Analysis: Torii Hunter is Angels' Vlad Guerrero Protector
This is not about protecting Vladimir Guerreor and his bat in the lineup. This is about allowing Vlad to end the wear and tear of being a right fielder and rest himself all season as Designated Hitter, to concentrate on what he does best: batting.
Basically, Arte Moreno is a billionaire who sells out more than half of the season at home and he just raised my seat prices, so the large sum of money paid to Torii Hunter is of no import in the discussion. The dollar is sinking and inflation is rising and $18 million might look like $98 million in the 5th year of this deal.
Bottom Line: The signing of Torii Hunter is good for the Angels on many accounts.
DEFENSE:
Hunter is a competent fielder - some techie measurements say he is not as great as his reputation, but nobody from the fanboys to the RangeFactor accountants disputes that he is a good centerfielder.
OFFENSE:
Lots of doubles, 28 HR would have led the 2007 Angels. Extreme durability should be augmented by Anaheim's natural grass. Hunter Batted 5th/6th most of the time for the Anemic twins and slugged .505 on a team with a collective .391 SLG%.
MOST IMPORTANT:
Our most important player is Vlad, so the question has to be asked: what does this mean for Vlad (and thus the Angels). Well, what DOES this mean for Vlad and the Angels? Vlad is slowly falling apart. He wears out by season's end. As great as he is, one can notice a slow decline and imagine it speeding up. While his career numbers compare well with Willie Mays, they also have similarities to Juan Gonzalez - and the name "Juan Gone" means a lot more now than it did at the turn of the century.
If we are to re-sign Vlad two offseasons from now, if there is a chance he will retire as an Angel after, say, the 2015 season (just shy of his 40th birthday), the quicker he becomes the full-time Designated Hitter, the better for him, for the team, and for us the fans. An outfield of Garret, Torri and Gary is a damn good outfield. We can save Vlad's knees and challenge Garret to stay healthy as a fielder in order to earn his 2009 option.
If Vlad is full-time DH, does the lack of wear and tear add to his (already superhuman) numbers? If all this Torii Hunter signing does is simply slow Vlad's perceptible decline from being a steeper cascade down, than the Torii Hunter contract functions as an insurance policy for our best player to remain at his optimum offensive production.
FISCAL SYNERGY
Basically, the Angels overpay in the outfield for two more seasons (GA's club option is thru '09 and Matthews' no trade clause runs thru then as well) BUT they underpay in the infield. Casey Kotchman is the first of the current/projected infielders to be arbitration eligible - and guess when - yep, after the 2009 season!
The infield underpayment is severe:
Kotchman/Morales at 1B, Kendrick at 2B, Brandon Wood at 3B, Aybar/Izturis at SS, Napoli/Mathis at C all at league minimum for two more seasons and most at league minimum for three or more seasons.
Chemistry:
For you young chemists, Hunter has a PhD in Clubhouse Chemistry.
Biggest Negatives:
Does Hunter have a no-trade clause, too? If not then the only problem is the loss of a First-round Pick, but again, that saves us signing bonus money and the difference between the 26th pick and the 100th pick is usually not as big as the difference between the 5th pick and the 26th.
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So there will still be a trade right?
We could be looking at
Matthews RF
Kendrick 2B
Guerrero DH
Hunter CF
McPherson/Wood 3B
Rivera LF
Morales/Kotch 1B
Napoli C
Aybar/Izzy SS
by acuda27 on
Nov 22, 2007 2:14 AM PST
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R I V E R A ??
by Rev Halofan on
Nov 22, 2007 2:18 AM PST
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Mabye he will start in AAA
What ever Anderson in LF. I guess I can live with that for ONE more season.
by acuda27 on
Nov 22, 2007 2:33 AM PST
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But can you live with Anderson
True, the Angels hold the option for 2009, but the buyout (opting out of the contract) will cost them $3 million. They can pay GA $3M and send him away or they can bring him back for what will (assuming he has any kind of offensive production in 2008) seem like a bargain (2009 salary minus $3M).
If GA posts a 20/80 season in 2008 (and, let's face it, it's not THAT unrealistic), a lot of Angel fans (all the GA haters) will be squirming. Were he to post two more adequate seasons, he'd be well over 2,500 hits, 500 doubles, and 1,400 rbi. Suddenly, there might be sentimental call (and a cheap contract) to see how far he can take it. You might be stuck with him more than you previously realized.
by Retire4 on
Nov 22, 2007 2:17 PM PST
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you posted this there and here and
Better to be stuck with Garret Anderson than a lot of sonzabitches who would poison the team's young players, et cetera. Big whoop, we overpay for a franchise icon, oh damn it all to hell. He is on the decline, oh no yu mean staying thirty is not a permanent condition?
Anderson is a long way from being Vald, but he is also a lng way form being mike HAmpton and Kevin Brown ... so DEAL WITH IT. Management likes Garret.
by Rev Halofan on
Nov 22, 2007 2:30 PM PST
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I wasn't aware that I posted that
I'm actually one of GA's biggest fans. I'm not knocking it all. I hope he does stay with the Angels for the rest of his career.
My point, actually (though obviously poorly conveyed) was that I'm looking forward to GA earning his option (and maybe more) because I like the idea of GA (one of my favorite all-time Angels) rankling all of the folks that continually knock him.
It will make for a very interesting debate here and elsewhere during 2008, especially if GA posts any kind of offense in.
Seriously, though, I don't think I posted this elsewhere; I posted it here specifically because acuda27 is particuarly guilty of hating on GA (as he was doing, implicitly, in the above thread).
But I'm also unintentionally agitating the Rev. Sorry.
by Retire4 on
Nov 22, 2007 3:03 PM PST
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Big Apology
by Rev Halofan on
Nov 22, 2007 9:47 PM PST
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A search of comments
by Retire4 on
Nov 22, 2007 3:06 PM PST
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I guess I'm a hater...
an aberration on his continued decline.
It would appear to me that he has to put up a much stronger season than 20/85 to warrant a $14M extension being exercised. You'd be much better off paying the buyout and searching for a cheaper and/or stronger replacement.
by onthevirg on
Nov 22, 2007 5:27 PM PST
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I agree with this post
by Rev Halofan on
Nov 22, 2007 9:48 PM PST
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40 man
by akathelorax on
Nov 22, 2007 8:49 AM PST
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Was thinking
The following players qualify. The players who would most likely start or make the rotation right away are marked in *'s
Santana *
Saunders *
Kendrick *(if they move Uggla)
Kotchman *
Napoli *
Willits *
Weaver *
Mathis *
Aybar
Wood
Adenhart
Moseley
Bootcheck
Morales
With any trade most likely demanding Wood, possibly Adenhart the Fish still need two other starting quality players.
Santana, Willits, Adenhart, Wood is most likely gonna get this done, in my opinion. Although this has been posted a few trillion times, I wanted to put this in list form in order to clarify what exactly we are working with.
Would any of you be even close to satisfied with trading Weaver? What if it gets Adenhart out of the package? Or Wood?
by Pwn on
Nov 22, 2007 2:57 AM PST
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If not Kendrick, Mathis is a must
Picture yourself in Florida's position and Cabrera becomes like Vlad is to us:
Vlad is 24 and you cannot afford him - what can you get for him.
Then and only then does Santana, Adenhardt, Mathis and Kendrick make sense. Boom.
by Rev Halofan on
Nov 22, 2007 3:00 AM PST
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Just read this
"Angels: According to FOXSports, the Angels have offered Florida second baseman Howard Kendrick, right-hander Ervin Santana, right-handed reliever Chris Bootcheck and another player -- possibly pitcher Nick Adenhart -- for Cabrera. Sources, however, say the Angels did not offer that combination of names -- and the Marlins probably would not want Santana, who is only a year away from arbitration and 7-16 with a 7.06 ERA on the road the past two seasons."
So that might mean Weaver would be the essential piece.
Weaver, Adenhart, Wood would be quite steep, but we may have a lineup with two future hall of famers batting next to each other.
by Pwn on
Nov 22, 2007 3:05 AM PST
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And gaping holes in the pitching staff
by scareduck on
Nov 22, 2007 5:08 AM PST
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I posted this on Nov 10
Was I the only one who saw this comming. I remember a year ago speculating that GMJ would be signed by the Angels and being lambasted on this site. I don't know if either signing was a good idea, but I picked both of them and everyone on this site thought I was crazy. Crazy like a fox I guess.
by I am a fair weather fan so the halos better win on
Nov 22, 2007 3:00 AM PST
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My guess is no. I think that the asking price in
by I am a fair weather fan so the halos better win on
Nov 24, 2007 3:31 PM PST
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Could Willits end up a Padre?
The article features a photo of Willits and the writer remarks the Padres like the fact that Reggie can bat lead-off and play three defensive positions. But who or what would we get in return for Willits?
by 44FAN on
Nov 22, 2007 3:00 AM PST
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Maybe a three-way rade:
by Rev Halofan on
Nov 22, 2007 3:02 AM PST
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That would be SWEET......
by acuda27 on
Nov 22, 2007 3:20 AM PST
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i was just thinking
maybe a strong relief pitcher?
either way, judging from toriis agents comments about how we wanted to get the deal done in a hurry, SOMETHING is in the works and judging from reagins' first two moves, im assuming that its something we have not even considered yet. we'll probably end up with david wright somehow haha ( not really)
by ihearhowie2.0 on
Nov 22, 2007 7:05 AM PST
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Unless that pitcher
I kid, I kid!
by Clutch on
Nov 22, 2007 7:38 AM PST
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Maybe Chris Young?
by SactoFan on
Nov 22, 2007 5:22 PM PST
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Another probable reason for this signing:
Reagins is familiar with the farm system so he must know this, and saw signing Hunter as an opportunity to shore up the outfield for the next few years.
by cardinalwraith on
Nov 22, 2007 5:19 AM PST
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Outfield
by ghostofwallyjoyner on
Nov 22, 2007 6:10 AM PST
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Vlad's knees are bad from playing on the concrete
by LosAngel on
Nov 22, 2007 12:48 PM PST
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Morales to Marlins?
Therefore, he wouldn't be a wild card at arbitration time like Santana would be, and his payroll needs are predictable for three more seasons.
Of highest importance, though, is that he is a Cuban exile. Just as with Livan Hernandez, Morales could flourish with the chance to play every day and the Marlins would have a poster boy to market locally to the Cuban exiles in the Miami area.
Morales in a deal for Cabrera would add a high-profile Latin player to the Marlins roster and maybe save the Angels giving up from one of their other prospects. The Marlins need a catcher (Mathis) and are apparently insisting on Kendrick, but Saunders/Santana could round out the package. The Marlins want players who are (A) cheap and (B) MLB-ready, and Adenhart and Wood are still a couple years away.
by HaloNation on
Nov 22, 2007 6:18 AM PST
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what a week
Hunter helps a lot and now we have an even bigger outfield log-jam. I like the idea of GA, Hunter and GMJ in the outfield with Vlad as dh. This leaves Juan Riveria and Reggie Willits out of the picture. I would like to see us strengthen our middle relief by trading some of the excess outfielders.
by tanana40 on
Nov 22, 2007 7:28 AM PST
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if this is our protection for Vlad
I'm holding out hope that we're not done.
Hunter is what he is. He has put up a .270-.280 batting average with a .330 or so OBP in his last 4 prime years. He has a real nice arm, but his other defensive skills aren't what they once were. He plays a very agressive style so his age 32 may translate to being a little older.
I live in ND, so it is basically Twins country up here and it was pretty much unanimous that the one 'star' the Twins could live without is Hunter. Now we have him!
If Hunter bats 5th or 6th, that is fine and he is more of a true CF than Matthews and doesn't have the drug cloud that we know of. If this is Vlad's protection, this is gross. Either way, 5 years and 90 million for Hunter...YIKES!
by thewebb on
Nov 22, 2007 8:43 AM PST
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The biggest Joke of all is
Welcome Tony Reagins!......and standby for more surprises!
by SocalAngelFaninOC on
Nov 22, 2007 8:45 AM PST
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I'm officially on the M. Cabrera bandwagon
It's time to contend with the big boys. I can't bear to continue to be the Red Sux whipping boys.
He's on the rise as opposed to Tejada's decline. He's at a position of need, younger than young, major power with a high average. He's the closest thing to a young Pujols out there.
by thewebb on
Nov 22, 2007 8:55 AM PST
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It's Thankgiving, be thankful
by ghostofwallyjoyner on
Nov 22, 2007 9:09 AM PST
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We keep praising Reagans...
by Dodger Hater on
Nov 22, 2007 1:44 PM PST
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You're right!
by wumbug on
Nov 22, 2007 5:46 PM PST
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A lineup of...
HK
Vlad
M Cab
Hunter
Anderson
Kotch
Napoli
GMJ
would be pretty awesome
by thebigA on
Nov 22, 2007 9:50 AM PST
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Don't think Chone will start at SS
I'm a fan of using Kotchman like Boston uses Youkilis. So, something like this:
SS Izzy
1B Krotch
DH Vlad
3B MigCab
LF G.A.
CF Hunter
2B Kendrick
RF GMJ
C Napoli
by mattwelch on
Nov 22, 2007 9:55 AM PST
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Kotch
by MH25 on
Nov 22, 2007 10:13 AM PST
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Yep
by agermer on
Nov 22, 2007 10:37 AM PST
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some variation
Although if Figgins is hitting like last season I can't see Izzy starting in front of him.
by thebigA on
Nov 22, 2007 10:19 AM PST
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Exactly
by agermer on
Nov 22, 2007 10:38 AM PST
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Horrible Signing.
Hunter is an outstanding person by all accounts and he does have some pop. He plays a plus centerfield.
Now the negatives.
I was goign to write a really long essay on how although Hunter has decent pop, he is really not all that good of a hitter. His OBP is traditionally very low and he doesn't steal bases at a great clip although I'm sure he fits right in with the Angels style of baserunning. He's on the WRONG side of 30.
But instead of going on and on about stuff like that like I want to I will sum up his offensive prowess with one statement.
MAICER IZTURIS WAS A BETTER OFFENSIVE PLAYER than Hunter after the ASB last year. He topped him in OPS by like 30 something points, stole bases at a much better clip. Are we going to be giving Izturis close to 18 million a year? I sure hope not. While some people have said they want to go buy season tickets because of this move, to me this move makes me want to see far less games because this move just demonstrates that the Angels don't get it, and the person they have in control just got there so isn't likely to move on in the near future.
by MH25 on
Nov 22, 2007 9:59 AM PST
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Next Trade
by AngelsFanInMinnesota on
Nov 22, 2007 10:20 AM PST
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That idea
My only issue with all these moves is that if we want to win the W.S., we need to be better than the Red Sox. I'm not sure that would make us better than the Sox. If we aren't thinking like that, and that is not what we accomplish this offseason, than I consider it a failure.
It was painfully obvious all last year that we were not better than the Sox, and despite what some people on here believe, the playoffs are not a crapshoot. The Red Sox kicked our ass plain and simple, we did not stand a chance. No crapshoot there, the Red Sox own us. As the team stands now, I don't see that changing unless Manny and Papi get seriously injured next year.
by LosAngel on
Nov 22, 2007 1:14 PM PST
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This team already is much better
by DChalofan on
Nov 23, 2007 10:28 AM PST
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I still want MCab!
In other words I want a young Manny, namely MCab. Sure we might have to give up HK47, whom I love, but his upside is not even equal to MCab's present, and the following lineup is unbelievable:
Figgy, 2B
Sarge, Jr., RF/LF
Vladdy, DH/RF
MCab, 3B
GA, LF/DH
Torii, CF
Kotch, 1B
Naps, C
Izzy/Aybar, SS
This lineup rakes! Before anyone complains about the infield defense, 1) Izzy/Aybar are pretty good shortstops, 2) Figgy is a natural 2Bman and would do OK if allowed to stay at one position all year, 3) we have a GG 1Bman to pick bad throws, and 4) if you score enough runs, you can overcome a few defensive mishaps.
Best of all, we have the pitching/outfield depth to get it done. Some combination of HK47, Willits, Mathis, Santana/Saunders, Bootcheck (not all of them, of course), should get it done. If we get Uggla back, we could even go with:
Figgy, SS
Sarge, Jr., RF/LF
Vladdy, DH/RF
MCab, 3B
GA, LF/DH
Torii, CF
Uggla, 2B
Kotch, 1B
Naps, C
Either way, this is why we have been stockpiling talent, and now is the time to turn all that potential into a reality. We have to stop imagining that all these young guys/prospects are going to reach their ceiling and realize that MCab is someone whose today is already spectacular: a once-in-ten years type opportunity.
Don't stop now Tony: go get MCab!
by halofan91 on
Nov 22, 2007 10:28 AM PST
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what a surprise and shock
a bad and costly signing - wait till year 3 to 5 -see how the yankess like johnny damen now!
one really thought we had to go out in our off-season moves after the cabera trade - i could see some reason behing that
but this one - we could have a half dozen other ideas to get more time out of the outfield for vlad and at bats at DH
PLEASE PLEASE NO HOWIE IN ANY DEAL - someone needs to stop this guy
by nh angel fan on
Nov 22, 2007 10:33 AM PST
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mixed reviews
by tanana40 on
Nov 22, 2007 11:26 AM PST
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It's like a guy stumbling out of the desert
We've been deprived of this sort of off-season hi-jinx for a few years - or maybe it's just that we've endured a lot rub-and-tug without the satisfaction of the money shot - and I think that the sense of release has left a few people a bit giddy, whilst others have maintained a detached and cynical rationalism.
While I'm sure the cold facts will be sure to present themselves over the coming years (for better or for worse), you can't help feeling that this is currently, especially with the prospect of more wheeling and dealing to come, off-season entertainment at it's best. Whether or not we reap what we're currently sowing down the line, well, that's for worrying about another day.
by The Limey on
Nov 22, 2007 11:52 AM PST
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18 million/year...
Welcome to the next level....Yankees, Red Sox, Angels.
LA Angels might take the 2nd spot from the Sox this year, figuring Vlad will not be too happy he is being underpaid by $5 mill a year, the Sox clearing $25 million and the Garland $3 million upgrade + $18 million to Hunter.
I have no idea why the Angels would over pay for Hunter, but if you guys like it, congrats.
by SoxAcumen on
Nov 22, 2007 11:24 AM PST
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overpaying
by Rev Halofan on
Nov 22, 2007 12:00 PM PST
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relative to what?
Hey, if you guys think Torii Hunter helps out, then who am I to complain. Just a couple of thoughts though...wouldnt the Angels been better off just signing Carlos Lee last year?
Well hopefully you guys move some talent and get Miggy or Santana, if not I have no idea how adding Torii Hunter for at least $5million over the market value gets you to the ALCS.
BTW, I love this deal as a Sox fan, you guys just made Coco Crisp all that more attractive to other teams in need of a CF.
by SoxAcumen on
Nov 22, 2007 12:38 PM PST
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HUH WHUH?
The Crud Sox are stuck with Crisp becuase the gun to Theo's head is asking for Ellsbury in every trade.
And using terms like "Market Value" is quaint when a starving Joakland fan is using them, but a Crud Sox fan parroting that term is like a resaurant review from a fat guy.
by Rev Halofan on
Nov 22, 2007 12:49 PM PST
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Carlos Lee
All the love for Boston aside, I mean seriously, you do not need to hide your true feelings for the Sox any longer, but 5/90 million AND your 1st round pick for Torii Hunter is possibly the worst deal outside of that Mike Hampton Colorado gem, especially when you have a CF already.
Coco will be dealt, Ellsbury is the biggest economic cash cow the Sox have had since Babe Ruth. I am sure Ellsbury will never be traded.
by SoxAcumen on
Nov 22, 2007 1:41 PM PST
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Wow
by Rev Halofan on
Nov 22, 2007 1:55 PM PST
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Your team values defense
by hauldog on
Nov 22, 2007 2:16 PM PST
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Market Value....
Torii Hunter is not worth 18 Million a year, you know it, I know it, and everyone on the planet knows it.
I am curious to see what Vladdy's reaction will be.
by SoxAcumen on
Nov 22, 2007 1:48 PM PST
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Vlad won't care
by hauldog on
Nov 22, 2007 2:15 PM PST
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JD Drew
Carlos Lee is a fat sack of shit. Nice suggestion.
by hauldog on
Nov 22, 2007 12:56 PM PST
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You are incorrect..
by darkangel01 on
Nov 22, 2007 1:26 PM PST
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Was
Historically speaking I would agree with you. Currently no.
Drew is a platoon player with Vlad's contract.
by hauldog on
Nov 22, 2007 1:29 PM PST
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WAS???
by darkangel01 on
Nov 22, 2007 9:01 PM PST
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Historically I agreed with you
Dayn is that you?
by hauldog on
Nov 22, 2007 11:44 PM PST
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to quote ron bergundy
by Ty Webb on
Nov 22, 2007 12:23 PM PST
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Oakland, Seattle and Texas
by thebigA on
Nov 22, 2007 12:20 PM PST
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GMJ to the twins
by bbasher on
Nov 22, 2007 12:36 PM PST
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Joe...
by Ty Webb on
Nov 22, 2007 7:33 PM PST
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With all the OF
by higdog on
Nov 22, 2007 1:09 PM PST
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LOL
The Los Angeles Yankees of Anaheim,
Classic, he was referring to the Angels ability to keep overpaying for players each year and not winning.
Funny stuff.
by SoxAcumen on
Nov 22, 2007 1:54 PM PST
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Like you guys signed J.D. Drew except.......
90Million for Hunter 5years
Lets see
Hunter 28HRs 107RBIs 45(2B) 1(3B) .287avg 101Ks 172Hits
Drew 11HRs 64RBIs 30(2B) 4(3B) .270avg 100Ks 126Hits
Lets see we pay 20Million more but we get.....
17HRs, 43RBIs, 15Doubls, and 46hits more than you guys get out of drew. Not to mention a GOLD GLOVE defense.
by acuda27 on
Nov 22, 2007 3:05 PM PST
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Must be a slow day
by tanana40 on
Nov 22, 2007 4:14 PM PST
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Don't need M. Cabrera
by ponusbaum43 on
Nov 22, 2007 7:23 PM PST
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If we trade for Cabrera
by The Limey on
Nov 23, 2007 1:23 AM PST
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WATCH THIS HUNTER VIDEO
Now hes ANGELS TERRITORY!!!!!
Funny ass TV comercial.
by acuda27 on
Nov 22, 2007 8:19 PM PST
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Funny, yes!
by rspencer on
Nov 22, 2007 11:15 PM PST
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There's no doubt
by HawaiiHaloFan35 on
Nov 23, 2007 11:41 AM PST
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Lol
The people that annoy everyone not currently living on the east coast or employed by ESPN is smug assholes like Mr Acumen who come over and flame our signing for little reason. This is why everyone hate you Red Sox's fans.
by Pwn on
Nov 23, 2007 12:25 AM PST
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Great Point
by Rev Halofan on
Nov 23, 2007 12:29 AM PST
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Moreno interviewed at U of AZ game in Tucson
by roidrage on
Nov 23, 2007 2:44 AM PST
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Your saying "Voo Doo is gay?"
by acuda27 on
Nov 23, 2007 9:34 AM PST
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Ask the waitresses at the Katella Hooters
by Rev Halofan on
Nov 23, 2007 6:25 PM PST
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Hunter
He had a career year in a walk year.
If the Angels are expecting Torii Hunter circa 2007 every year for the next five years, then y'all are due for a seriously rude awakening...
by oneiric232 on
Nov 23, 2007 9:47 AM PST
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