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Steamer projections and the Angels

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The Halos Heaven community has pretty much concluded how they think 2016 is going to go for our Angels, what do the impartial experts think?

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

The Angels' offseason got off to an intriguing start with the acquisition of human-vacuum Andrelton Simmons and ended with an uproar with the underwhelming pick-ups of Yunel Escobar and Daniel Nava to complete the line-up. Yesterday, Dave Cameron announced that Fangraphs' projected standings have been published for our nerdy consumption. The whole article is worth a read, but let's cut to the chase and take a look at where Steamer projects our Halos to sit in the AL West this year, with the current roster:

2016 Projected Full Season
Team W L W% RDif RS/G RA/G
Astros 86 76 0.533 51 4.57 4.26
Mariners 84 78 0.518 27 4.3 4.14
Rangers 83 79 0.51 16 4.61 4.51
Angels 81 81 0.502 3 4.3 4.28
Athletics 79 83 0.49 -15 4.22 4.31

Pretty much what we all expected, right? .500 team, even run differential, pretty boring. Of course, these are only projections and by nature tend to be very conservative. Looking deeper within individual player stats, here are some of the more notable projections:

  • Mike Trout continues to be amazing, projected for 9.2 WAR, 37 HR and a tasty batting line of .307/.410/.585. Remember, these tend to be conservative.
  • Kole Calhoun trading bombs for walks last year did him no favors, as Steamer projects only 2.5 WAR. There seems to be room for improvement for the Red Baron as he learns to temper some of that aggressiveness.
  • Albert Pujols is projected belt 30 bombs even after missing the start of the year with a foot injury. He is also projected to start most of the year at DH, limiting his value to 1.5 WAR. Hard to argue with that one.
  • Garrett Richards looks to enjoy a bit of a bounce-back, though not to 2014 levels, as they project a 3.54 ERA across 196 innings.
  • Andrew Heaney is expected to basically replicate last seasons numbers, over only 30 more innings. With young pitchers being what they are, the lack of optimism is understandable.
  • As far as the new guys, Simmons unsurprisingly leads the pack with 3.5 WAR, which would be second on the team. Yunel Escobar looks to have a nearly identical season to Johnny Giavotella and collect 1.8 WAR. Geovany Soto, Craig Gentry and Daniel Nava all project for less than 1 WAR.
Remember, these projections are fluid and could change based on mid-season acquisitions or injuries. So what do you all think? Do the Angels have a good chance of exceeding these very unexciting expectations? Or will Mike Trout show us his best season yet and carry this ragtag group to the postseason?