PM PDT reply actions  

Gutless team will still be gutless.

Easy (and only) fix will be to replace gutless players with non-gutless players.

What do you need a fancy suit for, Charlie, you ain't got no job to wear it to.

by clover_black on Aug 20, 2010 12:29 PM PDT up reply actions  

B.Wood's inner brain workings describes my office perfectly.

Especially the part about the work order- too funny!

I meant the OTHER Howard!

by agent_99 on Aug 20, 2010 12:43 PM PDT reply actions  

Yep. That segment is definitely +1

Angels baseball. We do what we must, because we can -- HaloDutch

by red floyd on Aug 20, 2010 1:12 PM PDT up reply actions  

"putting good hitters into Angels jerseys just isn't Mickey's end of the business"

I think I follow you. You’re saying FIRE REAGINS!!! J/k. I’m not on the Fire Hatcher or Fire Reagins Bandwagon. I’m on the Fire Matsui and the Bullpen Bandwagon and the Heal Kendry Bandwagon.

"jut keep winning babt" - Moondoggy

by Rally Manatee on Aug 20, 2010 12:50 PM PDT reply actions  

"There's no "right way" to hit a baseball"...

there is also no wrong way to eat a Reese’s

How come when players go to Texas they revitalize their careers? could it be the roids?

by Sinatrasratpack on Aug 20, 2010 12:54 PM PDT reply actions  

we need to fire someone after this season

KILLLLLLL

"You dont need long hair to rip off your sleeves and be a badass" - J. Allen

by DAD OF VLAD on Aug 20, 2010 12:54 PM PDT reply actions  

You're fired

WiHalo will collect your posting card on the way out

by Epic Dean on Aug 20, 2010 1:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

Mickey Mickey mickey

My problem w/Mickey is the prolonged slumps multiple players go thru multiple times a season. I’ve followed baseball for a long time and I can’t ever recall entire teams being so streaky. Is it a case of everyone getting too comfortable? Push a button! Pull a lever! Something!

by aces666high on Aug 20, 2010 1:16 PM PDT reply actions  

How do we explain last year's hitting onslaught and this year's piss poor performance?

Pretty much the same lineup. Sub Hideki this year for Vladdy last year and it’s about the same. Figgy’s not lighting the world on fire in Seattle…..

I’d like to say Mickey Hatcher because I truly believe he’s not a good hitting coach, but I just don’t know.

We betrayed Vlad, the greatest Angel. Epic fail.

by Halowood on Aug 20, 2010 1:27 PM PDT reply actions  

If Hatcher isn't really doing anything then WHY HAVE A HITTING COACH?

If he’s never to blame, or never given credit and he’s not effective a players overall performance, the WHY THE F DO WE HAVE A HITTING COACH?

- The fact is, he does play roll, and the offense has stunk for about 3/4 of the time he’s been here, despite bringing in veteran hitters. Hatcher should be shitcanned.

We betrayed Vlad, the greatest Angel. Epic fail.

by Halowood on Aug 20, 2010 1:32 PM PDT reply actions  

If he's not at fault, and he's also the common denominator, more than likely there's inaccurate conditions or data

So which is it, the conditions you stated which indicate Hatcher isn’t a difference maker in the offensive output of his players….

Or the data, the statistics simply aren’t telling the story. Perhaps Vlad wasn’t as good as his slash lines indicated? Maybe Hunter’s not. Maybe Morales is even better than his stats indicate?

Either way, there’s a discrepancy in your argument.

We betrayed Vlad, the greatest Angel. Epic fail.

by Halowood on Aug 20, 2010 1:46 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think it means something along the lines of…

…just because you make a careful, point by point, well-reasoned argument for the irrelevance of Hatcher doesn’t mean I can’t call for his firing or resignation anyway! I’ve got my emotions here, OK!!! I need to blame…SOMEONE!!!!!

KILL I say…KILL, KILL, KILL!!!!!!!!!

by sothball on Aug 20, 2010 2:47 PM PDT up reply actions  

Why have a hitting coach?

Why have a queen?

It is what it is… MLB recycles old players, puts them in harmless ambassador-type roles. Its tradition… don’t over analyze it.

What do you need a fancy suit for, Charlie, you ain't got no job to wear it to.

by clover_black on Aug 20, 2010 2:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

The hitting coach plays a role, but it's not as significant as you think

That’s why you can have a year like last year in which the team hits well, and a team like this year’s that stinks. It’s the hitters that hit, not the coaches. The coaches can point out little things and go over scouting reports of opposing pitchers, but at the end of the day the vast majority of the credit or blame goes to the hitter himself.

by yeswecan on Aug 20, 2010 2:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

The offense has "stunk" for 3/4 of the time he's been here?

Let’s roll the video tape, shall we?

2010 (so far): 8th in AL in runs scored
2009: 2nd
2008: 10th
2007: 4th
2006: 11th
2005: 7th
2004: 7th
2003: 11th
2002: 4th
2001: 12th

So the Angels have only been in the bottom half of the league in runs 5 out of 10 times. They average right in the middle of the pack. No, that’s not great. But that’s not “stunk for 3/4 of the time he’s been here” either. If Hatcher was as bad as you claim he is, the Angels offense over those 10 years would have been much worse.

Hatcher is probably not the best hitting coach in the league. But who the hell knows what makes a great hitting coach? As Sub pointed out, there really isn’t any common denominator. Scioscia is comfortable with Hatcher and I’ve never heard any of the players complain about him. So what’s the big deal?

Defending maligned chants since 2009

by Gorbachav5 on Aug 20, 2010 2:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

The Players

My guess is that if we look at the team’s lineups over the 10-year period, we’ll see a lot of ABs going to guys who are middle-of-the-pack in terms of hitting skills. There are very few guys who were former Triple-Crown threats who came here and went to shit, and very few who left here and went on to greatness elsewhere. Lots and lots of ABs by the likes of Erstad, Orlando Cabrera, Jeff Davanon, Mathis, Jose Molina, GMJr., Adam Kennedy…average hitters who have contributed to an average offense.

by jjackflash on Aug 20, 2010 2:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

One problem

A lot of that production come in ridiculous spurts. The team bats Wade Boggs level for two weeks then turn into Dave Kingman for a month(w/o the HR’s), giving you some skewed stats. Most of the time u see a couple of guys in a slump at any given time on a team, usually not the whole team.

by aces666high on Aug 20, 2010 4:56 PM PDT up reply actions  

BTW Subop

I just read the B-Wood mind Fucok and that was hilarious!

Big Bats, We Don't Need No Stinkin Big Bats!

by angelskid2210 on Aug 20, 2010 1:51 PM PDT reply actions  

PROPOGANDA!!!

just saw Mickey, he had a big check written out to “Mr. Suboptimal.” I wonder why…

joking of course. good writeup. the inner workings of Wood’s brain was up there with WiHalo’s comics.

protectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpick

by 2pintsofbooze on Aug 20, 2010 2:03 PM PDT reply actions  

Matsui is the exact Matsui the Angels signed in the off season that got a lot of people excited

His signing disgusted me in the offseason while others were absolutely giddy about it. He is a “name” the Angels signed because they lost out on every other free agent worth a damn in the off season. How the Yankees not even attempting to sign their “World Series MVP” in the offseason didn’t raise some concern is a big mystery to me.

Really? You are going to take yourself that seriously? Well I guess someone has to.

by steelgolf on Aug 20, 2010 2:09 PM PDT reply actions  

I just had a vision

of Wood being dominated by Hatcher like Marcellus Wallace got worked over.

Don’t know why, don’t know where it came from. Most likely, my mind has rolled in too many gutters.

Just thought I would let others enjoy a mind picture as well.

You’re welcome.

by rmhalofan on Aug 20, 2010 2:12 PM PDT reply actions  

The Mickster's gonna go medieval on yo ass!

"If he raced his pregnant wife he'd finish third"
Tommy Lasorda on catcher Mike Scioscia

by sheisalovelyladyandmyapologiestoher on Aug 20, 2010 2:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

How much does a hitting coach earn?

Some manager’s like Bob Geren were paid as little as $500k. I suspect hitting coaches make even less, thus they are all likely earning less than the minimum a ballplayer makes.

This being the case, if hitting coaches were really SOOOO important, wouldn’t there be a huge bidding war for the best hitting coaches? Shouldn’t they be paid millions because they have so much influence over the success of a team’s offense?

But as Suboptimal has so excellently written, hitting coaches really don’t have any impact. This is reflected in the fact that they are paid relatively little.

by Fan Since 1981 on Aug 20, 2010 2:54 PM PDT reply actions  

This last off season...

former Ranger hitting coach Rudy Jaramillo signed with the Cubs to be their hitting coach. He signed for $2.42M for 3 years. Many feel he’s one of the best hitting coaches around.

by WiHaloFan on Aug 20, 2010 3:11 PM PDT up reply actions  

Great writeup Sub

"You keep shooting. You hope it goes in, and you smile." -Teemu Selanne

by haloduck on Aug 20, 2010 3:03 PM PDT reply actions  

Brilliant post

Especially the B. Wood bit.

by WiHaloFan on Aug 20, 2010 3:12 PM PDT reply actions  

Based on that extensive analysis, it appears the hitting coach has no effect,

So let’s eliminate the position and spend the money on players.

And the halo shines tonight

by BP Scanner on Aug 20, 2010 3:13 PM PDT reply actions  

Another interesting lineup tonight

1. Abreu, B, DH
2. Kendrick, H, 2B
3. Callaspo, A, 3B
4. Hunter, T, RF
5. Rivera, J, LF
6. Napoli, M, C
7. Aybar, E, SS
8. Wood, B, 1B
9. Bourjos, P, CF

by kbrown2225 on Aug 20, 2010 3:42 PM PDT reply actions  

WOOD!!!!!!!!

protectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpick

by 2pintsofbooze on Aug 20, 2010 3:53 PM PDT up reply actions  

Beat me to it...some guy named Wood is playing 1B tonight. Is he new?

…oh and all the Mathis haters can be happy, Naps is catching tonight.

by K3YEROUT on Aug 20, 2010 3:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

I guess
Matsui’s benched for hitting a HR.

by phoenix15 on Aug 20, 2010 3:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

Are we facing a LHP?

"You gotta have nuts." / "Coming Around 3rd, especially if I'm ticked off, that's going to happen." - Torii Hunter

by Commander_Nate on Aug 20, 2010 4:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

mathisrocks5 will not be pleased

protectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpick

by 2pintsofbooze on Aug 20, 2010 4:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

yep

until of course Minny brings in a righty out of the BP and Sosh immediately pinch hits Matsui for Nap, bringing Mathis into the game at the bottom of the inning, when we’re down by 1 run and Nap has already hit 2 doubles.

No, I’m not psychic, I just know everything before it happens.

protectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpick

by 2pintsofbooze on Aug 20, 2010 4:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

What a winning combination.

We’re going to be 6 out by 8pm tonight.

W6G -- Unless there's a good trade on the table.

by RexTookMyStash on Aug 20, 2010 4:22 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

Im a tad excited to see Wood again, not sure why

" With Haren bolstering the rotation, the Angels are set up beautifully for 2011"- Another East coast biased reporter

by Halos2011champs on Aug 20, 2010 4:40 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Yo im calling it

Wood has a 3-4 game 2 HR’s. And is benched for the season

by mathisrocks5 on Aug 20, 2010 4:35 PM PDT reply actions  

Funniest thing to come out of this season

LOVE, LOVE, LOVE the Brandon Wood brain activity dialogue!

Witty .sig goes here.

by scareduck on Aug 20, 2010 5:05 PM PDT reply actions  

The defense of Mickey Hatcher always boils down to...

….“Hitting instructors don’t really do anything anyway.” Or, in this case, “We probably don’t know enough to make a judgment.”

Seriously, if the best thing you can say about the guy is that his job isn’t really important or that you can’t really tell if he’s helping or hurting, isn’t it probably time to try something new?

After 11 seasons we don’t want to try something new? Really? We’re so happy with what we’re getting from Aybar and Kendrick that even TRYING someone new is a bad idea?

by Robviously on Aug 20, 2010 5:17 PM PDT reply actions  

It's not

that they’re “happy” with what they’re getting, but what they’re getting is simply what these guys are capable of. Kendrick didn’t draw walks in the minors, nor did Aybar. It is the very rare player (Figgins is one, but I can’t think of any others) who actually learn plate discipline at the major league level. And in fact, Figgins DID learn it, with Hatcher on board. If you’re going to make a radical change like that, you really should have some kind of idea of what you’re trying to accomplish, as well as some reasoned theory as to how you think the change will accomplish that. “Let’s just see what happens” is not a sufficient justification, IMHO.

by jjackflash on Aug 21, 2010 1:09 AM PDT up reply actions  

How do we know we're getting what everyone is capable of?

Guys like Kendrick, Aybar, Wood, etc. have all only had one hitting instructor in MLB — Mickey Hatcher. Maybe someone else would work better with them.

We KNOW what we’re trying to accomplish: a team that scores more runs, doesn’t have players in long slumps each season, and doesn’t swing at junk pitches. That’s basically what every team wants, but we know we aren’t getting it. That’s why you would try someone else.

by Robviously on Aug 21, 2010 9:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

Track Record

The major league performances of these guys are, frankly, about what one would expect given their minor league numbers, with the exception of Wood. But even he projected to be a low-average guy. None of Aybar, Kendrick or Wood had plate discipline in the minors. For most players, you either have plate discipline or you don’t. You do NOT learn it at the major league level, yet you are blaming Hatcher for not being able to teach something that isn’t really teachable at this level. And I pointed out that there actually is a guy who learned plate discipline under Hatcher. If you think players like Figgins are the rule rather than the exception, prove your point.

by jjackflash on Aug 23, 2010 10:44 AM PDT up reply actions  

All that matters is this:

I’m not asking Hatcher to transform players into completely different players. But he can work with them, and our hitters should improve with time. Has Kendrick gotten better or worse in the last few years? Has Napoli gotten better or worse? Aybar? Mathis? Does anyone ever get better after being with the team a while or was it always a foregone conclusion (thanks to hindsight) that none of these guys would ever be much more than an average ballplayer?

Sure, you could say Figgins, but he was mostly a so-so lead-off hitter until he had a career year last year. Was that improvement or just a career year? Right now it looks like a career year.

The bottom line is that the two best hitters the Angels drafted and developed since Troy Glaus are Kendrick and Napoli — and both have done worse each year since 2007. You don’t find that alarming?

by Robviously on Aug 23, 2010 5:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

Your Figgins assessment is erroneous

The primary function of a lead-off hitter is getting on base. Consider the improvement in Figgins’ walk rate as an Angel:

Yr      BB%
2002 0.0%
2003 7.4%
2004 7.7%
2005 8.9%
2006 9.5%
2007 10.1%
2008 11.9%
2009 13.9%
His plate discipline improved every year. It didn’t come out of nowhere, however. Figgins walked about 10% of the time when he was in the minors, so he didn’t just discover patience one day.

Sure, his batting average fluctuated quite a bit year-to-year, but batting averages tend to do that. That’s why things are like walk rate and isolated power are more stable indicators of hitting ability. At the end of the day, we’re talking about a guy with a career .360 OBP, which is outstanding for a speed specialist. Carl Crawford career OBP: .336.

You can’t write Figgins off as a fluke or a one-hit wonder, and you can’t just throw out evidence that confutes your case.

by Suboptimal on Aug 23, 2010 5:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

Why did you tell me his primary function is getting on base...

…and then give me his walk rates?

Here is his OBP through the years:
2003: .345
2004: .350
2005: .352
2006: .336
2007: .393
2008: .367
2009: .395
2010 (with the Mariners): .336

So he had two outstanding years OBP-wise for a lead-off hitter: 2007 and 2009. The rest of the time he just wasn’t all that special (and isn’t special now). So was he developing into a better player, getting better with experience, or was it a function of the team he’s on?

Whatever it is, I don’t think Chone Figgins is proof the Angels know how to develop hitters.

by Robviously on Aug 23, 2010 8:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

No, he is not proof that the Angels can develop hitters

But he is one piece of evidence against the claim that they can’t. I cited his walk rates because OBP includes batting average, and batting averages are wildly variable from year to year. Figgins in particular has had wild fluctuations in his BABIP rates, but there are guys like him out there. Walk rates are much more stable indicators of genuine skill.

by Suboptimal on Aug 23, 2010 11:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

Stop

It’s obvious that this is far too complex a concept for Mr. Obvious.

by jjackflash on Aug 23, 2010 11:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

Grunt

Fire Hatcher.

Grunt. Grunt.

Let’s try to simplify: the thing you’re saying that Hatcher hasn’t taught, and which NOBODY is able to teach at the ML level, is pitch recognition. Figgins, a Hatcher student, has learned how to take a walk. Players don’t learn to walk at the ML level. And yet your claim that the fact that someone has learned how to walk under Hatcher’s tutelage proves that Hatcher can’t do what nobody else can do either is what we tend to call irrational.

When the evidence refutes your beliefs, yet you stubbornly cling to them, it’s called irrationality.

by jjackflash on Aug 23, 2010 11:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

Apologizing

for my snide and sarcastic comments, the point is simply this: players learn pitch recognition by the time they’re 18-20 years old. If you can’t tell the difference between a ball and a strike by then, you’re never going to figure it out at the major league level, where the difference is in fractions of an inch. Blaming his on Mickey Hatcher is downright silly.

That was one of the interesting things in Moneyball: Billy Beane & Co. figured this out many years ago.

Howie Kendrick is really a prime example of this in real life. He clearly never learned to recognize the slider low and away. He never will, and this limits him as a hitter. He can hit the shit out of a fastball, and in the minors, he got enough of them (against guys who weren’t good enough to throw their low and away slider anywhere close to the plate) to post ridiculously silly offensive numbers. But when facing guys who can throw a breaking ball for a strike, or almost a strike, he’s hopeless. His only chance is when he gets a fastball. That makes him merely average. He got a lot of fastballs when he first came up and looked promising, but once they started throwing him other things, his weakness revealed itself quite glaringly.

by jjackflash on Aug 24, 2010 1:04 AM PDT up reply actions  

My responses:

#1: Not only is it NOT a requirement that a hitting coach be a former MLB hitting star, I have little or no reason to believe that being a former MLB hitting star is enough value to be a hitting coach. I see a hitting coach as a teacher and advisor. If the coach cannot analyze and/or communicate you get FAIL. And if the former player cannot understand that the mechanics and approach to hitting that they personally used to become successful are not universal to all players in all times, then you get FAIL.

#2. I will not agree to this point unless Brandon Wood gets traded to some other organization, gets a fair shot at MLB playing time, and still fails. And even then, if he still uses the same approach that he uses now, I will not agree. I will look for another example. It is my understanding that when Wood showed up among the MLB coaching staff, they felt that his swing was too extended and that he would not be able to get around on the ball well enough to use the whole field. Lacking the ability to hit defensively, MLB pitching was going to chew him up. Therefore, the coaching staff did a lot of work to lower his hands and shorten his stroke and we have never seen the old Wood since. Even when he was shuffled back down to AAA he was not an offensive force any more. To me, this smacks of “taking what was good and making him bad”. Maybe leaving him alone would have been worse, I dunno. But I will be interested to follow Wood should he end up elsewhere, looking for any evidence concerning this point.

#3: Logically fallacious. Atrociously so. I don’t disagree with your point, just your method of arguing it. Start by leaving Abreu out of it altogether. You are trying to make the point that a coach cannot turn a bad hitter into a good hitter, so you cannot take an Abreu, who was never a bad hitter, and mark the tail end of Abreu’s career no less, and use that to make a point about a coach’s impact on an up and coming minor leaguer.

#4: This reads more like conjecture, and not any better or worse than my own. I could make the conjecture that the MLB hitting coach takes his cues from the MLB manager, meets regularly during the offseason with the hitting coaches at all the levels below and watches tape or monitors winter ball, and issues mandates for every level and most players. I ain’t an employee of the organization. I ain’t there. I don’t know the day to day of everybody’s job year round. Are you? Do you? So “swing-happy contactball” could be systemic precisely because Hatcher is preaching it up and down the organization, and precisely because that is the approach that Sosh wants to manage to. That is just as valid as the other way around. As to your comment that a player is pretty much a finished product when he comes to the organization, well, I cannot agree to that at all. I would submit that nobody is ever finished developing as a hitter. For practical reasons, as a player ages they grow into a peak level of athletic ability and then decline, those players who have long careers have managed to adjust accordingly, Their skills were not stagnant. They could not be, because mother nature was busy changing their raw tools. If this is true, then it is also possible that such change can occur through the minors, and rghan and Halowoods posts on player progress in the minor league teams seems to reflect just this sort of change. If players ARE capable of changing thoughout their minor league careers, and if we have direct evidence of that happening, why must it be assumed that a hitting coach cannot have any change impact or influence during that process? By the way, the sentence “But Mickey can preach all he want and he’s not going to turn an experienced hitter into something he’s not.” does not belong in this paragraph. The context is minor leaguers, with less or little experience.

#5. Pretty much the easiest position to take, precisely for the same reason it is too easy to take the alternate position. In real life, where we are stuck, there is no control process that allows for test and verification in order to determine the relative impact any coach has on a player relative to any other coach. You cannot take a Howie Kendrick, roll back the years, and have him start all over in this same organization with all things being equal other than the job that Hatcher holds belonging to somebody else, and hten compare results. So I have to dismiss this point of yours as quickly as I dismiss those who argue the opposite.

Ok, that all said, we are not done. What is missing is what I seek to understand. What about (note that I am not calling them “myths”) Objective #6: a hitting coach can take a good hitter who is slumping and help him return to his natural mechanics and approach. Or Objective #7: a hitting coach can help a good player study and break down what the opposing batteries are doing against him and come up with a strategy to adjust and return to his original level of success. These are things I would expect of a hitting coach. Since organizations help set up massive video reviews of all pitchers and indivdual at-bats for each player, EVEN IN GAME, my guess is that these are principal responsibilities. These are where I would want to measure any hitting coach. And you are writing very little to them. Again, unless you are there full time, you do not know, for fact, that Hatcher does not spend a great deal more time with a player after some video review and watches him directly work through some flaw ro adjustment. Getting to a game early and seeing that night’s group by group batting practice doesn’t count.

All that said, I still don’t know if the results we have are because Hatcher is good or bad at his job. We will never know. Even if Reagins and Sosh were to change hitting coaches right now, we will never know what might have been different over the previous 10 years. It is what it is, and I defer to Reagins to know the truth and act accordingly. I trust Arte, and if Arte trusts Reagins…

"Wastin away again in Minor-Leaguer-Ville..."

by Stirrups on Aug 20, 2010 5:19 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

I did not anticipate such close scrutiny

Your critique is spot on. I would never put my name to this as a piece of argumentative prose because it’s not any good as argumentative prose. It fulfills a very different discursive mode: the blog rant. The purpose was to offer a few reasonable alternatives to some thoughtless claims floating around out there while also coaxing a few laughs. That said, I may not have made the greatest argument, but I still think the conclusion is sound. If I had to condense my opinion, it would be this:

Whatever effect hitting coaches have, it is almost certainly imperceptible. Players streak and slump for many reasons, and disentangling the input of the hitting coach from the hitter’s own compensations, from injury complications, from the difficulty of the opposing pitching, from age-related progression or regression, and from natural statistical fluctuation is probably impossible. Even the player’s mental alertness is likely to have a more pronounced effect, since fatigue is known to depress reaction times and fine motor ability by an ever-so-slight margin that can make all the difference in baseball. Whatever there is to measure is likely to just be washed out by other, stronger factors.

So what are they good for? I honestly think it’s more of a babysitting role than anything. Make sure the guys get their practice time in, but also make them aware of certain things they may need to work on. The process of actually turning that in to behavior at the plate is really up to the hitter. As I said, maintenance, not construction.

by Suboptimal on Aug 20, 2010 8:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

It has occured to me, after further thought, that your entire premise has some problems.

You are making a lot of declarative statements about the condition and capabilities of the modern pro baseball athlete, as those capabilities pertain to hitting. (Setting aside any demands of proof to support those statements.) It seems to me that we could make parallel statements considering other attributes of the modern pro baseball athletes. Specifically: pitching.

If you used all your declarations about pitching muscle memory, pitching practice and discipline, pitching hand-eye coordination, pre-instilled pitching tendencies, etc., would your declarations about coachability still make sense? I doubt it, because we accept that pitching coaches have a great deal of influence on pitchers.

So if we accept it as a truth that pitching coaches have a large impact on pitchers; and we accept that all the playing time, practice, development, and discipline to become a pro pitcher must yield similar mind/body/eye/hand command and control as learning to be a hitter; then we must accept that a hitting coach could have the same influence on hitters as a pitching coach might have on pitchers.

"Wastin away again in Minor-Leaguer-Ville..."

by Stirrups on Aug 31, 2010 7:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

I don't accept that as truth

I think the parallel arguments do hold for pitching coaches, with two exceptions. The first is pitch selection. Choosing which pitch to throw is not a split-second instinctive process, and usually it’s not even the pitcher who makes the choice in most cases. The second has to do with fatigue. The current theory is that pitchers become drastically more susceptible to injury while pitching after becoming fatigued. The responsibility is really with the coaching staff to know how to manage an individual pitcher’s innings.

But overall, pitchers are just less consistent performers than position players for reasons having nothing to do with coaching. I believe it’s physiological. The human arm does strange things when pushed beyond its normal function, and we don’t really understand the biomechanics of elbow and shoulder joints enough to predict the problems beforehand. Stephen Strasburg just goes to show you that you can be as careful as can be with some guy’s arm, and it can still break anyways.

As for Dave Duncan, I think for every Joel Pineiro you can probably find a Rick Ankiel. He does do at least one thing that can have a measurable effect: tell pitchers to pound the bottom of the zone. I still think his reputation is ultimately staked on the few superbly talented pitchers he’s been lucky enough to have in his charge.

by Suboptimal on Sep 2, 2010 10:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

Hmmm. Let's make sure I understand what you just wrote.

In your opinion, except for pitch selection and fatigue, pitching coaches are about as worthwhile as hood ornaments?

"Wastin away again in Minor-Leaguer-Ville..."

by Stirrups on Sep 2, 2010 10:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

If hood ornaments could advise on pitch selection and manage pitch counts

Then I suppose it’s close enough. Well, not really.

I had previously claimed that the hitting coach’s function is to enforce repetition. Fine motor skills are only acquired through practice, but by the time a player reaches the major leagues, the pattern is mostly set. What the big league coaches do is basically maintenance. If a particular coach does have a consistently positive or negative effect, it’s almost certainly so small that it’s lost in all the noise inherent in baseball performance data.

It is my opinion that the pitching coach does mostly the same, except for those two exceptions for deliberate actions. People have tried to judge the effects of pitching strategies and pitcher management philosophy with a few promising but ultimately unconvincing results, but I’m still holding out hope that someone figures it out eventually.

by Suboptimal on Sep 3, 2010 12:12 AM PDT up reply actions  

So you have never heard of a major league pitcher learning to throw a new pitch?

Or…is it that you have heard of this happening, but refuse to believe that it is true?

Or…is it that you have heard of this happening, know it to be true, but have determined that it either happened spontaneously or via some assemblage of people that does not include any pitching coaches?

"Wastin away again in Minor-Leaguer-Ville..."

by Stirrups on Sep 3, 2010 11:07 AM PDT up reply actions  

I have heard of such a thing

It does happen, but I don’t really consider it any different from pitch selection. The “new” pitches are almost always minor variations of pitches that pitcher already throws, usually some kind of fastball. You never see a major-league pitcher completely change his delivery or swap out a fastball-slider power combo for a sinker-curve finesse approach.

For instance, a lot has been made of Jered Weaver’s addition of a two-seam fastball this year. He’s never thrown it in the big leagues, but he actually used it frequently in college. Joel Pineiro’s sinking fastball was another high-visibility Dave Duncan major-league makeover. Same deal here: Pineiro already had a sinking fastball. Duncan told him to throw it more often.

The big things that make a pitcher what he is just can’t be adjusted in the major leagues. Totally breaking down a pitcher’s mechanics and rebuilding them takes years. I’m aware of two cases in the league right now: R.A. Dickey and Brad Ziegler. Dickey was converted into a knuckleballer after his second major-league season, and he had to spend the next three years in the minors basically learning how to pitch again. Ziegler was actually a power pitcher when he was drafted and adopted the low arm slot relatively late in his minor-league career. He didn’t make the bigs until he was nearly 29. I’ve heard that the Mariners changed Brian Fuentes’s arm slot at one point when he was in the minors, which might explain why he took so long to develop.

So when I hear spring training stories about so-and-so adding a new fastball grip or whatever, I usually write it off as hype—like Jeff Mathis, who shows up for spring training with a “new swing” every year. The “adjustment” just doesn’t turn up in the pitch data enough for me to take it seriously. Sometimes it does, but pFX profiles change so frequently from year-to-year for inexplicable reasons (see: Kazmir, Scott) that it’s hard to know what is really going on.

by Suboptimal on Sep 4, 2010 12:00 AM PDT up reply actions  

flagged

that should be its own blog site.

I love this team.

by Downing Rules on Aug 21, 2010 12:10 AM PDT up reply actions  

recommended

The only way this site keeps improving is through rigorous peer-review.

by mattwelch on Aug 21, 2010 4:54 AM PDT up reply actions  

You are flagged...

for making too much sense. ;)

I love this team.

by Downing Rules on Aug 21, 2010 7:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

What we DO know....

Borrowing from Gorbachev

2010 (so far): 8th in AL in runs scored
2009: 2nd
2008: 10th
2007: 4th
2006: 11th
2005: 7th
2004: 7th
2003: 11th
2002: 4th
2001: 12th
2000: 7th

Those aren’t great results, especially when you think about how much more money we’re spending than teams like Baltimore, Cleveland, Tampa Bay, Kansas City, Oakland, and Minnesota. Imagine our offense over the past 11 years if we didn’t buy Vlad and Torii.

Let’s think of it this way: You’ve been to a diner 11 times. Three times the food was really good. Four times the food was OK, but nothing special at all. And four times the food was really bad. Would you be happy with that diner? Or would you be interested in eating somewhere else?

Or maybe you have a chance to replace the cook at that diner. You don’t know for sure that he’s the problem, but maybe someone else could do a better job. You wouldn’t change, just to see if you couldn’t do better? You’re happy with your food being either OK or bad most of the time?

by Robviously on Aug 20, 2010 5:26 PM PDT reply actions  

Just look at the rosters

Go here, browse through a few recent seasons, and read the names of the players who received the most PAs at each position. Consider where they were in their careers, and where their careers have gone, if they’re no longer with the team. After doing that, I don’t know how you can possibly still blame the team’s offensive mediocrity on anything other than the quality of the hitters themselves.

by Suboptimal on Aug 20, 2010 5:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

I don't need a link to know the team's rosters over the past 11 seasons.

OK, fine, maybe it’s ALL the fault of the hitters themselves. So who is bringing these hitters to the team?

It’s ridiculous to think that Stoneman and now Reagins don’t consult Mike Scioscia and his staff. Scioscia and Hatcher must have some input regarding which players the Angels acquire and how the team is built from year to year. So if they’re completely unable to build a good offense with the players they’ve got, wouldn’t it make sense for them to chart a course for the team that works? After ELEVEN SEASONS, I think they’d have some pull with how the team is run.

The Angels have been spending a lot of money since Arte bought them in 2004. Saying it’s all the roster’s fault when we’ve had the exact same braintrust since 2000 is weak.

by Robviously on Aug 20, 2010 6:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

You're reaching

Of course responsibility for roster construction lies with the front office. The players do what they know how to do. But to start pointing the finger of poor roster construction at Mickey Hatcher is just grasping for some reason, any reason to blame him for the team’s offensive shortcomings.

by Suboptimal on Aug 20, 2010 8:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think it's a reach

to say he has no control over the roster.

Are we supposed to believe he shows up for Spring Training every year and takes his first look at the roster? Is he like the manager from Major League? “Who the hell are these guys?”

He’s been the team’s hitting instructor for 11 seasons. He’s responsible for the team’s offense. If there’s some reason he can’t get anything out of the players he has, shouldn’t he identify players the team should acquire that will produce?

If you’re responsible for something, get the job done.

by Robviously on Aug 20, 2010 9:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

No, actually I don't think that's his job at all

He’s the hitting coach. He’s not a scout, he’s not an analyst, and he’s not the general manager. Tony Reagins doesn’t call all the shots, he has lots of people who are paid to offer their opinion on roster issues. BUt there’s no way Mickey Hatcher is the go-to guy for making these decisions.

by Suboptimal on Aug 20, 2010 9:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

I thought it was pretty clear

that Reagins checked with Mickey before any offensive acquisition to make sure they would fit Mickey’s offensive philosophy. so far, it seems everyone fits that philosophy to a T.

protectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpickprotectedpick

by 2pintsofbooze on Aug 20, 2010 11:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

I didn't say he was the "go-to guy"

But if he’s working with all our hitters every year and he knows they aren’t good enough, he should be the one talking to Scioscia and Reagins and pushing for a change.

And, either way, our offense has been either mediocre or bad for most of the past 11 years. And that’s with a big payroll. We aren’t Kansas City, Oakland, Cleveland, or whoever. After 11 years, we have enough evidence that we know what we’ve got and it’s not good enough. TIme to make some changes.

by Robviously on Aug 21, 2010 9:11 PM PDT up reply actions  

Minors

This is a player development issue. Why do you think Hatcher is involved in player development? It’s not his job.

by jjackflash on Aug 23, 2010 10:45 AM PDT up reply actions  

Great Read!

There is a drive-in in my city named Andre’s. They make (or used to) the best fried big burritos in Bakersfield. There have been times when they don’t season or fry it right; however, it was those initial meals as well as an occasional one that keeps me going back! To put it plain, we go back to those comfort items to make us feel good, bringing us back to a time (2002, 2007,2009) when everything was….a DY-NO-MITE!

Gimme a cigarette

by tmat on Aug 20, 2010 5:45 PM PDT up reply actions  

You would judge Scioscia by the team's record.

And clearly there wouldn’t be a problem.

If you judge Hatcher by where the team finishes in the AL in Runs Scored, clearly there is a problem. Or, at least, not enough is going right to think that we couldn’t do better.

by Robviously on Aug 20, 2010 6:47 PM PDT up reply actions  

The real problem

is the organization’s idiotic focus on contact hitters. Power and on-base percentage are the only things that correlate to scoring runs. Mickey Hatcher is just the visible tip of the iceberg the Angels have run into.

Witty .sig goes here.

by scareduck on Aug 20, 2010 6:25 PM PDT reply actions  

Another valid observation

Maybe all our young hitters are coming up for the minors completely unprepared to contribute at a major league level because our minor league system is screwed up.

I’m worried that we have a minor league system that is excellent at developing PCL all-stars but can’t develop plus-hitters for the major leagues. Whatever they’re stressing in the minors when the guys are coming up doesn’t seem to be working in the big leagues.

Other than Kendry Morales (who we outbid other teams for), who is the last hitter the Angels drafted and developed into a good major league position player. Unless you’re really psyched about Mike Napoli or Howie Kendrick, you have to go back to Troy Glaus.

by Robviously on Aug 20, 2010 7:00 PM PDT up reply actions  

Do the Halos have a focus on contact hitters, or...

have they had a focus on pitching prospects and eaten up a disproportionate amount of their high draft choices on pitchers, when other teams were gobbling up the power prospects?

"Wastin away again in Minor-Leaguer-Ville..."

by Stirrups on Aug 20, 2010 10:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

What Scareduck Says

The suggestion that Hatcher is the driving force behind lineup (and roster) composition is laughably absurd. It’s the players. The entire organization has done a relatively poor job of developing hitters (with a few notable exceptions), and even some of the players they’ve acquired from other organizations did not come here with a history of being great hitters.

by jjackflash on Aug 21, 2010 1:15 AM PDT up reply actions  

Our organization has a bad track record RE: offense

They let Troy Glaus walk to free money to sign Orlando Cabrera.
They gave $50M to Gary Matthews Jr.
We started 2008 with Casey Kotchman as our everyday 1B and let Kendry Morales hang out in AAA.
They traded for Alberto Callaspo and Derek Lee to help our offense this year.

You’re right. The team’s problems are deeper than Mickey Hatcher. When it comes to offense, we’re a dumb team.

by Robviously on Aug 21, 2010 9:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

Do you happen to have something backing up the claim that Glaus was let go to free money for Cabrera?

I was under the impression he was let go because of his injuries and McPherson’s presence.

by ~MMP~ on Aug 21, 2010 9:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

The team has a budget.

They decided Glaus wasn’t worth it and spent the money elsewhere. Cabrera was worth more to them than Glaus.

Yes, they had McPherson, but Glaus also returned to the lineup at the end of 2004 and crushed the ball. He was our best player in the playoffs that year. It’s easy to say in retrospect, but there were a lot of fans who hated letting Glaus leave at the time as well. We already knew Garret Anderson was in decline with arthritis by then.

How much better are the Angels in 2005, 2006, and 2007 if they have Glaus batting back to back with Vlad? If there was one thing to regret about Vlad’s time with the Angels, it’s that we never really got him any help.

by Robviously on Aug 21, 2010 9:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

Arte's had a flat payroll, adjusted for inflation, for more than a half-decade

This involves letting free agents walk, and giving their jobs to young players. Not just Glaus, but Molina, Kennedy, Erstad, Percival, Frankie, Jarrod Washburn, and so on. Many of the young replacements were offensive upgrades.

While pursuing that strategy & keeping that payroll, we have won the division 5 out of 6 years. This year sucks so far, yes, but I encourage everyone to look at our offense as far back as last freaking year, and maybe resist the temptation to invent new theories while having a case of the Mondays.

by mattwelch on Aug 22, 2010 5:15 AM PDT up reply actions  

Glaus was the wrong guy to let walk.

And it was clear at the time. It’s not about keeping a flat payroll. They could have re-signed Glaus and done that.

They let Glaus walk and spent the money on someone else. (Actually two someone else’s since they signed Steve Finley that same off-season.)

This has nothing to do with Molina, Kennedy, Erstad, Percival, Frankie, Jarrod Washburn, etc. It’s about one specific mistake they made that turned out to be a big one.

by Robviously on Aug 22, 2010 4:00 PM PDT up reply actions  

Glaus was let go for McPherson, not Cabrera. And McPherson could hit

Kotchman was a good hitter, too, for a couple of years, and it was reasonable to have him ahead of Kendry on the depth chart.

There are plenty of good arguments to make against the team’s offensive philosophy; these ain’t those.

by mattwelch on Aug 22, 2010 5:12 AM PDT up reply actions  

If this is true (which I think it is) it's also changing

Starting two years ago they began a development course correction, looking for power and trying to teach plate discipline.

by mattwelch on Aug 21, 2010 4:52 AM PDT up reply actions  

We'll see.

A few spring trainings ago, Scioscia and Hatcher had a lot of quotes about pushing patience at the plate. The result? Nothing.

I don’t know if the organization can suddenly change course with all the same personnel calling the shots. Or maybe all our scouts, coaches, etc. had a Saul on the road to Damascus moment and changed their mind about everything they used to think was most important.

by Robviously on Aug 21, 2010 9:15 PM PDT up reply actions  

That's exactly the point of my rant

You can tell a big-league hitter to be more patient, but he’s just not going to completely remake himself at the major-league level. It’s not really possible. Guys who have never, ever shown plate discipline as professionals rarely develop it late in their careers. Usually guys who walk at below-average rates stay below average, and above-average guys stay above average.

The only way patience can become a characteristic of Angel offense is if its instituted at all levels of the organization—draft picks, coaching, free agent signings, everything. And even then, it takes years for all of the changes to propagate through the system. You can’t fire all your players and replace them with high-OBP hitters in one off-season, and you can’t get your high school draftees into the majors right away. Completely making over a team is about a five-year cycle.

So if Scioscia and Hatcher started preaching patience just last season, it will be years before patience becomes the norm, and that’s assuming the rest of the organization is playing along, which still remains to be seen.

by Suboptimal on Aug 22, 2010 10:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

Two questions...

1. Why would the Angels wait until last season to finally start emphasizing patience when it had been a problem for years?
2. If you can’t change quickly, why would Aybar credit Abreu last year with helping him change his plate approach? Wasn’t the consensus last year that Abreu showed up and a couple of the younger players followed his lead? It’s not impossible to change and I do think coaching matters.

Yes, it does take an entire organization to change course, but that change of course would have to come from the top. It’s clear the Angels emphasized the wrong things regarding their player development for a long time and they’re paying the price for that now.

by Robviously on Aug 23, 2010 5:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

Two sort-of answers

The first question is indeed a very good question. I can’t really answer it since I’m not an organizational insider, but it does invite two further questions:

1. Did the Angels genuinely change their organizational philosophy last year, or was the statement just media-relations boilerplate?
2. If there was a change, who instigated it?

I would like to believe that somehow the Angels organization got its collective heads together and realized that this whole “not walking” strategy doesn’t work very well. It’s maybe understandable when you remember that many traditionalists still don’t buy the value of OBP, and the Angels are a very traditional organization. Perhaps Joe Maddon and the Rays really showed them what kind of terror you can wreak on the bases when you actually get on base in the first place.

But there’s also the possibility that it was all just talk. Maybe Scioscia and Hatcher just said some stuff at a press conference and that was it, no change in organizational philosophy. At any rate, the media ran with it all year, even though the Angels’ plate discipline did not palpably improve. The “improvement” was really just the addition of Abreu.

Which brings up the second question. I honestly never believed the hype about Abreu mentoring the younger hitters. It seemed to me that the media was searching for reasons to explain its own hype about the Angels’ “sudden discovery” of plate discipline. So if Abreu did teach Aybar anything, it didn’t do him any good, because his walk rate has gone from 5% to 6% while his AVG has dropped from .312 to .268. He’s just never been that kind of hitter.

by Suboptimal on Aug 23, 2010 6:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

We're basically in agreement.

I admit I did buy into the hype about Abreu last year. I thought he was a good role model for some of our younger hitters to follow and suddenly Figgins has his best year and Aybar had a breakout season. It seems clear by now that his effect on the team was exaggerated. (Although I wonder if Aybar is simply unable to adjust to being the lead-off hitter and if that fueled his crummy season.)

As for the first part, I’m glad you brought up Joe Maddon. I think the team really misses him. He’s clearly a bright guy and he’s not a guy brought in by Scioscia — so you could rely on him to provide a different perspective. But now he’s gone and we’ve basically had the same people in charge for a decade. The team could use some new blood if they’re serious about changing course. I don’t trust the same guys who needed a decade to notice the correlation between team OBP and runs scored (if they did notice it) to actually get the team on the right track. As you said, it might just be press conference stuff.

I definitely don’t think guys like Mathis, Kendrick, Aybar, Wood, Napoli, etc. were destined to be exactly the guys they are now. Brandon Wood spent seven years in the Angels system on his way to being the (terrible) hitter he is now. Seven years is a long time, especially from age 18 to age 25. The right coaches might have been able to make him a better player. After burning a first round pick and seven years of development on the guy, the Angels have to look themselves in the mirror when he’s as bad as he is.

by Robviously on Aug 23, 2010 8:45 PM PDT up reply actions  

Agreed

The point of my rant was that Mickey Hatcher could not have screwed up Brandon Wood all by himself. He was in other hands ever since he was drafted. I do believe that the Angels as an organization have a systemic bias against plate discipline, and this is what needs fixing. But if you want to start firing people, start with the guys who have the most influence over selecting and developing young hitters: Abe Flores, Eddie Bane, and their hitting instructors at the lowest levels.

The problem is that the Angels actually seem to be pretty good at developing pitching, so you might just create another problem by solving one.

by Suboptimal on Aug 23, 2010 11:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

Re: "any takers"?
I’m looking for one particular hitting coach who repeatedly took guys with established reputations and turned them into mush, only to see them transform back into good hitters after they escaped his clutches.

I actually looked into this very question a few years back, and found that of the 9 players with identifiable before, during, and after periods under Rod Carew’s tutelage, 4 players most definitely bottomed out under Rodney, 2 trended downward, 2 trended upward, and 1 was basically the same. The 4 mush pits:

Gary Gaetti

YR   AG  G   AB  R   H  HR RBI  BB  SO   BA  OBP  SLG OPS+
91 32 152 586 58 144 18 66 33 101 .246 .293 .379 85
92/3 33 150 506 44 112 12 52 26 116 .221 .266 .330 65
93 34 82 281 37 72 14 46 16 75 .256 .309 .477 103
94 35 90 327 53 94 12 57 19 63 .287 .328 .462 98
(Traded in early ’93. Only after age 40 did Gaetti hit worse than he during Carew era.)

Luis Polonia

YR AG  G   AB  R   H  HR RBI  BB  SO   BA  OBP  SLG OPS+
91 27 150 604 92 179 2 50 52 74 .296 .352 .379 103
92 28 149 577 83 165 0 35 45 64 .286 .337 .329 87
93 29 152 576 75 156 1 32 48 53 .271 .328 .326 74

94 30 95 350 62 109 1 36 37 36 .311 .383 .414 110
(Polonia bested his Carew-era OPS+ of 80 in 8 of 10 other ML seasons.)

Hubie Brooks

YR AG  G   AB  R   H  HR RBI  BB  SO   BA  OBP  SLG OPS+
91 34 103 357 48 85 16 50 44 62 .238 .324 .409 107
92 35 82 306 28 66 8 36 12 46 .216 .247 .337 62
93 36 75 168 14 48 1 24 11 27 .286 .331 .375 87
(Only in his final year, at age 37, did Brooks hit worse.)

Phil Nevin

YR AG  G   AB  R   H  HR RBI  BB  SO   BA  OBP  SLG OPS+
97 26 93 251 32 59 9 35 25 68 .235 .306 .414 87
98 27 75 237 27 54 8 27 17 67 .228 .291 .371 71
99 28 128 383 52 103 24 85 51 82 .269 .352 .527 123
(Only in his rookie year was Nevin worse.)

Here are two players declining under Carew in their 30s:

Mo Vaughn

YR AG  G   AB  R   H  HR RBI  BB  SO   BA  OBP  SLG OPS+
98 30 154 609 107 205 40 115 61 144 .337 .402 .591 153
99 31 139 524 63 147 33 108 54 127 .281 .358 .508 118
00 32 161 614 93 167 36 117 79 181 .272 .365 .498 115
(Vaughn had OPS+s pre-Carew of 139, 146, 144, 150, 152, and 153)

Tony Phillips

YR AG  G   AB  R   H  HR RBI  BB  SO   BA  OBP  SLG OPS+
94 35 114 438 91 123 19 61 95 105 .281 .409 .468 126
95 36 139 525 119 137 27 61 113 135 .261 .394 .459 122
96 37 153 581 119 161 12 63 125 132 .277 .404 .399 109
97 38 105 405 73 107 6 48 73 89 .264 .376 .388 101
98 39 65 236 34 59 4 21 47 50 .250 .375 .369 98
(Had two tours under Carew, while aging pretty gracefully, production-wise.)

Here’s one who basically repeated his previous season under Rodney, then improved when he left:

Luis Alicea

YR AG  G   AB  R   H  HR RBI  BB  SO   BA  OBP  SLG OPS+
96 30 129 380 54 98 5 42 52 78 .258 .350 .382 94
97 31 128 388 59 98 5 37 69 65 .253 .375 .369 96
98 32 101 259 51 71 6 33 37 40 .274 .372 .425 104

And here’s two who improved under Carew, and sustained/improved on it after leaving:

Stan Javier

YR AG  G   AB  R   H  HR RBI  BB  SO   BA  OBP  SLG OPS+
92 28 130 334 42 83 1 29 37 54 .249 .327 .314 83
93 29 92 237 33 69 3 28 27 33 .291 .362 .405 104
94 30 109 419 75 114 10 44 49 76 .272 .349 .399 101
(From ages 29-34 Javier put up OPS+s of 104, 101, 101, 94, 102, 106.)

Jim Leyritz

YR AG  G   AB  R   H  HR RBI  BB  SO   BA  OBP  SLG OPS+
96 32 121 379 58 105 11 64 60 78 .277 .379 .393 85
97 33 84 294 47 81 11 50 37 56 .276 .357 .412 101
98 34 114 272 34 75 12 42 42 74 .276 .384 .467 125

Not sure if this proves things, but hopefully it advances the discussion beyond waving our hands in the air that it’s all unknowable.

by mattwelch on Aug 20, 2010 7:49 PM PDT reply actions  

In looking at this there are certainly players not on this list, like Chili Davis

I need to formally re-run the numbers, since this was an exercise I did several years ago.

by mattwelch on Aug 21, 2010 4:51 AM PDT up reply actions  

You have to look at before and after

Mattwelch – interesting.

I would think if you want to try and quantify impact of coaching you will need to examine people who either came to the Angels or left the Angels.

It’s hard to know what Kendrick’s real talent level is. However, as pointed out in the article, you look at Hunter and could make an argument that Hatcher has been a positive influence. Off the top of my head I can’t really think of a guy that we let go who went on and outperformed his time on the team. Vlad, this year, but really his ’10 season has been a fluke (as evidenced by his performance over the past few months).

Really with the exception of Jim Edmonds (not a factor in this discussion) most former Angel players continue to perform at the same level, or worse, once they depart the team.

by bjsguess on Aug 20, 2010 8:52 PM PDT reply actions  

Jim Edmonds is a factor in the Rod Carew discussion, though

As are the guys in my charts, Damion Easley, Lee Stevens, Chad Curtis, Junior Felix, J.T. Snow, George Arias, and Todd Greene, all of whom did better elsewhere.

One thing that would certainly be useful is to look at minor league players’ Minor League Equivalents or whatever as they’re going up through the system. These though imperfect, would give you an idea of who stalled out & who exceeded expectations. Carew’s rep, for example, rests on his nurturing of Salmon/Anderson/Edmonds/Erstad, but were they already going that way? I don’t know. Meanwhile Hatcher has actually done pretty well with improving established hitters (last I looked, anyway), but maybe he’s helped blunt the growth of people who’ve projected better.

by mattwelch on Aug 21, 2010 4:45 AM PDT up reply actions  

Ross Newhan on Rod Carew as hitting coach

Newhan at least knew enough about baseball to guide his kid to the major leagues. I found this article from a blog post last year musing whether Carew could help the Rays. With before and after stats on some more players at the end of the article.
Rod Carew

by VPBOB on Aug 20, 2010 10:02 PM PDT reply actions  

Keep in mind that was written in mid-'95, at the height of the '90s Angels offense

Offenses overall spiked around baseball beginning in ‘94, making all numbers superficially more gaudy. A lot of guys started to tumble soon after that article was written. And most of those numbers weren’t before-and-after, they were just young-player-growth numbers among kids who’d broken in under Rodney.

by mattwelch on Aug 21, 2010 4:50 AM PDT up reply actions  

My biggest problem with Hatcher:

I just don’t think many of the players listen to him. The alarms first went up for me last year when one of my most hated Angels, Aybar, responded to a question asking about his newfound bat said he had Abreu to thank for teaching him patience and whatnot (mind you something I’ve seen Hatcher say for years about some of these clowns).

That comment from Aybar screamed to me that some of these guys just don’t care to listen to Hatcher, that is the primary reason I think he needs to be given the boot.

by Dontbatvlad4th on Aug 20, 2010 11:34 PM PDT reply actions  

I have to wonder...

Are you related to Mickey Hatcher? ;-)

http://truegrich.blogspot.com
http://twitter.com/truegrich

by True Grich on Aug 23, 2010 3:02 PM PDT reply actions  

This particular thread has been so well thought out and clinical

that I thoughtr I accidentally wound up on Lookout Landing. The discourse between Stirrups and Subop was exceptionally well done.

Peer review? Stirrups always makes me laugh.

I happen to think that for the most part, hitting coaches are tits on a bull, but I like Hatcher. I always have. Like Stirrups, he always makes me laugh. My guess is that he keeps things light in the clubhouse as well — which is a tremendous asset with these tightly wound psychos.

I must not fear. Fear is the mind-killer.

by Moondoggy on Sep 3, 2010 1:40 AM PDT reply actions  

You know, for 5% of all bulls those tits are rather appealing.

Not that there is anything wrong with that.

"Wastin away again in Minor-Leaguer-Ville..."

by Stirrups on Sep 3, 2010 11:08 AM PDT up reply actions  

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