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Randal Grichuk, Bona Fide First Rounder: Angels A-Ball Report

Back to school this week, so from this point forward the reports will be a little shorter. I'll try to hit the high points for each player, but will leave the bigger picture stat analysis for offseason rankings, interviews, and debates.  

Cedar Rapids: 76 wins, 54 losses

Interesting stat: since Mike Trout's promotion, the Kernels have essentially been a .500 club. Of course, 'boy wonder' wasn't the only guy to leave -- their entire rotation has turned over, with Pat Corbin, Garrett Richards, Orangel Arenas and Tyler Skaggs all moving on to greener pastures and Fabio Martinez Mesa losing a month to injury. While Cedar Rapids is guaranteed a spot in the playoffs, and still has the pieces to compete, they've morphed into a dramatically different club than the one that took the field in April. 

Randal Grichuk, OF - (29 AB's) .448/.448/.655 with 3 dbl, 1 HR, 3 K/0 BB

I was finally able to catch a Kernels' game via online radio yesterday -- I could listen to announcer John Rodgers all day -- and loved what I heard of Grichuk's AB's. In the eighth inning, with his team in need of an insurance run or two, Grichuk came to bat with a man on. He took a first pitch strike, then swung through a high fastball to go 0 and 2. He fouled off a curveball to stay alive, then took two waste pitches off the plate. Finally, he got a fastball on the inside half, turned on it, and ripped a laser over the left field wall. I know he's showing no plate discipline right now, but his hitting instincts are very good and the K's are dropping every month.  Check out the goofy pic of him rounding the bases here

Ariel Pena, rhsp - (1 start) 6 IP, 3 hits, 0 ER, 8 K/2 BB

Max Russell, lhsp - (1 start) 6 IP, 6 hits, 2 ER, 3 K/1 BB

Pena and Russell have sometimes struggled to fill the shoes of the big-name prospects who've left Cedar Rapids, but both threw quality starts this week.  Pena will toss a stinker every now and then, but he's mainly been an asset since the allstar break, going 5 and 3 with a 3.10 ERA through 12 starts. Russell didn't have much time to adjust to pro ball, and consequently is in a little over his head with the Kernels, but I like his control and breaking ball. We'll see whether his fastball holds up against advanced hitters. 

Star-divide

High A Rancho Cucamonga: 73 wins, 59 losses

The Kernels' loss is the Quakes' gain, as they have played very impressive baseball over the second half and appear likely to land a playoff spot. Long suffering Arkansas fans take note: a competitive club is on the way!

Luis Jimenez, 3B - (23 AB's) .348/.375/.696 with 2 dbl, 2 HR, 3 SB, 1 K/1 BB

Dillon Baird, 3B - (27 AB's) .370/.414/.630 with 4 dbl, 1 HR, 6 RBI, 4 K/2 BB

At first glance, it would seem that these guys -- who were born just five days apart -- are locked in a High A cage fight, duking it out to become the Angels' third baseman of the future. However, both have the athleticism to shift to the outfield, so the competition isn't entirely a zero sum scenario. My sense is that Jimenez' all around game is a bit better right now, but Baird may eventually have the higher ceiling.  Both are still fairly raw and have a lot riding on how their power pans out, providing one of the more compelling narratives heading into 2011. 

Ryan Chaffee, rhsp - (2 starts) 2 W, 13 IP, 6 hits, 1.38 ERA, 12 K/2 BB

Chaffee is enjoying his best run in over a year, yielding just 25 hits and 3 HR in 30.1 August innings with a 29 K/11 BB ratio. He's had to ditch the whole array of arm angle tricks that garnered him attention as an amateur, and focus on improving the quality of his stuff out of a three quarters arm slot. That's not been easy. However, it could very well be that he's building the foundation for a surprise breakout in 2011 (he will be largely forgotten as a prospect this offseason). 

Eddie McKiernan, rhrp - (4 appearances) 4 Sv, 4 IP, 1 hit, 0 ER, 4 K/1 BB

I don't know what makes McKiernan effective -- his stuff looks just so-so whenever I've seen him -- and he has little to no projection, but the Halos keep giving him every opportunity to shine and more often than not he gets the job done. 

Orangel Arenas, rhsp - (1 start) 1 W, 7 IP, 2 hits, 1 ER, 7 K/2 BB, 12 GO/2 AO

After a rocky start, Arenas seems to have found his rhythm in High A.  Both his K rate and groundball percentage are up, so he has likely earned his promotion to AA next year. My guess is he eventually becomes an interesting bullpen guy. 

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Yeah, that's not a great photo of Grichuk.

McKiernan pitched a lot of innings in Spring Training. I agree he didn’t look impressive. But Scioscia sure seemed to want to give him a lot of opportunities.

Like you, I’m really not sure what they see in him. On the other hand, if he gets the job done…

by sothball on Aug 30, 2010 12:29 PM PDT reply actions  

"Plenty of time to develop plate discipline."

Sadly, that’s probably something a lot of the Angels minor league instructors would say.

Perhaps if the team starting hammering our prospects with plate discipline from day 1, we’d have someone at the major league level with some plate discipline. Eh, whatever, we’re too busy teaching guys how to bunt and run from first to third on a single.

(That said, Napoli had a lot of patient when we brought him up. Our coaches managed to beat it out of him.)

by Robviously on Aug 30, 2010 5:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

That "plate discipline" comment ...

…was intended to imply that minor league coaching staff(s) will assist. I hope I’m not wrong.

by sothball on Aug 30, 2010 6:23 PM PDT up reply actions  

I know you didn't mean it the bad way.

I just worry the Angels coaches would mean it that way.

by Robviously on Aug 30, 2010 7:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

I've been to a few Quakes games and I agree on McKiernan, I'm not sure how he does it, but he gets the job done.

Fun Fact: His glove used to belong to Kevin Jepsen, but Jepsen gave it to McKiernan during Spring Training. It still has “Kevin Jepsen” stitched into it.

by ~MMP~ on Aug 30, 2010 12:34 PM PDT reply actions  

Grichuk and Trout

Rancho 2011!! I’m definitely going to be there. Who’s coming with?!

2011, Here We Come!!

by angelskid2210 on Aug 30, 2010 12:42 PM PDT via mobile reply actions  

Is it the consensus that Grichuk will start 2011 in Rancho?

I know a month ago most believed he’d end up repeating Cedar Rapids, because he would be a young 19 yer old next year and his age would more closely resemble the group coming in of Cowart, Clarke, Bolden, Lindsay, Soto and Bedrosian.

I think Grichuk’s going to be our breakout player in 2011, if he gets a full year in Rancho, I think he can top 25 HR’s, which would be great for a 19 year old. Trumbo couldn’t do that in A ball until he was 22.

"You play for Cleveland? I didn't know they still had a team." - Claire Holloway
"Yup, we've got uniforms and everything, it's really great!" - Jake Taylor

by Halowood on Aug 30, 2010 1:21 PM PDT reply actions  

I think if he has a stellar Fall league

they will start him out in A+ ball which I think would be the right move. He’s proven he can hit low a pitching.

2011, Here We Come!!

by angelskid2210 on Aug 30, 2010 1:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

It would be enjoyable to see Trout and Grichuk on the same field again.

At least for half a season or so. I would expect Mike to get the hang of things early next year, and get a promotion sometime in summer 2011 — meanwhile they could both use the seasoning.

And selfishly, I’d like to be able to just drive 45 minutes east and see the two 19 yr olds on weekends.

by Turks Teeth on Aug 30, 2010 5:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

After the draft, I was much more excited about Grichuk than I was Trout

Watching that HR video still makes me giddy, that swing, albeit long is just so fluid and pretty. I’ve since learned my lesson of course, nothing can replace good old fashioned speed and discipline coupled with unparalleled dedication, effort and talent.

"You play for Cleveland? I didn't know they still had a team." - Claire Holloway
"Yup, we've got uniforms and everything, it's really great!" - Jake Taylor

by Halowood on Aug 30, 2010 6:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

Same here

read a lot about randal but nothing on trout. Trout is beastly,maybe randal can learn from him.

2011, Here We Come!!

by angelskid2210 on Aug 31, 2010 7:54 AM PDT up reply actions  

Maybe, Maybe Not

Part of me thinks it benefits Grichuk to be away from Trout.

Trout is suddenly one of the very best prospects in baseball and everything is coming to him naturally. Grichuk is a good prospect, but he’s going to take longer to develop. He also needs to learn plate discipline. Would he get frustrated watching the guy drafted right after him tear up the league while he’s struggling for the first time in his life? Also, Trout seems to be the team MVP wherever he goes. Would Grichuk learn to be a leader in his own right if he and Trout are kept a level apart?

On the other hand, maybe Grichuk could learn some good habits from Trout. And maybe we’d benefit from having them spend time in the minors together on their way to the majors. I don’t know.

by Robviously on Aug 30, 2010 7:06 PM PDT up reply actions  

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