This is a link to an article by Sam Miller of the Orange County Register. He is referencing an article just published by Baseball Prospectus (which is a pay site so I did not link to it here). Among the findings of the PECOTA (Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm): 1) The Angels are projected to have the best #2, #3, #4, and #5 starting pitchers in the American League 2) Jared Weaver will have the 2nd best ERA in the Amercian League 3) Dan Haren will have the 3rd best 4) All starting pitchers except Kazmir forecast to have ERA's below 4 5) Jordan Walden is forecast to have an ERA of 4.83 6) Michael Kohn: an ERA of 3.17