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Series Preview: Angels @ Tigers (Detroit Tough?)

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Angels go from pimping out Ford in Mexico to the home of Ford

Houston Astros v Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim Photo by Azael Rodriguez/Getty Images

Playing the KC Royals has perhaps become a measure of how bad (or good) your team is. Both the Angels and Tigers won 2 out of 3 recently against the 2nd worst team in baseball. You get to figure out what that means for either team and this series. Maybe nothing. Or maybe it means this series could go either way and neither team will come in to dominate the other.

First, the Tigers have two lefty pitchers in this series. We all know the rest of that story. Second, Tigers pitching overall has been significantly better than Angels pitching. The Angels have the edge when it comes to offense but that doesn’t count when hitting against lefties. Overall this year the Angels have scored 158 runs to the Tigers 109.

Know your foe:

Tigers - who’s hot (last 7 days):

Ronny Rodriguez .455 OBP, 1 HR, 4 RBI
Miguel Cabrerra .364 AVG, 3 RBI

Weather Forecast

GAME 1

(R)Griffin Canning (6.23 ERA) v. (L)Daniel Norris (3.47 ERA)
Tuesday, May 7th @ 4:10PM

Pitcher vs. Batters

Angels Summary:

Griffin Canning had what looked like a pretty good start - until he faced the Blue Jays lineup a second time. His pitches looked good. I’m sure he had nerves. Looking at the numbers can be a bit depressing, however. Canning thew only 49 strikes in 82 pitches which is average at best. He DID generate a lot of swing and miss those and that showed up in his 6 Ks over 4.1 innings. He’ll have to throw a bit better this time around to keep the Angels closer against a lefty.

Pitch Data:

Tigers Summary:

Daniel Norris used to live in a van. Maybe he still does? But what matters is that he has a left arm and he throws with it. The Angels, aside from a few players, continue to show they can’t hit lefties and Norris has been pretty solid this year aside from a bad start against the White Sox. Norris has a 2.49 ERA this year if you take away that White Sox start.

Pitch Data:


GAME 2

(L)Tyler Skaggs (3.15 ERA) v. (L)Matthew Boyd (3.05 ERA)
Wednesday, May 8th @ 4:10PM

Pitcher vs. Batters

Angels Summary:

Tyler Skaggs may be showing that he’s the best pitcher on the team right now. He really only had one bad appearance and has showed a lot of potential to lead this pitching staff in 2019. Skaggs will probably throw around 100 pitches unless he gets into trouble but if you’ve seen the Tigers lineup - those odds are low.

Pitch Data:

Tigers Summary:

Skaggs has his work cut for him facing Matthew Boyd who has 1.6 bWAR this year and a 0.992 WHIP over 44.1 innings. Boyd has also struck out 57. What happens with a low K team faces a high K pitcher?? Probably some GIDPs and weak contact.

Pitch Data:


GAME 3

TBD v. (R)Tyson Ross (5.34 ERA)
Thursday, May 8th @ 10:10AM

Pitcher vs. Batters

Notable Stats

Angels Summary:

TBD

Tigers Summary:

Yay for Tyson Ross!! The Angels have a pitcher they can - and should beat to close out this series. Right? Ross had two good starts at the beginning of the year but has been in a mess in 3 of his last 4 appearances. His last time out against the Royals he didn’t even get through the 2nd inning.

Pitch Data:


Overall Verdict: I may be more optimistic in this series if the Angels didn’t face two lefties. I think taking 2 games is their best shot but don’t be too surprised if the Angels leave Detroit with only one more win.

Current Standings (sorted by playoff odds)

Notes/Credits:
(Pitch tracking data from baseballsavant.mlb.com)
(Splits from FanGraphs Splits Tool and Baseball Reference)
(Standings/odds from fivethirtyeight.com)