This nifty MLE calculator allows you to plug in a minor leaguer's stats and pump out numbers as if that player was playing in the big leagues. I entered Mike Trout's numbers through 74 games and doubled everything essentially giving him a full-seasons worth. Not an exact science, but a fun exercise nonetheless. Can't say I was disappointed with the results...
Trout's ridiculous numbers in AA look like something you'd see in a video game. The MLE calculator spits out much more modest numbers, however, the results are nothing to be ashamed of. Here is Trout's Major League adjusted stat line for 2011:| Level | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | K | AVG. | OBP. | SLG. | SB | CS | HBP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA- Midland | 570 | 138 | 188 | 24 | 22 | 18 | 54 | 76 | 120 | 0.330 | 0.422 | 0.544 | 56 | 16 | 16 |
| MLB - Angels | 598 | 96 | 156 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 38 | 52 | 132 | 0.260 | 0.331 | 0.406 | 44 | 18 | 11 |
Trout's adjusted line equates to a wOBA of .338 which would place him behind only Howie Kendrick and Bobby Abreu on this year's squad. Over about 150 games that .338 wOBA translates into an oWAR of right around 2.25. I've heard he's every bit as good of an outfielder as Bourjos, but let's scale his dWAR down to be safe. Bourjos is on pace for 2 dWAR so let's give Trout a dWAR of 1.5. Add in the positional adjustment for playing a premium position and Trout comes out to a 4.25-Win player at 19 years old.
No pressure, rook!
(I'll be in 422 tonight if anyone wants to grab a beer after his first big league knock!)
There are 58 Comments. Load Now.
Shortcuts to mastering the comment thread. Use wisely.
C - Next Comment
X - Mark as Read
R - Reply
Z - Mark Read & Next
Shift + C - Previous
Shift + A - Mark All Read
Comment Settings
Live comment alert: Hide it!
Comments for this post are closed.