FanPost

Evaluating Relievers: Heath Bell

Many believe that the Angels need to sign a dominant closer to address the perceived need of a closer. Proponents site Walden leading the team in blown saves, his inexperience and past Angels success largely relied on an elite bullpen. However, as the case of trusting the save completion percentage stat (cough, Fernando Rodney, cough), we should be wary how we view available relief pitchers. Don't let save totals in an era of fantasy baseball fool us.

Regarding Heath Bell:

1. He will be 34 years, 6 months come Opening Day. Relievers do not have good track record of elite production in their mid 30's.

2. 2011 saw a massive regression in his k/9 rate to 7.32. This was the lowest rate of his career. He produced a 11.1 ratio in 2010, 10.2 in 2009.

3. 2011 saw his line drive rate go up to 21.3% -- it was below 18% in 2009 and 2010.

4. Pitching in Petco, the NL and the NL West is not the same thing as pitching in the AL.

5. His swinging strike % regressed from greater than 10% in 2009, 2010 to 8.3% in 2011.

While Bell was clearly a successful closer in 2011, and his FB didn't lose velocity last year, there are signs of risk if the Angels think Bell would be a better option than Walden to close out games in 2012. Factoring in the opportunity cost using scare financial resources I would think it would be far wiser to target a Octavio Dotel (presuming he doesn't cost a draft pick) to face RH only or even Frank Francisco to shore up the pen.

This Fan-Post is authored by an independent fan. Tell us what you think and how you feel.

Trending Discussions

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Halos Heaven

You must be a member of Halos Heaven to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Halos Heaven. You should read them.

Join Halos Heaven

You must be a member of Halos Heaven to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Halos Heaven. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker