/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/65082271/1168080438.jpg.0.jpg)
Note: The following is somewhat unscientific and should be taken as such. Special thanks to Jon Bois and cornzzz for the idea.
Through August 20, 2019, Max Stassi has taken 35 plate appearances with the Los Angeles Angels. He’s gotten one hit. He’s walked thrice. His slash line is .032/.114/.032, good enough for a .147 OPS. This begs the question, why is Stassi swinging?
Erm...
— Halos Heaven (@halosheaven) August 21, 2019
Courtesy of @baseballpro pic.twitter.com/medwM812kD
According to Brooks Baseball, Stassi has a high likelihood to whiff against breaking balls, an exceptionally high likelihood to whiff against fastballs, and a disastrously high likelihood to swing and miss against offspeed pitches. Rick Souddress, upon seeing this information: “Lmao. I like the word ‘disastrously’”.
Per Fangraphs, in 2019, Stassi’s Zone% is 48.7%, which means that 48.7% of the pitches he sees are in the strike zone. If Stassi were to play without a bat, then he would take all his pitches. If he got four balls before three strikes, he would be on base with a walk! On base...something he’s only done three times as an Angel.
I used a random number generator to simulate every single pitch Stassi would receive in the alternate universe of his 35 Angels PA. Using random.org, I generated a number from 1-1000. If it was from 1-487, the pitch was a strike. If it was from 488-1000, the pitch was a ball.
Here goes nothing:
PA 1: 797 (Ball 1), 575 (Ball 2), 919 (Ball 3), 52 (Strike 1), 18 (Strike 2), 929 (Ball 4) = WALK
PA 2: 898 (Ball 1), 544 (Ball 2), 48 (Strike 1), 959 (Ball 3), 661 (Ball 4) = WALK
PA 3: 553 (Ball 1), 790 (Ball 2), 471 (Strike 1), 93 (Strike 2), 554 (Ball 3), 17 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 4: 9 (Strike 1), 557 (Ball 1), 967 (Ball 2), 127 (Strike 2), 320 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 5: 86 (Strike 1), 580 (Ball 1), 883 (Ball 2), 876 (Ball 3), 113 (Strike 2), 669 (Ball 4) = WALK
PA 6: 577 (Ball 1), 860 (Ball 2), 120 (Strike 1), 27 (Strike 2), 125 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 7: 736 (Ball 1), 509 (Ball 2), 547 (Ball 3), 362 (Strike 1), 931 (Ball 4) = WALK
PA 8: 945 (Ball 1), 787 (Ball 2), 173 (Strike 1), 488 (wow! Ball 3), 208 (Strike 2), 785 (Ball 4) = WALK
PA 9: 911 (Ball 1), 807 (Ball 2), 419 (Strike 1), 802 (Ball 3), 447 (Strike 2), 196 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 10: 930 (Ball 1), 391 (Strike 1), 231 (Strike 2), 527 (Ball 2), 596 (Ball 3), 692 (Ball 4) = WALK
PA 11: 996 (Ball 1), 267 (Strike 1), 692 (Ball 2), 948 (Ball 3), 435 (Strike 2), 140 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 12: 549 (Ball 1), 644 (Ball 2), 988 (Ball 3), 452 (Strike 1), 456 (Strike 2), 153 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 13: 517 (Ball 1), 548 (Ball 2), 565 (Ball 3), 373 (Strike 1), 224 (Strike 2), 184 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 14: 574 (Ball 1), 817 (Ball 2), 506 (Ball 3), 586 (Ball 4) = WALK
PA 15: 107 (Strike 1), 391 (Strike 2), 361 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 16: 105 (Strike 1), 138 (Strike 2), 116 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 17: 735 (Ball 1), 528 (Ball 2), 602 (Ball 3), 574 (Ball 4) = WALK
Here’s a shot of the numbers from the middle of PA 10 to PA 17 (a random screenshot, if you will):
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/19084230/Screen_Shot_2019_08_21_at_10.31.10_AM.png)
PA 18: 97 (Strike 1), 457 (Strike 2), 783 (Ball 1), 670 (Ball 2), 470 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 19: 738 (Ball 1), 58 (Strike 1), 407 (Strike 2), 607 (Ball 2), 829 (Ball 3), 773 (Ball 4) = WALK
PA 20: 401 (Strike 1), 39 (Strike 2), 400 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 21: 346 (Strike 1), 294 (Strike 2), 167 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 22: 889 (Ball 1), 382 (Strike 1), 87 (Strike 2), 801 (Ball 2), 874 (Ball 3), 217 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 23: 705 (Ball 1), 532 (Ball 2), 66 (Strike 1), 868 (Ball 3), 604 (Ball 4) = WALK
PA 24: 796 (Ball 1), 633 (Ball 2), 939 (Ball 3), 170 (Strike 1), 995 (Ball 4) = WALK
PA 25: 275 (Strike 1), 853 (Ball 1), 534 (Ball 2), 531 (Ball 3), 979 (Ball 4) = WALK
PA 26: 635 (Ball 1), 450 (Strike 1), 637 (Ball 2), 665 (Ball 3), 293 (Strike 2), 268 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 27: 156 (Strike 1), 509 (Ball 1), 517 (Ball 2), 410 (Strike 2), 156 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 28: 245 (Strike 1), 617 (Ball 1), 523 (Ball 2), 585 (Ball 3), 201 (Strike 2), 935 (Ball 4) = WALK
PA 29: 18 (Strike 1), 34 (Strike 2), 780 (Ball 1), 153 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 30: 812 (Ball 1), 471 (Strike 1), 99 (Strike 2), 687 (Ball 2), 476 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 31: 466 (Strike 1), 895 (Ball 1), 965 (Ball 2), 89 (Strike 2), 540 (Ball 3), 410 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 32: 325 (Strike 1), 739 (Ball 1), 685 (Ball 2), 511 (Ball 3), 731 (Ball 4) = WALK
PA 33: 907 (Ball 1), 99 (Strike 1), 532 (Ball 2), 841 (Ball 3), 295 (Strike 2), 453 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 34: 436 (Strike 1), 407 (Strike 2), 693 (Ball 1), 885 (Ball 2), 904 (Ball 3), 153 (Strike 3) = STRIKEOUT
PA 35: 242 (Strike 1), 694 (Ball 1), 848 (Ball 2), 663 (Ball 3), 119 (Strike 2), 557 (Ball 4) = WALK
Final results: 15 walks, 20 strikeouts
Final Stassi slash line: .000/.429/.000
This looks a lot better than his initial .032/.114/.032.