An interesting trade suggestion...

by Jay Cal on Nov 27, 2007 9:58 AM PST

Lyle Spencer's take on an interesting move is "Aybar, Willits, Haynes and either Ervin Santana or Joe Saunders to the Padres for shortstop Khalil Greene and reliever Cla Meredith. (Rivera could be substituted for Willits if the Padres crave some power."

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It sounds like an interesting move. Which would allow us to strengthen our Bullpen and upgrade our Shortstop. What do you think?

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Anaheim

is a fairly neutral park. Petco is where baseballs go to die. If Khalil came here, he could and would easily improve on his 100OPS+. Quick look at his splits says that he had a 77OPS+ at home, and 122 on the road. If that's the case, he could pretty damn easily be .270 with 20-25HR, and 90+ RBIs. Problem is he walks less than Steven Hawki...

...nevermind.

Hack out the Saunders part, or one of the speedster guys, and I'd CONSIDER it.

by Caseys Kiss of Death on Nov 27, 2007 9:48 AM PST reply actions

Interesting

I was going to say that there isn't too much to that argument but then I took a look at his 2007 splits:

Home: .216/.258/.412
Away: .288/.322/.519

What's more, that's consistent with his career splits. So maybe getting him out of that dank cavern known as Petco would boost his value pretty substantially.

Hoping Ervin Santana turns it around in Salt Lake. Go, Ervin!

by scareduck on Nov 27, 2007 12:42 PM PST up reply actions

OPS+ is park adjusted

So moving to a hitters park won't affect that. It will affect his raw numbers and counting stats, but not an adjusted stat like OPS+.

by LA Seitz on Nov 27, 2007 1:03 PM PST up reply actions

Yes, but

look at the home/away splits in his B-R profile. It says at home, his OPS+ at home was 77, and on the road 122. I'm not sure how that tOPS+ stat works, but I'm pretty sure that his Petco numbers didn't include a 77OPS+ among all players to hit there.

What I would suggest however, is that in a hitter-neutral park such as Angels Stadium, with an additional 81 road games that would average out to a roughly neutral hitting park, he'd see his road stats far more indicative of what he'd perform on the whole here. If that's the case, his career road OPS is .850, which is far greater than his .658 career road mark. If he ended up around .800 here in Anaheim, it would still be over the 100OPS+ he put up last year. I think there must be something flawed in their park adjustments, because Greene's splits suggest he is well above a 100OPS+ guy if he were out of Petco.

by Caseys Kiss of Death on Nov 27, 2007 1:19 PM PST up reply actions

Yeah, could be

Those numbers do seem really out of whack.

Oddly, his home numbers sucked way worse than his road numbers in 2003, too, though in a tremendously small sample size. That was pre-Petco. Maybe he just doesn't do well at home for some reason.

by LA Seitz on Nov 27, 2007 1:28 PM PST up reply actions

One problem

It doesn't turn me on .

by matt92130 on Nov 27, 2007 9:56 AM PST reply actions

I don't like it...

Career .254 hitter in the National League = bad news.

by NPCody on Nov 27, 2007 9:57 AM PST reply actions

Look at his home/road splits

they're among the most insane in all of baseball. Petco can't be overstated as a pitcher's ballpark.

by Caseys Kiss of Death on Nov 27, 2007 10:40 AM PST up reply actions

at first glance

when i first saw that, my reaction was "what is this guy smoking" but a closer look at his splits does reveal that his scary looking average and OBP could have quite a bit to do with his ballpark.

Even outside of san diego, he'll never be your leadoff guy but for a short stop, he does provide pretty good power. But really, for the strikeouts and power potential, why not save the prospects and let brandon wood play short?

meredith would be a plus for our bullpen though.

by ihearhowie2.0 on Nov 27, 2007 10:01 AM PST reply actions