We have played 12.5% of the season and...

1. If neither the Mariners nor A’s sign Barry Bonds by June 1, this division belongs to the Angels by an easy 12 games. Frank Thomas will not be enough.
   
2. The Angels’ record in missed John Lackey starts: 2-2.
   
3. A week without Howie Kendrick saw us go 5-2, and yet he remains the most-missed Halo at the moment.
   
4. Don’t worry about Shields and Frankie, the bullpen is going to be fine – Justin Speier might need the most help of them all and he has nailed it down of late.
   
5. If Juan Rivera remains the only apparent alternative to the slumping-yet-healthy Gary Matthews and Garret Anderson, assume Mike Scioscia will let them hit their way out of it – into productivity or oblivion.
   
6. After 4 starts each, Ervin Santana looks better than Jered Weaver.
   
7. Joe Saunders is having some great early success, but watch past the 80-pitch mark as he hits the exhaustion wall.
   
8. Jon Garland is going to get the Jekyll and Hyde award by the end of the season.
   
9. Mathis and Napoli are the best catching tandem in baseball and equitable playing time between the two should mean rested superiority late in the season.
   
10. Torii Hunter is the real deal.
    
11. Vlad is pressing and really should be DH more.
    
12. Casey Kotchman may wind up on the all-star team and should already have a gold glove.
    
13. In 4 of our 8 losses, we had the go-ahead run at the plate or on base when the final out was made.
    
14. With his bat and glove, Erick Aybar has made me forget Orlando Cabrera, but Matthews in the #2 slot and Garland on the mound have brought OC back into view.
    
15. I gave up on Chone Figgins before last season and he just surprises me every game. His glove is fine at the hot corner and he is an elite leadoff man – the transformation from overrated supersub to key cog in the machine is complete.
    
16. Like Bewitched!, we have two Darrens. Unlike Bewitched!, our new Darren (O’Day) is better than our old Darren (Oliver).
    
17. Frankie is determined to pitch 50 Saves in his contract year and we might as well let him.
    
18. Scot Shields should be an above-average to very-good closer next season.
    
19. Other than Matthews in the 2 spot, how can you complain about Mike Scioscia?
    
20. Going into play today, we had yet to play a .500 team.

For most teams, opening the season knowing that the #1 and #2 pitchers would be missing the first 30 – 45 days would be considered a disaster. While far from optimum, the absence of John Lackey and Kelvim Escobar in the Angels rotation seems to be a delivery of opportunities rather than a third-place bad trip.

Prior to the announcement that Escobar was to be shelved due to his sore shoulder, the controversy about spring camp was in the battle for #5 between Ervin Santana and Joe Saunders. The news of Kelvim’s delay immediately put the two young pitchers into a more proper time frame of battling for their respective place. And now with Lackey put on the slow-track-back, Dustin Moseley leaves the bullpen, heir apparent to the #5 spot.

With Chris Bootcheck hurt, Darren O’Day had solidified his chances to make the bullpen out of Spring training and now Rich Thompson or Jason Bulger look to join him. A lot can change in two weeks, but two weeks from Monday it all changes for real! The clock is ticking...

The bad news is that the best case scenario is the Angels play 14 games with pitchers who were not among the top 20 AL pitchers last season. Got that? The worst-case scenario is... well, this is still the Angels you bandwagoneer folks may not know too much about, worst-case could involve Mo Vaughn in some capacity so let’s not go there, suffice to say that some of us can stomach a LOT. Let’s just say that the worst-case scenario is that Arte cannot justify a ticket price increase for 2009.

Rotation #5 - 3

Moseley

Dustin Moseley is 26. In 2007, he was a tick better than a league average pitcher out of the bullpen, and was often the mop. He can eat 6 innings with an ERA of 4.40 over every 9 IP. He started 8 games last season. His career ERA with 4 days rest is 4.87. With 5 days rest it is 3.32. This is not Johan Santana, but he has been statistically better than half of the pitchers in baseball with his 104 ERA+ and it is not a stretch to think he will be at least slightly better this season.

Santana

Ervin Santana, 25, is the enigma wrapped in a riddle. He seems to effortlessly humiliate major league lineups five days after looking like a batting practice pitcher in a war zone. This spring was to be the bubble on which his chances to be a major league starter rested. One bad pop in March and he was looking at long relief or AAA. Instead, he has at least 7 starts ahead of him to do more than just pitch – it is time for him to pitch consistently.

Saunders

Joe Saunders, 26, is the oldest of the Fifth Starter Trio. He will turn 27 on June 16. Whereas Santana veers in peaks and valleys in relationship to League Averages, Saunders is comfortably near average with a 103 ERA+. With a year’s more stamina to the major league grind, it is not a stretch to imagine a Saunders becoming more dominant, easily being the #3 starter on almost any American League team. In fact, at the moment, he is OUR number three starter!

The depth chart beyond these three has to include minor league prospect Nick Adenhart, but no other minor league arm in this system will have proven deserving of a callup before June and another blow to the depth could probably warrant stretching out Chris Bootcheck in his rehabilitation.

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