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PECOTA projects Angels will do about as well as they did last year

MLB: Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

It’s PECOTA day, so everybody get ready to get hyped abou-



So PECOTA doesn’t think the Angels are going to fare much better than last year’s team, when all is said and done. This is disheartening news, considering how close they were to nailing down our hopes for last season. Baseball Prospectus had the 2016 Angels finishing 4th with a 76-86 record, and the Angels ended up finishing 4th with a 74-88 record...missed it by this much.

This year, they’re tabbing the Halos for a 78-84 year, and that’s a stark contrast from other baseball analysts and institutions who have been quite warm to their chances in 2017. Fangraphs, for example, has them finishing 2nd place in the AL West, with a 84-78 mark. Call me crazy, but I like that projection way better than BP’s, just sayin’.

Of course, beating PECOTA is nothing out of the ordinary, for the Angels or most any MLB team, so just because they were almost spot on last year doesn’t mean that the Angels wont crush those low expectations. They’ve done it before, and they’ll do it again. Maybe.

The Angels just need to focus on winning games, because if BOTH projections are right, then the Astros are going to be a stone cold killer, and the Mariners will be right there in the hunt for AL West supremacy.

I think the Angels, right now, look better than last year’s team in just about every way, but there are still holes in their game (bullpen, for instance) and even if they come out fighting, then they’ll still be facing off against some talented opponents. It’s going to be interesting, that’s for sure.